predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m Historical Data
Every predict.fun “Gold Up/Down 15m” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 20 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
Gold Up/Down 15m on predict.fun — activity
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 20 captured days to 2026-11-01, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.
One purchase, the whole series for a day
A series-day bundle contains every Gold Up/Down 15m contract that was listed on predict.fun on that UTC day — traded or not — 476 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.
Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 20 trading days, 104 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 287 contract files (up to 476 on the busiest day, 18.1 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.
Gold Up/Down 15m — development since capture
24,202 trades and $281.0K of USD turnover over 20 captured days since 2026-10-09 — record day 2026-10-22 with $39.4K, biggest single contract xau-updown-15m-1793281500_gold-up-or-down-october-29-9-4_3667634 (2026-10-29, $2.1K).
| Month | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 (month to date) | 1 | 20 | $162.98 | $162.98 | 4 | 7.2K | — |
| Oct 2026 | 19 | 24,182 | $280.9K | $14.8K | 968 | 6.1M | — |
predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
Gold Up/Down 15m — how contracts resolved, last 11 days
Of 314 resolved Gold Up/Down 15m contracts over the 11 captured days to 2026-11-01, 46 % closed Up and 54 % closed Down by their last print — 22,598 trades and $274.7K of turnover, about 28 trades per contract.
| UTC day | Contracts | Closed Up | Closed Down | Up share | Trades / contract | Turnover / contract | Turnover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100 % | 5 | $40.74 | $162.98 |
| 2026-10-30 | 84 | 6 | 17 | 26 % | 18 | $177.07 | $14.9K |
| 2026-10-29 | 91 | 12 | 12 | 50 % | 31 | $322.97 | $29.4K |
| 2026-10-28 | 96 | 11 | 18 | 38 % | 33 | $353.57 | $33.9K |
| 2026-10-27 | 96 | 17 | 7 | 71 % | 32 | $403.14 | $38.7K |
| 2026-10-26 | 103 | 16 | 14 | 53 % | 30 | $376.85 | $38.8K |
| 2026-10-25 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 % | 11 | $56.48 | $451.85 |
| 2026-10-23 | 84 | 17 | 14 | 55 % | 28 | $435.47 | $36.6K |
| 2026-10-22 | 97 | 35 | 50 | 41 % | 34 | $405.94 | $39.4K |
| 2026-10-21 | 98 | 26 | 31 | 46 % | 28 | $374.84 | $36.7K |
| 2026-10-20 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 33 % | 14 | $148.6 | $5.6K |
| Total | 799 | 144 | 170 | 46 % | 28 | $343.77 | $274.7K |
Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.
Gold Up/Down 15m — did the opening price call the result?
The side the opening price favoured won 53 % of 314 settled Gold Up/Down 15m contracts that opened away from 50 ¢ over the 2026-10-12 – 2026-11-01 window. Contracts opening at 50–60 ¢ — 449 of them — closed Up 46 % of the time.
| Opening price | Contracts | Closed Up | Closed Down | Up share | Open at last print |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–30 ¢ | 45 | 2 | 5 | 29 % | 38 |
| 30–40 ¢ | 70 | 4 | 9 | 31 % | 57 |
| 40–50 ¢ | 273 | 45 | 54 | 45 % | 174 |
| 50–60 ¢ | 449 | 74 | 88 | 46 % | 287 |
| 60–70 ¢ | 62 | 8 | 9 | 47 % | 45 |
| 70–80 ¢ | 28 | 5 | 1 | 83 % | 22 |
| other opening prices | 45 | 8 | 7 | 53 % | 30 |
| Total | 972 | 146 | 173 | 46 % | 653 |
Opening price = the contract's first recorded print of the UTC day, grouped in 10 ¢ steps (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢). Outcome implied by the last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official result, we record the market. Deciles with fewer than 20 contracts are folded into one row.
Gold Up/Down 15m — activity by weekday and hour
Wednesdays carry the most turnover, about $24.8K per day. Contracts ending 13:00–13:59 UTC take 8 % of the series' turnover.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $13.0K | 1.0K | 3 | |
| Tuesday | $15.6K | 1.4K | 3 | |
| Wednesday | $24.8K | 2.2K | 3 | |
| Thursday | $23.0K | 2.0K | 3 | |
| Friday | $12.9K | 970.75 | 4 | |
| Saturday | — | — | 0 | |
| Sunday | $153.71 | 26.25 | 4 |
predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
| Window ends (UTC) | Turnover | USD | Share | Trades | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00–00:59 | $5.3K | 3.4 % | 553 | 23 | |
| 01:00–01:59 | $3.1K | 2.0 % | 397 | 24 | |
| 02:00–02:59 | $1.9K | 1.2 % | 277 | 20 | |
| 03:00–03:59 | $4.1K | 2.7 % | 378 | 20 | |
| 04:00–04:59 | $5.4K | 3.5 % | 359 | 20 | |
| 05:00–05:59 | $2.9K | 1.9 % | 286 | 19 | |
| 06:00–06:59 | $3.2K | 2.1 % | 309 | 18 | |
| 07:00–07:59 | $6.7K | 4.3 % | 437 | 20 | |
| 08:00–08:59 | $4.7K | 3.0 % | 424 | 20 | |
| 09:00–09:59 | $7.3K | 4.7 % | 624 | 20 | |
| 10:00–10:59 | $7.2K | 4.6 % | 647 | 20 | |
| 11:00–11:59 | $8.4K | 5.4 % | 657 | 20 | |
| 12:00–12:59 | $10.8K | 6.9 % | 864 | 20 | |
| 13:00–13:59 | $12.7K | 8.1 % | 1,108 | 20 | |
| 14:00–14:59 | $10.5K | 6.8 % | 811 | 20 | |
| 15:00–15:59 | $12.6K | 8.1 % | 995 | 20 | |
| 16:00–16:59 | $9.7K | 6.2 % | 887 | 20 | |
| 17:00–17:59 | $9.6K | 6.1 % | 843 | 20 | |
| 18:00–18:59 | $9.1K | 5.9 % | 683 | 20 | |
| 19:00–19:59 | $5.9K | 3.8 % | 472 | 20 | |
| 20:00–20:59 | $4.8K | 3.0 % | 444 | 19 | |
| 21:00–21:59 | $2.9K | 1.9 % | 304 | 17 | |
| 22:00–22:59 | $3.6K | 2.3 % | 444 | 16 | |
| 23:00–23:59 | $3.5K | 2.2 % | 442 | 18 |
predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m — USD turnover and trades grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract window ends, over the newest 7 captured days of every contract in the series; from our tick archive.
Gold Up/Down 15m — last 20 days in the archive
Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.
| UTC day | Files | Size | Traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Avg spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 476 | 709 KB | 4 | 20 | $162.98 | 26 % | 15.1 ¢ | $67.33 | 7.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-30 | 86 | 6.89 MB | 84 | 1,517 | $14.9K | 57 % | 52.3 ¢ | $45.08 | 421.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-29 | 182 | 15.8 MB | 91 | 2,780 | $29.4K | 52 % | 47.2 ¢ | $39.85 | 1.2M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-28 | 278 | 18.1 MB | 96 | 3,163 | $33.9K | 54 % | 46.9 ¢ | $40.53 | 1.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-27 | 374 | 10.6 MB | 96 | 3,048 | $38.7K | 55 % | 49.4 ¢ | $37.86 | 701.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-26 | 470 | 4.50 MB | 103 | 3,117 | $38.8K | 52 % | 58.5 ¢ | $40.42 | 181.7K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-25 | 476 | 594 KB | 8 | 85 | $451.85 | 60 % | 11.3 ¢ | $46.97 | 2.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-23 | 86 | 2.05 MB | 84 | 2,366 | $36.6K | 53 % | 42.2 ¢ | $64.27 | 89.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-22 | 181 | 7.59 MB | 97 | 3,256 | $39.4K | 66 % | 43.8 ¢ | $43.23 | 495.5K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-21 | 278 | 8.21 MB | 98 | 2,722 | $36.7K | 59 % | 4.72 ¢ | $36.18 | 502.9K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-20 | 374 | 6.69 MB | 38 | 524 | $5.6K | 67 % | 3.06 ¢ | $31.87 | 451.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-19 | 470 | 3.18 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 157.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-18 | 476 | 521 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 291 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-16 | 85 | 1.90 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 142.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-15 | 181 | 6.71 MB | 20 | 69 | $275.71 | 65 % | 2.36 ¢ | $16.31 | 93.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-14 | 277 | 5.03 MB | 71 | 766 | $3.7K | 37 % | 2.74 ¢ | $20.25 | 126.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-13 | 374 | 2.60 MB | 77 | 757 | $2.3K | 31 % | 2.52 ¢ | $17.26 | 158.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-12 | 469 | 1.69 MB | 5 | 12 | $40.09 | 8 % | 2.62 ¢ | $30.62 | 70.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-11 | 104 | 661 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 256 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-09 | 51 | 108 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 2.6K | Buy day → |
Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.
Gold Up/Down 15m results by contract — 2026-11-01
Every contract of the newest captured UTC day with open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by its last print; the six previous days fold out below. Contracts quote 0..1.
4 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-11-01 — 1 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 0 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 3 still open at the last print: 20 trades, $162.98 USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793574000_gold-up-or-down-november-1-6pm_3847241 with $107.63 turnover.
| Contract | Window end (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xau-updown-15m-1793574000_gold-up-or-down-november-1-6pm_3847241 | 23:16 | 0.920 | 0.990 | 0.650 | 0.990 | 0.970 | Up | 7 | $107.63 | 6 % | 18.0 ¢ | $85.17 | 1.5K | buy file → |
| xau-updown-15m-1793574900_gold-up-or-down-november-1-6-1_3847881 | 23:31 | 0.330 | 0.700 | 0.330 | 0.700 | 0.575 | open | 3 | $12.04 | 92 % | 11.2 ¢ | $42.22 | 1.6K | buy file → |
| xau-updown-15m-1793575800_gold-up-or-down-november-1-6-3_3848944 | 23:46 | 0.230 | 0.790 | 0.210 | 0.790 | 0.626 | open | 5 | $29.92 | 51 % | 9.96 ¢ | $32.42 | 1.9K | buy file → |
| xau-updown-15m-1793576700_gold-up-or-down-november-1-6-4_3850411 | 00:01 | 0.290 | 0.390 | 0.270 | 0.330 | 0.332 | open | 5 | $13.39 | 66 % | 7.10 ¢ | $24.55 | 2.1K | buy file → |
Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Up). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Up, ≤ 0.03 as Down, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. 4 of 476 contract files of the day had trades.
2026-10-30 — 84 contracts, 1,517 trades, $14.9K turnover
84 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-30 — 6 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 17 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 61 still open at the last print: 1,517 trades, $14.9K USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793382300_gold-up-or-down-october-30-1-4_3711357 with $1.5K turnover.
2026-10-29 — 91 contracts, 2,780 trades, $29.4K turnover
91 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-29 — 12 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 12 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 67 still open at the last print: 2,780 trades, $29.4K USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793281500_gold-up-or-down-october-29-9-4_3667634 with $2.1K turnover.
2026-10-28 — 96 contracts, 3,163 trades, $33.9K turnover
96 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-28 — 11 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 18 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 67 still open at the last print: 3,163 trades, $33.9K USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793172600_gold-up-or-down-october-28-3-3_3631616 with $1.6K turnover.
2026-10-27 — 96 contracts, 3,048 trades, $38.7K turnover
96 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-27 — 17 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 7 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 72 still open at the last print: 3,048 trades, $38.7K USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793106000_gold-up-or-down-october-27-9am_3596221 with $1.6K turnover.
2026-10-26 — 103 contracts, 3,117 trades, $38.8K turnover
103 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-26 — 16 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 14 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 73 still open at the last print: 3,117 trades, $38.8K USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793026800_gold-up-or-down-october-26-11a_3555087 with $1.9K turnover.
2026-10-25 — 8 contracts, 85 trades, $451.85 turnover
8 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-25 — 0 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 1 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 7 still open at the last print: 85 trades, $451.85 USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1792971900_gold-up-or-down-october-25-7-4_3539460 with $189.51 turnover.
How a Gold Up/Down 15m contract trades
On predict.fun, a Gold Up/Down 15m contract trades for about 37 min from open to close, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 4 contracts captured on 2026-11-01.
Try a Gold Up/Down 15m contract file for free
The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.
xau-updown-15m-1792692900_gold-up-or-down-october-22-2-1_3399004 minute by minute — 2026-10-22
One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.
xau-updown-15m-1792692900_gold-up-or-down-october-22-2-1_3399004 traded in 14 of the day’s minutes (18:16–18:30 UTC): 45 trades, $2.0K turnover, opening at 0.590, ranging 0.520–0.990 and closing at 0.990.
| Minute (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | Trades | Turnover | Spread | Top-1 bid / ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:16 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.520 | 0.550 | 3 | $62.64 | 14.9 ¢ | $231.25 / $463.58 |
| 18:17 | 0.550 | 0.710 | 0.710 | 0.710 | 1 | $2.45 | 10.2 ¢ | $241.44 / $923.51 |
| 18:18 | 0.710 | 0.820 | 0.760 | 0.820 | 2 | $22.71 | 11.7 ¢ | $233.57 / $1.1K |
| 18:19 | 0.820 | 0.860 | 0.820 | 0.860 | 3 | $37.69 | 10.6 ¢ | $233.49 / $1.5K |
| 18:20 | 0.860 | 0.840 | 0.790 | 0.790 | 2 | $9.87 | 11.1 ¢ | $237.38 / $1.3K |
| 18:22 | 0.790 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 1 | $24.68 | 11.7 ¢ | $235.93 / $1.9K |
| 18:23 | 0.840 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $99.86 | 9.41 ¢ | $241.48 / $2.2K |
| 18:24 | 0.930 | 0.800 | 0.800 | 0.800 | 1 | $4 | 9.10 ¢ | $243.71 / $1.3K |
| 18:25 | 0.800 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $17.4 | 9.71 ¢ | $238.74 / $2.0K |
| 18:26 | 0.900 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 3 | $37.29 | 5.73 ¢ | $242.28 / $1.2K |
| 18:27 | 0.810 | 0.900 | 0.770 | 0.770 | 14 | $944.32 | 14.2 ¢ | $212.22 / $2.7K |
| 18:28 | 0.770 | 0.760 | 0.670 | 0.670 | 8 | $498.84 | 17.4 ¢ | $215.04 / $2.1K |
| 18:29 | 0.670 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 1 | $99.86 | 52.3 ¢ | $125.37 / $2.1K |
| 18:30 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 4 | $97.87 | 98.0 ¢ | $294.79 / $78.23 |
1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.
Train a Gold Up/Down 15m bot on this data
Every Gold Up/Down 15m window settles, and the last print of each contract implies the outcome — the label comes with the market. A 15m grid yields 96 settled windows per UTC day; each day bundle holds every contract's full order-book path and trade tape, nanosecond-stamped, as the features for that label.
Split by time, never at random — adjacent windows share a regime, and a random split leaks it into the test set; walk-forward validation keeps the estimate honest.
Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.
Why buy predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
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Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data — FAQ
What predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data can I download?
Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Gold Up/Down 15m series on predict.fun (476 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.
How far back does the Gold Up/Down 15m data go?
Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 20 trading days in total.
What format are the predict.fun files in?
One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.
Can I get predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m historical data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the Gold Up/Down 15m series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
How many Gold Up/Down 15m contracts trade per day on predict.fun?
On average 49 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 20 captured days on predict.fun, with about 303.5K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.
How liquid are predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m contracts?
Over the last 20 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 40.7 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $42.58 per side, 56 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.
What was the most traded Gold Up/Down 15m contract on 2026-11-01?
xau-updown-15m-1793574000_gold-up-or-down-november-1-6pm_3847241 — $107.63 USD turnover over 7 trades on predict.fun. 4 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded that UTC day (20 trades, $162.98 in total); by their last print 1 closed Up and 0 closed Down, 3 were still open. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.
How often did Gold Up/Down 15m contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?
By their last recorded print, 46 % of 314 resolved Gold Up/Down 15m contracts closed Up and 54 % closed Down over the 11 captured days to 2026-11-01 on predict.fun, with about 28 trades per contract. Outcomes are implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the per-day table on this page lists every day.
Did the opening price predict how Gold Up/Down 15m contracts resolved?
Over the 15 captured days 2026-10-12 – 2026-11-01 on predict.fun, 314 settled Gold Up/Down 15m contracts opened away from 50 ¢, and the side the opening price favoured won 53 % of them; the largest group, 449 contracts opening at 50–60 ¢, closed Up 46 % of the time. Outcomes are implied from each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the opening-price table on this page lists every 10 ¢ step, and the tick data behind it is in the day bundles.
What was the busiest Gold Up/Down 15m trading day on predict.fun?
2026-10-22, with $39.4K of USD turnover over 3,256 trades across every Gold Up/Down 15m contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $280.9K. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09 the series has recorded 24,202 trades and $281.0K over 20 captured days; the single biggest contract was xau-updown-15m-1793281500_gold-up-or-down-october-29-9-4_3667634 on 2026-10-29 with $2.1K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.
What time of day is Gold Up/Down 15m most active?
Contracts whose window ends between 13:00 and 13:59 UTC carried 8 % of the series' USD turnover over the newest 7 captured days on predict.fun. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.