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predict.fun · Economics · 15m

predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m Historical Data

Every predict.fun “MU Up/Down 15m” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 2 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
2
Coverage
October 2026 – present
Archive size
2.85 MB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

MU Up/Down 15m on predict.fun — activity

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 2 captured days to 2026-10-12, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.

Slug prefix
mu-updown-15m-
Avg trades / day
454
Avg turnover / day
$4.1K
Captured days
2
Trades (30d)
907
Turnover (30d)
$8.1K
Contracts traded / day
26
Buy share
46 %
Avg spread
3.04 ¢
Top-1 depth
$34.14
L2 updates / day
139.5K
Since 2026-10-09
907 trades · $8.1K
Record day
$4.3K · 2026-10-09
Files on latest day
26
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every MU Up/Down 15m contract that was listed on predict.fun on that UTC day — traded or not — 26 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 2 trading days, 2.85 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 26 contract files (up to 26 on the busiest day, 1.57 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

MU Up/Down 15m — development since capture

907 trades and $8.1K of USD turnover over 2 captured days since 2026-10-09 — record day 2026-10-09 with $4.3K, biggest single contract mu-updown-15m-1791560700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_3067586 (2026-10-09, $546.44).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Oct 2026 (month to date)2907$8.1K$4.1K52279.0K—

predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

Outcomes

MU Up/Down 15m — how contracts resolved, last 2 days

Of 29 resolved MU Up/Down 15m contracts over the 2 captured days to 2026-10-12, 55 % closed Up and 45 % closed Down by their last print — 907 trades and $8.1K of turnover, about 17 trades per contract.

UTC dayContractsClosed UpClosed DownUp shareTrades / contractTurnover / contractTurnover
2026-10-12267654 %17$146.19$3.8K
2026-10-09269756 %18$165.94$4.3K
Total52161355 %17$156.07$8.1K

Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.

When it trades

MU Up/Down 15m — activity by weekday and hour

Fridays carry the most turnover, about $4.3K per day. Contracts ending 16:00–16:59 UTC take 23 % of the series' turnover.

By UTC hour of the contract window end (newest 7 captured days)
Window ends (UTC)TurnoverUSDShareTradesContracts
13:00–13:59$13.730.2 %42
14:00–14:59$283.273.5 %988
15:00–15:59$1.1K13.3 %1488
16:00–16:59$1.9K23.3 %2238
17:00–17:59$1.6K19.4 %1478
18:00–18:59$1.7K21.4 %1298
19:00–19:59$945.8811.7 %1138
20:00–20:59$589.977.3 %452

predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m — USD turnover and trades grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract window ends, over the newest captured days of every contract in the series; from our tick archive.

Daily statistics

MU Up/Down 15m — last 2 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-10-12261.57 MB26445$3.8K46 %3.67 ¢$30.78154.8KBuy day →
2026-10-09261.28 MB26462$4.3K45 %2.49 ¢$37.09124.2KBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

MU Up/Down 15m results by contract — 2026-10-12

Every contract of the newest captured UTC day with open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by its last print; the six previous days fold out below. Contracts quote 0..1.

26 MU Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-12 — 7 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 6 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 13 still open at the last print: 445 trades, $3.8K USD turnover. The busiest contract was mu-updown-15m-1791820800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_3195995 with $545.21 turnover.

ContractWindow end (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy share
mu-updown-15m-1791811800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319054413:460.0500.1400.0500.1400.078open3$13.6944 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791812700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319099714:010.6600.6900.0200.0200.512Down9$32.453 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791813600_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319102814:160.4300.4700.0400.0400.123open8$22.19100 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791814500_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319203514:310.5000.6800.0100.1480.422open13$97.054 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791815400_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319266914:460.5100.5100.0100.1500.140open23$27.9561 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791816300_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319318515:010.5100.9800.4800.9800.810Up16$85.7915 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791817200_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319433615:160.5100.5100.0500.0600.208open10$18.3969 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791818100_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319437015:310.6000.9480.6000.9480.827open18$184.9557 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791819000_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319505015:460.5100.9700.4520.9700.715Up13$75.919 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791819900_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319583316:010.5100.9300.5100.9300.678open16$205.129 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791820800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319599516:160.4700.9800.2200.9800.768Up45$545.2169 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791821700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319718916:310.4900.6100.0400.0400.320open28$77.6644 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791822600_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319896616:460.4900.9900.4900.9600.877open19$133.0272 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791823500_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319901417:010.4900.5400.0400.0700.436open10$112.8298 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791824400_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_319952617:160.4900.9600.4900.9600.774open11$60.4240 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791825300_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320069117:310.5600.6800.0200.0200.299Down27$200.9368 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791826200_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320221117:460.8000.9800.0200.0200.357Down26$106.7622 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791827100_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320241818:010.4600.9800.4600.9800.696Up18$454.1912 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791828000_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320386618:160.3600.9800.3400.9800.701Up17$406.1628 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791828900_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320485618:310.4600.6780.0200.0200.226Down13$31.1629 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791829800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320643118:460.3900.6800.1700.3000.359open22$226.9527 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791830700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320667019:010.2400.2400.0100.0100.052Down13$11.9894 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791831600_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_320805719:160.6480.7600.0100.0100.452Down20$214.4577 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791832500_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_321033419:310.5100.9900.2900.9700.649Up15$160.6172 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791833400_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_321197419:460.6600.9600.0400.0400.261open8$14.2738 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791834300_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_321241920:010.4500.9900.4500.9900.786Up24$280.9459 %buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Up). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Up, ≤ 0.03 as Down, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover. 26 of 26 contract files of the day had trades.

2026-10-09 — 26 contracts, 462 trades, $4.3K turnover

26 MU Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-09 — 9 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 7 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 462 trades, $4.3K USD turnover. The busiest contract was mu-updown-15m-1791560700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_3067586 with $546.44 turnover.

ContractWindow end (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy share
mu-updown-15m-1791552600_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306530313:460.0100.0100.0100.0100.010Down1$0.040 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791553500_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306563814:010.4100.9800.2800.9800.571Up13$29.1667 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791554400_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306573914:160.6600.9900.0300.0300.295Down15$27.8382 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791555300_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306580114:310.2700.4800.0700.0700.138open6$13.7670 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791556200_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306591314:460.8000.8000.0100.0100.326Down11$32.8844 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791557100_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306608915:010.4900.5200.0100.0100.112Down10$35.2283 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791558000_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306616615:160.5200.9400.3900.4500.629open32$142.1556 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791558900_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306643115:310.6600.8300.0400.0400.656open20$93.0459 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791559800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306708615:460.5100.9900.5100.9700.911Up29$443.1922 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791560700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306758616:010.5100.9900.5100.9700.894Up28$546.449 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791561600_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306795016:160.5100.9400.0300.9400.434open41$165.3360 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791562500_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306813116:310.4900.9700.1200.9700.558open15$108.3992 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791563400_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306845416:460.4900.8900.0400.0600.437open31$10744 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791564300_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306866517:010.5200.9900.5200.9700.846Up16$381.8519 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791565200_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306885817:160.5100.9500.4400.9500.610open16$98.2641 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791566100_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306940017:310.5280.9900.5100.9900.656Up23$437.655 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791567000_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306968117:460.5000.9500.1500.1500.536open18$179.880 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791567900_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_306976618:010.5400.9700.5400.9700.740Up14$197.5846 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791568800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307035918:160.4100.9900.4100.9700.785Up9$133.3710 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791569700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307216018:310.4600.5700.0900.1100.269open21$177.3546 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791570600_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307305718:460.5100.5800.0100.0300.214Down15$110.683 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791571500_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307330319:010.5900.7730.0790.0790.260open11$209.2275 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791572400_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307461219:160.4700.4700.0100.0300.068Down19$139.6587 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791573300_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307539419:310.5100.9700.4500.9700.789Up13$143.5221 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791574200_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307626919:460.5100.6000.0300.0300.208Down14$52.1860 %buy file →
mu-updown-15m-1791575100_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_307696420:010.5140.9900.5140.9900.812Up21$309.0369 %buy file →
Contract anatomy

How a MU Up/Down 15m contract trades

Trading window
3.4 h
Tick size
0.01
Contracts measured
26
Quoted in
USDT

On predict.fun, a MU Up/Down 15m contract trades for about 3.4 h from open to close, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 26 contracts captured on 2026-10-12.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m data — FAQ

What predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the MU Up/Down 15m series on predict.fun (26 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

How far back does the MU Up/Down 15m data go?

Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 2 trading days in total.

What format are the predict.fun files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the MU Up/Down 15m series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

How many MU Up/Down 15m contracts trade per day on predict.fun?

On average 26 MU Up/Down 15m contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 2 captured days on predict.fun, with about 139.5K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.

How liquid are predict.fun MU Up/Down 15m contracts?

Over the last 2 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 3.04 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $34.14 per side, 46 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.

What was the most traded MU Up/Down 15m contract on 2026-10-12?

mu-updown-15m-1791820800_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_3195995 — $545.21 USD turnover over 45 trades on predict.fun. 26 MU Up/Down 15m contracts traded that UTC day (445 trades, $3.8K in total); by their last print 7 closed Up and 6 closed Down, 13 were still open. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

How often did MU Up/Down 15m contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?

By their last recorded print, 55 % of 29 resolved MU Up/Down 15m contracts closed Up and 45 % closed Down over the 2 captured days to 2026-10-12 on predict.fun, with about 17 trades per contract. Outcomes are implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the per-day table on this page lists every day.

What was the busiest MU Up/Down 15m trading day on predict.fun?

2026-10-09, with $4.3K of USD turnover over 462 trades across every MU Up/Down 15m contract of the day. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09 the series has recorded 907 trades and $8.1K over 2 captured days; the single biggest contract was mu-updown-15m-1791560700_micron-technology-inc-up-or-dow_3067586 on 2026-10-09 with $546.44. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

What time of day is MU Up/Down 15m most active?

Contracts whose window ends between 16:00 and 16:59 UTC carried 23 % of the series' USD turnover over the newest 7 captured days on predict.fun. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.

Topics

Topic hubs featuring this series