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predict.fun · Economics · 15m

predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m Historical Data

Every predict.fun “Gold Up/Down 15m” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 3 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
3
Coverage
October 2026 – present
Archive size
2.44 MB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

Gold Up/Down 15m on predict.fun — activity

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 3 captured days to 2026-10-12, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.

Slug prefix
xau-updown-15m-
Avg trades / day
4
Avg turnover / day
$13.36
Captured days
3
Trades (30d)
12
Turnover (30d)
$40.09
Contracts traded / day
2
Buy share
8 %
Avg spread
2.62 ¢
Top-1 depth
$30.62
L2 updates / day
24.5K
Since 2026-10-09
12 trades · $40.09
Record day
$40.09 · 2026-10-12
Files on latest day
469
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every Gold Up/Down 15m contract that was listed on predict.fun on that UTC day — traded or not — 469 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 3 trading days, 2.44 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 208 contract files (up to 469 on the busiest day, 1.69 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

Gold Up/Down 15m — development since capture

12 trades and $40.09 of USD turnover over 3 captured days since 2026-10-09 — record day 2026-10-12 with $40.09, biggest single contract xau-updown-15m-1791810000_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9am_3190007 (2026-10-12, $32.31).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Oct 2026 (month to date)312$40.09$13.36573.6K—

predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

Outcomes

Gold Up/Down 15m — how contracts resolved, last 1 days

Of 1 resolved Gold Up/Down 15m contracts over the 1 captured days to 2026-10-12, 100 % closed Up and 0 % closed Down by their last print — 12 trades and $40.09 of turnover, about 2 trades per contract.

UTC dayContractsClosed UpClosed DownUp shareTrades / contractTurnover / contractTurnover
2026-10-12510100 %2$8.02$40.09
Total510100 %2$8.02$40.09

Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.

When it trades

Gold Up/Down 15m — activity by weekday

Mondays carry the most turnover, about $40.09 per day. Contracts ending 13:00–13:59 UTC take 86 % of the series' turnover.

Weekday (UTC)Avg turnover / dayUSDAvg tradesDays
Monday$40.09121
Tuesday——0
Wednesday——0
Thursday——0
Friday$001
Saturday——0
Sunday$001

predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.

Daily statistics

Gold Up/Down 15m — last 3 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-10-124691.69 MB512$40.098 %2.62 ¢$30.6270.8KBuy day →
2026-10-11104661 KB00$0———256Buy day →
2026-10-0951108 KB00$0———2.6KBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

Gold Up/Down 15m results by contract — 2026-10-12

Every contract of the newest captured UTC day with open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by its last print; the six previous days fold out below. Contracts quote 0..1.

5 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded on 2026-10-12 — 1 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 0 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 4 still open at the last print: 12 trades, $40.09 USD turnover. The busiest contract was xau-updown-15m-1791810000_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9am_3190007 with $32.31 turnover.

ContractWindow end (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy share
xau-updown-15m-1791810000_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9am_319000713:160.9700.9700.9700.9700.970Up1$32.310 %buy file →
xau-updown-15m-1791810900_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9-1_319009713:310.4900.7600.4900.7600.597open3$1.9851 %buy file →
xau-updown-15m-1791812700_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9-4_319098514:010.2900.4000.2400.2900.313open5$2.4342 %buy file →
xau-updown-15m-1791813600_gold-up-or-down-october-12-10a_319102714:160.4800.4800.4100.4100.445open2$1.854 %buy file →
xau-updown-15m-1791823500_gold-up-or-down-october-12-12_319900517:010.6100.6100.6100.6100.610open1$1.570 %buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Up). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Up, ≤ 0.03 as Down, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover. 5 of 469 contract files of the day had trades.

Contract anatomy

How a Gold Up/Down 15m contract trades

Trading window
16 h
Tick size
0.01
Contracts measured
5
Quoted in
USDT

On predict.fun, a Gold Up/Down 15m contract trades for about 16 h from open to close, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 5 contracts captured on 2026-10-12.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data — FAQ

What predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Gold Up/Down 15m series on predict.fun (469 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

How far back does the Gold Up/Down 15m data go?

Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 3 trading days in total.

What format are the predict.fun files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the Gold Up/Down 15m series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

How many Gold Up/Down 15m contracts trade per day on predict.fun?

On average 2 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 3 captured days on predict.fun, with about 24.5K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.

How liquid are predict.fun Gold Up/Down 15m contracts?

Over the last 3 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 2.62 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $30.62 per side, 8 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.

What was the most traded Gold Up/Down 15m contract on 2026-10-12?

xau-updown-15m-1791810000_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9am_3190007 — $32.31 USD turnover over 1 trades on predict.fun. 5 Gold Up/Down 15m contracts traded that UTC day (12 trades, $40.09 in total); by their last print 1 closed Up and 0 closed Down, 4 were still open. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

How often did Gold Up/Down 15m contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?

By their last recorded print, 100 % of 1 resolved Gold Up/Down 15m contracts closed Up and 0 % closed Down over the 1 captured days to 2026-10-12 on predict.fun, with about 2 trades per contract. Outcomes are implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the per-day table on this page lists every day.

What was the busiest Gold Up/Down 15m trading day on predict.fun?

2026-10-12, with $40.09 of USD turnover over 12 trades across every Gold Up/Down 15m contract of the day. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09 the series has recorded 12 trades and $40.09 over 3 captured days; the single biggest contract was xau-updown-15m-1791810000_gold-up-or-down-october-12-9am_3190007 on 2026-10-12 with $32.31. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

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