Stock Up/Down Prediction Data — predict.fun
Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 15 Stock Up/Down series on predict.fun — NVDA Up/Down 15m, SPY Up/Down 15m, QQQ Up/Down 15m, TSM Up/Down 15m. 236 series-days covering October 2026 – present; 70.7K trades · $678.3K turnover over the last 30 captured days. Every contract captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps — sold as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
Stock Up/Down on predict.fun
predict.fun 15-minute up-or-down contracts on single stocks, ETFs and pre-IPO names.
Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.
Most traded Stock Up/Down series (last 30 days)
Ranked by USD turnover from our own daily statistics — the series a market maker or bot builder should start with.
| # | Series | Venue | Trades (30d) | Turnover (30d) | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MU Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 11,286 | $104.4K | 16 | Buy days |
| 2 | SPCX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 10,975 | $103.8K | 16 | Buy days |
| 3 | NVDA Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 7,282 | $69.8K | 16 | Buy days |
| 4 | META Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 5,951 | $56.1K | 16 | Buy days |
| 5 | SPY Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 4,628 | $53.5K | 16 | Buy days |
| 6 | QQQ Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 4,046 | $44.1K | 16 | Buy days |
| 7 | TSM Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 4,310 | $34.9K | 16 | Buy days |
| 8 | SNDK Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 2,719 | $33.7K | 16 | Buy days |
| 9 | AMZN Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 3,443 | $32.2K | 16 | Buy days |
| 10 | SKHYNIX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 1,944 | $31.1K | 15 | Buy days |
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series, from the recorded tick data; 30 days to 2026-11-01. Series without statistics in the window are omitted.
Stock Up/Down — development since capture
70,681 trades and $678.3K of USD turnover across 15 series since 2026-10-09; busiest single series-day 2026-10-23 with $16.4K, biggest contract skhynix-updown-15m-1792716300_sk-hynix-inc-up-or-down-oc_3579557 (2026-10-23, $10.0K).
| Month | Series active | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | 15 | 16 | 70,681 | $678.3K | $42.4K | 4,385 | 48.5M | — |
Stock Up/Down series — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
Stock Up/Down — how the contracts resolved, last 9 days
Of 799 resolved Stock Up/Down contracts over the 9 captured days to 2026-10-30, 48 % closed Up and 52 % closed Down by their last print — 56,480 trades and $557.5K of turnover, about 18 trades per contract.
| UTC day | Contracts | Closed Up | Closed Down | Up share | Trades / contract | Turnover / contract | Turnover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | 367 | 49 | 40 | 55 % | 16 | $153.03 | $56.2K |
| 2026-10-29 | 356 | 38 | 44 | 46 % | 17 | $168.38 | $59.9K |
| 2026-10-28 | 371 | 28 | 30 | 48 % | 15 | $130.85 | $48.5K |
| 2026-10-27 | 368 | 41 | 24 | 63 % | 16 | $220.99 | $81.3K |
| 2026-10-26 | 362 | 35 | 48 | 42 % | 14 | $151.76 | $54.9K |
| 2026-10-23 | 369 | 41 | 50 | 45 % | 23 | $247.19 | $91.2K |
| 2026-10-22 | 371 | 33 | 57 | 37 % | 18 | $165.45 | $61.4K |
| 2026-10-21 | 366 | 62 | 59 | 51 % | 20 | $181.71 | $66.5K |
| 2026-10-20 | 275 | 58 | 62 | 48 % | 19 | $136.4 | $37.5K |
| Total | 3,205 | 385 | 414 | 48 % | 18 | $173.95 | $557.5K |
Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.
Stock Up/Down — turnover by weekday
Tuesdays are the busiest day at about $50.5K of USD turnover, averaged over the captured days of the last 30.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $30.1K | 2.9K | 3 | |
| Tuesday | $50.5K | 5.0K | 3 | |
| Wednesday | $45.4K | 5.5K | 3 | |
| Thursday | $40.7K | 4.4K | 3 | |
| Friday | $44.6K | 4.4K | 4 | |
| Saturday | — | — | 0 | |
| Sunday | — | — | 0 |
Stock Up/Down series — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
Stock Up/Down prediction markets — trades and turnover per day
Every captured UTC day of the last 30, summed over the 15 Stock Up/Down series — how much these markets trade day by day, from our own tick capture.
| UTC day | Series with stats | Contracts traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | L2 updates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | 15 | 367 | 5,852 | $56.2K | 60 % | 6.3M |
| 2026-10-29 | 15 | 356 | 6,211 | $59.9K | 44 % | 4.1M |
| 2026-10-28 | 15 | 371 | 5,681 | $48.5K | 43 % | 4.1M |
| 2026-10-27 | 15 | 368 | 6,030 | $81.3K | 42 % | 3.8M |
| 2026-10-26 | 15 | 362 | 5,230 | $54.9K | 46 % | 3.4M |
| 2026-10-23 | 15 | 369 | 8,416 | $91.2K | 48 % | 2.8M |
| 2026-10-22 | 15 | 371 | 6,781 | $61.4K | 52 % | 3.7M |
| 2026-10-21 | 15 | 366 | 7,188 | $66.5K | 48 % | 3.5M |
| 2026-10-20 | 15 | 275 | 5,091 | $37.5K | 61 % | 3.5M |
| 2026-10-19 | 14 | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | 3.1M |
| 2026-10-16 | 15 | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | 2.1M |
| 2026-10-15 | 15 | 27 | 80 | $740.88 | 52 % | 1.9M |
| 2026-10-14 | 15 | 281 | 3,570 | $21.0K | 45 % | 1.5M |
| 2026-10-13 | 15 | 306 | 3,900 | $32.6K | 41 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-12 | 15 | 288 | 3,493 | $35.5K | 39 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-09 | 12 | 278 | 3,158 | $30.8K | 46 % | 1.5M |
Per UTC day, summed over every Stock Up/Down series that has statistics for that day, from every trade print of every contract in our tick archive. Trades and USD turnover are exact; contracts traded, buy share and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics — earlier days show —.
predict.fun Stock Up/Down series
Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.
| Series | Venue | Interval | Days | Coverage | Size | Price/day | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 72.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SPY Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 65.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| NVDA Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 61.7 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SPCX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 51.9 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| GOOGL Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 51.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| MU Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 47.9 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| MSFT Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 46.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| AMZN Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 45.9 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| AVGO Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 37.9 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| META Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 36.4 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| TSM Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 32.9 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SKHYNIX Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 15 | October 2026 – present | 30.1 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| SNDK Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 16 | October 2026 – present | 26.8 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| ZHIPU Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 14 | October 2026 – present | 16.4 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| UNITREE Up/Down 15m | predict.fun | 15m | 15 | October 2026 – present | 4.65 MB | €1 | Buy days |
Why buy Stock Up/Down prediction-market data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
Stock Up/Down prediction-market data — FAQ
Which stock up-or-down markets are archived?
Every 15-minute up-or-down family predict.fun lists on single names and ETFs — NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, TSM, MU, AVGO, SNDK, SPY and QQQ, plus the SPCX, SKHYNIX, ZHIPU and UNITREE families — each window as its own contract pair, captured at full feed resolution. Labels carry the venue’s ticker token; the reference price and settlement rule are the venue’s.
How is stock up-or-down prediction-market data sold?
One purchase covers every contract of the series for one UTC day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book per contract, captured co-located with nanosecond timestamps — €1 per series-day, bought as a guest with instant download.
How far back does the Stock Up/Down data go?
Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 236 series-days across 15 series on predict.fun. Each series page lists its exact span.
Can I get Stock Up/Down prediction-market data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Stock Up/Down prediction-market data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day — no subscription, no minimum order. Pick days in the shop calendar, pay as a guest, download immediately.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the Stock Up/Down series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Stock Up/Down data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
What was the busiest Stock Up/Down trading day?
2026-10-23 — $16.4K of USD turnover over 1,464 trades in a single series-day. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09, 15 Stock Up/Down series recorded 70,681 trades and $678.3K in total; the biggest single contract was skhynix-updown-15m-1792716300_sk-hynix-inc-up-or-down-oc_3579557 on 2026-10-23 at $10.0K. Tuesdays are the busiest weekday at about $50.5K per day.
How often did Stock Up/Down contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?
48 % of 799 resolved contracts closed Up and 52 % closed Down by their last recorded print over the 9 captured days to 2026-10-30, about 18 trades per contract. Implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the official settlement.