Stock Up/Down Prediction Data — predict.fun
Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 15 Stock Up/Down series on predict.fun — NVDA Up/Down 15m, SPY Up/Down 15m, QQQ Up/Down 15m, TSM Up/Down 15m. 27 series-days covering October 2026 – present; 6.7K trades · $66.3K turnover over the last 30 captured days. Every contract captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps — sold as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
Stock Up/Down on predict.fun
predict.fun 15-minute up-or-down contracts on single stocks, ETFs and pre-IPO names.
Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.
Most traded Stock Up/Down series (last 30 days)
Ranked by USD turnover from our own daily statistics — the series a market maker or bot builder should start with.
| # | Series | Venue | Trades (30d) | Turnover (30d) | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NVDA Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 1,267 | $17.7K | 2 | Buy days |
| 2 | SPCX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 1,692 | $15.4K | 2 | Buy days |
| 3 | MU Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 907 | $8.1K | 2 | Buy days |
| 4 | META Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 751 | $6.2K | 2 | Buy days |
| 5 | TSM Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 524 | $3.5K | 2 | Buy days |
| 6 | QQQ Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 351 | $3.4K | 2 | Buy days |
| 7 | AMZN Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 309 | $3.2K | 2 | Buy days |
| 8 | MSFT Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 240 | $2.9K | 2 | Buy days |
| 9 | GOOGL Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 265 | $2.7K | 2 | Buy days |
| 10 | SPY Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 172 | $2.0K | 2 | Buy days |
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series, from the recorded tick data; 30 days to 2026-10-12. Series without statistics in the window are omitted.
Stock Up/Down — development since capture
6,651 trades and $66.3K of USD turnover across 15 series since 2026-10-09; busiest single series-day 2026-10-12 with $11.8K, biggest contract nvda-updown-15m-1791824400_nvidia-corporation-up-or-down_3199530 (2026-10-12, $2.1K).
| Month | Series active | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 (month to date) | 15 | 2 | 6,651 | $66.3K | $33.2K | 566 | 3.1M | — |
Stock Up/Down series — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
Stock Up/Down — how the contracts resolved, last 2 days
Of 162 resolved Stock Up/Down contracts over the 2 captured days to 2026-10-12, 51 % closed Up and 49 % closed Down by their last print — 6,651 trades and $66.3K of turnover, about 12 trades per contract.
| UTC day | Contracts | Closed Up | Closed Down | Up share | Trades / contract | Turnover / contract | Turnover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 288 | 35 | 45 | 44 % | 12 | $123.23 | $35.5K |
| 2026-10-09 | 278 | 47 | 35 | 57 % | 11 | $110.95 | $30.8K |
| Total | 566 | 82 | 80 | 51 % | 12 | $117.2 | $66.3K |
Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.
Stock Up/Down prediction markets — trades and turnover per day
Every captured UTC day of the last 30, summed over the 15 Stock Up/Down series — how much these markets trade day by day, from our own tick capture.
| UTC day | Series with stats | Contracts traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | L2 updates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 15 | 288 | 3,493 | $35.5K | 39 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-09 | 12 | 278 | 3,158 | $30.8K | 46 % | 1.5M |
Per UTC day, summed over every Stock Up/Down series that has statistics for that day, from every trade print of every contract in our tick archive. Trades and USD turnover are exact; contracts traded, buy share and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics — earlier days show —.
Most traded Stock Up/Down contracts on 2026-10-12
The single event contracts with the most USD turnover on the newest captured day — with open and close price and the outcome implied by the last print.
Single contracts ranked by USD turnover on 2026-10-12 (UTC), from every trade print in our tick archive. Prices quote 0..1; the implied outcome reads the last print of the day (≥ 0.97 Yes/Up, ≤ 0.03 No/Down) — venues publish the official result. Each contract’s day file is sold individually, the whole series day as a bundle.
predict.fun Stock Up/Down series
Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.
| Series | Venue | Interval | Days | Coverage | Size | Price/day | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 4.15 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SPY Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 3.66 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| NVDA Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 3.63 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| MSFT Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.89 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| GOOGL Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.86 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| MU Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.85 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| AMZN Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.74 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| AVGO Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.41 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| TSM Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.04 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SPCX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 2.00 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| META Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 1.69 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SNDK Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 2 | October 2026 – present | 378 KB | €1 | Buy days |
| SKHYNIX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 1 | October 2026 – present | 38.0 KB | €1 | Buy days |
| ZHIPU Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 1 | October 2026 – present | 32.9 KB | €1 | Buy days |
| UNITREE Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 1 | October 2026 – present | 17.9 KB | €1 | Buy days |
Why buy Stock Up/Down prediction-market data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
Stock Up/Down prediction-market data — FAQ
Which stock up-or-down markets are archived?
Every 15-minute up-or-down family predict.fun lists on single names and ETFs — NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, TSM, MU, AVGO, SNDK, SPY and QQQ, plus the SPCX, SKHYNIX, ZHIPU and UNITREE families — each window as its own contract pair, captured at full feed resolution. Labels carry the venue’s ticker token; the reference price and settlement rule are the venue’s.
How is stock up-or-down prediction-market data sold?
One purchase covers every contract of the series for one UTC day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book per contract, captured co-located with nanosecond timestamps — €1 per series-day, bought as a guest with instant download.
How far back does the Stock Up/Down data go?
Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 27 series-days across 15 series on predict.fun. Each series page lists its exact span.
Can I get Stock Up/Down prediction-market data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Stock Up/Down prediction-market data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day — no subscription, no minimum order. Pick days in the shop calendar, pay as a guest, download immediately.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the Stock Up/Down series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Stock Up/Down data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
What was the busiest Stock Up/Down trading day?
2026-10-12 — $11.8K of USD turnover over 714 trades in a single series-day. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09, 15 Stock Up/Down series recorded 6,651 trades and $66.3K in total; the biggest single contract was nvda-updown-15m-1791824400_nvidia-corporation-up-or-down_3199530 on 2026-10-12 at $2.1K. Mondays are the busiest weekday at about $35.5K per day.
How often did Stock Up/Down contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?
51 % of 162 resolved contracts closed Up and 49 % closed Down by their last recorded print over the 2 captured days to 2026-10-12, about 12 trades per contract. Implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the official settlement.