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predict.fun · Economics · 15m

predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m Historical Data

Every predict.fun “SPY Up/Down 15m” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 2 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
2
Coverage
October 2026 – present
Archive size
3.66 MB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

SPY Up/Down 15m on predict.fun — activity

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 2 captured days to 2026-10-12, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.

Slug prefix
spy-updown-15m-
Avg trades / day
86
Avg turnover / day
$1.0K
Captured days
2
Trades (30d)
172
Turnover (30d)
$2.0K
Contracts traded / day
25
Buy share
53 %
Avg spread
2.61 ¢
Top-1 depth
$44.21
L2 updates / day
194.6K
Since 2026-10-09
172 trades · $2.0K
Record day
$1.2K · 2026-10-09
Files on latest day
26
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every SPY Up/Down 15m contract that was listed on predict.fun on that UTC day — traded or not — 26 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 2 trading days, 3.66 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 26 contract files (up to 26 on the busiest day, 1.93 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

SPY Up/Down 15m — development since capture

172 trades and $2.0K of USD turnover over 2 captured days since 2026-10-09 — record day 2026-10-09 with $1.2K, biggest single contract spy-updown-15m-1791569700_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2-15p_3072155 (2026-10-09, $466.5).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Oct 2026 (month to date)2172$2.0K$1.0K50389.2K—

predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

Outcomes

SPY Up/Down 15m — how contracts resolved, last 2 days

Of 5 resolved SPY Up/Down 15m contracts over the 2 captured days to 2026-10-12, 80 % closed Up and 20 % closed Down by their last print — 172 trades and $2.0K of turnover, about 3 trades per contract.

UTC dayContractsClosed UpClosed DownUp shareTrades / contractTurnover / contractTurnover
2026-10-12261150 %3$31.58$821.15
2026-10-092430100 %3$49.83$1.2K
Total504180 %3$40.34$2.0K

Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.

When it trades

SPY Up/Down 15m — activity by weekday and hour

Fridays carry the most turnover, about $1.2K per day. Contracts ending 18:00–18:59 UTC take 39 % of the series' turnover.

By UTC hour of the contract window end (newest 7 captured days)
Window ends (UTC)TurnoverUSDShareTradesContracts
13:00–13:59$84.624.2 %132
14:00–14:59$158.467.9 %258
15:00–15:59$305.4715.1 %388
16:00–16:59$219.2810.9 %238
17:00–17:59$195.319.7 %228
18:00–18:59$781.5938.7 %257
19:00–19:59$266.7213.2 %258
20:00–20:59$5.730.3 %11

predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m — USD turnover and trades grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract window ends, over the newest captured days of every contract in the series; from our tick archive.

Daily statistics

SPY Up/Down 15m — last 2 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-10-12261.73 MB2690$821.1535 %2.09 ¢$41.12182.6KBuy day →
2026-10-09261.93 MB2482$1.2K65 %2.97 ¢$46.34206.5KBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

SPY Up/Down 15m results by contract — 2026-10-12

Every contract of the newest captured UTC day with open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by its last print; the six previous days fold out below. Contracts quote 0..1.

26 SPY Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-12 — 1 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 1 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 24 still open at the last print: 90 trades, $821.15 USD turnover. The busiest contract was spy-updown-15m-1791829800_spy-up-or-down-october-12-2-30_3206424 with $186.88 turnover.

ContractWindow end (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy share
spy-updown-15m-1791811800_spy-up-or-down-october-12-9-30_319055313:460.5100.5100.5100.5100.510open1$0.970 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791812700_spy-up-or-down-october-12-9-45_319098914:010.5000.5000.0100.0100.096Down3$5.940 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791813600_spy-up-or-down-october-12-10am_319102214:160.4900.4900.4900.4900.490open1$0.830 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791814500_spy-up-or-down-october-12-10-1_319203614:310.7500.7800.7500.7800.778open3$51.2794 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791815400_spy-up-or-down-october-12-10-3_319266214:460.5700.6600.4100.6600.540open3$25.3752 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791816300_spy-up-or-down-october-12-10-4_319319215:010.4980.9900.4980.9900.874Up7$91.0557 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791817200_spy-up-or-down-october-12-11am_319432015:160.4940.7400.3000.3000.512open10$39.412 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791818100_spy-up-or-down-october-12-11-1_319436515:310.6300.6300.0900.0900.280open5$38.3419 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791819000_spy-up-or-down-october-12-11-3_319505115:460.3500.7300.3500.7300.665open3$24.248 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791819900_spy-up-or-down-october-12-11-4_319582516:010.7500.7500.7500.7500.750open1$3.330 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791820800_spy-up-or-down-october-12-12pm_319599816:160.8900.8900.4700.4700.703open5$62.3617 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791821700_spy-up-or-down-october-12-12-1_319718416:310.4300.5600.3000.3000.431open3$2.8131 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791822600_spy-up-or-down-october-12-12-3_319897316:460.8200.8200.1400.1400.701open5$40.650 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791823500_spy-up-or-down-october-12-12-4_319901117:010.2700.2700.2700.2700.270open1$1100 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791824400_spy-up-or-down-october-12-1pm_319951217:160.7900.8800.7900.8800.792open2$36.873 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791825300_spy-up-or-down-october-12-1-15_320068017:310.2000.2000.1000.1200.149open4$35.1642 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791826200_spy-up-or-down-october-12-1-30_320220017:460.5300.5300.4500.4500.484open3$39.2368 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791827100_spy-up-or-down-october-12-1-45_320241318:010.7200.8700.7200.8700.780open2$38.960 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791828000_spy-up-or-down-october-12-2pm_320386218:160.0600.0700.0600.0700.066open2$3.1100 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791828900_spy-up-or-down-october-12-2-15_320484618:310.3000.3000.0400.0400.087open4$9.68100 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791829800_spy-up-or-down-october-12-2-30_320642418:460.2900.8100.2900.8100.424open4$186.8831 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791830700_spy-up-or-down-october-12-2-45_320666519:010.3700.3700.0500.0500.158open3$4.94100 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791831600_spy-up-or-down-october-12-3pm_320806019:160.5900.5900.5800.5800.586open2$2.3342 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791832500_spy-up-or-down-october-12-3-15_321034119:310.4200.7700.3000.4300.610open10$35.9383 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791833400_spy-up-or-down-october-12-3-30_321196019:460.8200.9600.8200.9600.940open2$34.770 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791834300_spy-up-or-down-october-12-3-45_321242620:010.8600.8600.8600.8600.860open1$5.730 %buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Up). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Up, ≤ 0.03 as Down, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover. 26 of 26 contract files of the day had trades.

2026-10-09 — 24 contracts, 82 trades, $1.2K turnover

24 SPY Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-09 — 3 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 0 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 21 still open at the last print: 82 trades, $1.2K USD turnover. The busiest contract was spy-updown-15m-1791569700_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2-15p_3072155 with $466.5 turnover.

ContractWindow end (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy share
spy-updown-15m-1791552600_spy-up-or-down-october-9-9-30a_306529613:460.6500.7000.1000.1000.395open12$83.6528 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791553500_spy-up-or-down-october-9-9-45a_306562214:010.5100.6700.5100.6700.555open2$6.0366 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791554400_spy-up-or-down-october-9-10am_306573214:160.6700.9700.2900.9700.615Up7$59.5940 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791555300_spy-up-or-down-october-9-10-15_306579414:310.5000.7400.5000.7400.544open3$425 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791556200_spy-up-or-down-october-9-10-30_306590614:460.5000.5000.3000.3000.475open3$5.430 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791557100_spy-up-or-down-october-9-10-45_306608215:010.8400.9900.8400.9900.975Up2$57.8691 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791558000_spy-up-or-down-october-9-11am_306617215:160.1300.1300.1300.1300.130open1$0.150 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791558900_spy-up-or-down-october-9-11-15_306642215:310.9100.9100.8800.8800.897open2$12.6542 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791559800_spy-up-or-down-october-9-11-30_306707915:460.3300.7300.1200.4200.408open8$41.7739 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791560700_spy-up-or-down-october-9-11-45_306757916:010.7000.9100.7000.9100.884open2$10.110 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791561600_spy-up-or-down-october-9-12pm_306795916:160.8700.8700.7700.7700.772open2$41.152 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791562500_spy-up-or-down-october-9-12-15_306812416:310.6000.8400.6000.8400.668open2$13.890 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791563400_spy-up-or-down-october-9-12-30_306844716:460.2400.2400.1600.1900.201open3$44.9965 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791564300_spy-up-or-down-october-9-12-45_306865817:010.7200.7200.7200.7200.720open1$5.970 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791565200_spy-up-or-down-october-9-1pm-1_306884217:160.6300.7400.1300.1300.417open7$61.5919 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791566100_spy-up-or-down-october-9-1-15p_306939317:310.3200.5300.3200.5300.459open3$14.8578 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791567000_spy-up-or-down-october-9-1-30p_306967417:460.4200.4200.4200.4200.420open1$0.640 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791568800_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2pm-2_307035218:160.3000.7300.3000.7300.465open4$57.2325 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791569700_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2-15p_307215518:310.8040.8900.8040.8900.808open2$466.594 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791570600_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2-30p_307305118:460.5200.5200.3200.4700.404open7$19.2451 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791571500_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2-45p_307330519:010.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Up1$108.91100 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791572400_spy-up-or-down-october-9-3pm-3_307460719:160.4300.4300.4300.4300.430open1$8.6100 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791573300_spy-up-or-down-october-9-3-15p_307538119:310.8200.8500.5500.5700.686open4$52.2722 %buy file →
spy-updown-15m-1791574200_spy-up-or-down-october-9-3-30p_307626519:460.4900.4900.2800.2800.368open2$18.9744 %buy file →
Contract anatomy

How a SPY Up/Down 15m contract trades

Trading window
3.4 h
Tick size
0.01
Contracts measured
26
Quoted in
USDT

On predict.fun, a SPY Up/Down 15m contract trades for about 3.4 h from open to close, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 26 contracts captured on 2026-10-12.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m data — FAQ

What predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the SPY Up/Down 15m series on predict.fun (26 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

How far back does the SPY Up/Down 15m data go?

Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 2 trading days in total.

What format are the predict.fun files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the SPY Up/Down 15m series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

How many SPY Up/Down 15m contracts trade per day on predict.fun?

On average 25 SPY Up/Down 15m contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 2 captured days on predict.fun, with about 194.6K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.

How liquid are predict.fun SPY Up/Down 15m contracts?

Over the last 2 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 2.61 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $44.21 per side, 53 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.

What was the most traded SPY Up/Down 15m contract on 2026-10-12?

spy-updown-15m-1791829800_spy-up-or-down-october-12-2-30_3206424 — $186.88 USD turnover over 4 trades on predict.fun. 26 SPY Up/Down 15m contracts traded that UTC day (90 trades, $821.15 in total); by their last print 1 closed Up and 1 closed Down, 24 were still open. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

How often did SPY Up/Down 15m contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?

By their last recorded print, 80 % of 5 resolved SPY Up/Down 15m contracts closed Up and 20 % closed Down over the 2 captured days to 2026-10-12 on predict.fun, with about 3 trades per contract. Outcomes are implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the per-day table on this page lists every day.

What was the busiest SPY Up/Down 15m trading day on predict.fun?

2026-10-09, with $1.2K of USD turnover over 82 trades across every SPY Up/Down 15m contract of the day. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09 the series has recorded 172 trades and $2.0K over 2 captured days; the single biggest contract was spy-updown-15m-1791569700_spy-up-or-down-october-9-2-15p_3072155 on 2026-10-09 with $466.5. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

What time of day is SPY Up/Down 15m most active?

Contracts whose window ends between 18:00 and 18:59 UTC carried 39 % of the series' USD turnover over the newest 7 captured days on predict.fun. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.