predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h Historical Data
Every predict.fun “BTC Up or Down 1h” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 25 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
BTC Up or Down 1h on predict.fun — activity
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 25 captured days to 2026-11-02, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.
One purchase, the whole series for a day
A series-day bundle contains every BTC Up or Down 1h contract that was listed on predict.fun on that UTC day — traded or not — 52 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.
Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 25 trading days, 748 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 52 contract files (up to 52 on the busiest day, 48.1 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.
BTC Up or Down 1h — development since capture
410,762 trades and $4.3M of USD turnover over 25 captured days since 2026-10-09 — record day 2026-10-21 with $452.5K, biggest single contract bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-13-2026_3197422 (2026-10-13, $77.4K).
| Month | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 (month to date) | 2 | 40,571 | $278.6K | $139.3K | 52 | 5.1M | — |
| Oct 2026 | 23 | 370,191 | $4.0M | $175.3K | 463 | 63.7M | — |
predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
BTC Up or Down 1h — how contracts resolved, last 14 days
Of 327 resolved BTC Up or Down 1h contracts over the 14 captured days to 2026-11-02, 47 % closed Up and 53 % closed Down by their last print — 348,958 trades and $3.4M of turnover, about 926 trades per contract.
| UTC day | Contracts | Closed Up | Closed Down | Up share | Trades / contract | Turnover / contract | Turnover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | 28 | 7 | 17 | 29 % | 719 | $5.8K | $162.0K |
| 2026-11-01 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 48 % | 852 | $4.9K | $116.6K |
| 2026-10-31 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 58 % | 900 | $5.7K | $159.0K |
| 2026-10-30 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 48 % | 736 | $5.1K | $137.6K |
| 2026-10-29 | 28 | 8 | 14 | 36 % | 846 | $10.4K | $291.7K |
| 2026-10-28 | 29 | 12 | 14 | 46 % | 972 | $11.2K | $323.5K |
| 2026-10-27 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 57 % | 890 | $10.5K | $313.8K |
| 2026-10-26 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 52 % | 1,010 | $10.5K | $303.8K |
| 2026-10-25 | 27 | 9 | 16 | 36 % | 1,209 | $9.7K | $261.8K |
| 2026-10-24 | 28 | 11 | 14 | 44 % | 992 | $7.1K | $200.1K |
| 2026-10-23 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 50 % | 1,087 | $11.5K | $309.5K |
| 2026-10-22 | 29 | 10 | 16 | 38 % | 966 | $7.3K | $213.1K |
| 2026-10-21 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 62 % | 964 | $15.6K | $452.5K |
| 2026-10-20 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 73 % | 694 | $10.2K | $142.2K |
| Total | 377 | 155 | 172 | 47 % | 926 | $9.0K | $3.4M |
Outcome implied by each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official results, we record the market. Every contract of the day is counted for this series; trades and USD turnover come from the tick archive.
BTC Up or Down 1h — did the opening price call the result?
The side the opening price favoured won 48 % of 390 settled BTC Up or Down 1h contracts that opened away from 50 ¢ over the 2026-10-09 – 2026-11-02 window. Contracts opening at 50–60 ¢ — 347 of them — closed Up 45 % of the time.
| Opening price | Contracts | Closed Up | Closed Down | Up share | Open at last print |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50 ¢ | 141 | 63 | 59 | 52 % | 19 |
| 50–60 ¢ | 347 | 132 | 162 | 45 % | 53 |
| other opening prices | 27 | 10 | 9 | 53 % | 8 |
| Total | 515 | 205 | 230 | 47 % | 80 |
Opening price = the contract's first recorded print of the UTC day, grouped in 10 ¢ steps (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢). Outcome implied by the last recorded print (≥ 0.97 = Up, ≤ 0.03 = Down; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official result, we record the market. Deciles with fewer than 20 contracts are folded into one row.
BTC 1h on other prediction venues
Polymarket also lists a BTC 1h series — the same 30-day statistics side by side, each a day bundle of its own.
| Venue · series | Trades (30d) | Turnover (30d) | Avg spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates / trade | Days archived | Price / day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| predict.fun · BTC Up or Down 1h (this page) | 410,762 | $4.3M | 3.58 ¢ | $336.49 | 167.4 | 25 | €1 |
| Polymarket · BTC Up or Down 1h | 514,098 | $12.1M | 1.57 ¢ | $11.6K | 429.7 | 537 | €1 |
30-day window of the statistics table, per venue's own series; spread in contract-price cents and best-bid/ask depth are turnover-weighted, L2 updates per trade = recorded order-book level updates ÷ trades. "—" = no statistics row in the window. Each venue settles its own contracts on its own rules — the series are comparable in subject, not interchangeable.
BTC Up or Down 1h — activity by weekday and hour
Wednesdays carry the most turnover, about $319.6K per day. Contracts ending 16:00–16:59 UTC take 23 % of the series' turnover.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $170.0K | 16.1K | 4 | |
| Tuesday | $244.7K | 17.1K | 3 | |
| Wednesday | $319.6K | 23.1K | 3 | |
| Thursday | $173.4K | 17.6K | 3 | |
| Friday | $151.6K | 14.9K | 4 | |
| Saturday | $107.9K | 15.1K | 4 | |
| Sunday | $94.6K | 13.3K | 4 |
predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
| Window ends (UTC) | Turnover | USD | Share | Trades | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00–00:59 | $39.3K | 2.6 % | 5,437 | 9 | |
| 01:00–01:59 | $39.5K | 2.6 % | 6,185 | 14 | |
| 02:00–02:59 | $54.2K | 3.6 % | 6,457 | 8 | |
| 03:00–03:59 | $45.6K | 3.0 % | 6,947 | 10 | |
| 04:00–04:59 | $60.1K | 4.0 % | 5,644 | 7 | |
| 05:00–05:59 | $28.5K | 1.9 % | 4,243 | 6 | |
| 06:00–06:59 | $44.9K | 3.0 % | 4,771 | 6 | |
| 07:00–07:59 | $31.3K | 2.1 % | 4,964 | 6 | |
| 08:00–08:59 | $34.4K | 2.3 % | 6,114 | 7 | |
| 09:00–09:59 | $61.8K | 4.1 % | 6,068 | 7 | |
| 10:00–10:59 | $43.5K | 2.9 % | 4,975 | 7 | |
| 11:00–11:59 | $63.2K | 4.2 % | 7,774 | 7 | |
| 12:00–12:59 | $32.5K | 2.2 % | 5,333 | 7 | |
| 13:00–13:59 | $52.8K | 3.5 % | 6,600 | 7 | |
| 14:00–14:59 | $69.4K | 4.6 % | 8,241 | 7 | |
| 15:00–15:59 | $76.1K | 5.1 % | 8,146 | 7 | |
| 16:00–16:59 | $341.4K | 22.7 % | 14,124 | 18 | |
| 17:00–17:59 | $103.4K | 6.9 % | 9,956 | 12 | |
| 18:00–18:59 | $29.6K | 2.0 % | 4,503 | 6 | |
| 19:00–19:59 | $55.1K | 3.7 % | 7,292 | 8 | |
| 20:00–20:59 | $48.3K | 3.2 % | 6,945 | 7 | |
| 21:00–21:59 | $28.9K | 1.9 % | 7,412 | 7 | |
| 22:00–22:59 | $79.3K | 5.3 % | 8,574 | 7 | |
| 23:00–23:59 | $41.2K | 2.7 % | 7,530 | 7 |
predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h — USD turnover and trades grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract window ends, over the newest 7 captured days of every contract in the series; from our tick archive.
BTC Up or Down 1h — last 25 days in the archive
Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.
| UTC day | Files | Size | Traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Avg spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | 52 | 43.5 MB | 28 | 20,132 | $162.0K | 46 % | 21.1 ¢ | $296.04 | 3.8M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-11-01 | 49 | 18.2 MB | 24 | 20,439 | $116.6K | 49 % | 3.68 ¢ | $282.89 | 1.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-31 | 52 | 27.9 MB | 28 | 25,197 | $159.0K | 50 % | 3.56 ¢ | $211.94 | 2.2M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-30 | 52 | 43.9 MB | 27 | 19,882 | $137.6K | 51 % | 2.02 ¢ | $163.25 | 4.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-29 | 52 | 40.8 MB | 28 | 23,695 | $291.7K | 51 % | 2.27 ¢ | $211.36 | 3.5M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-28 | 52 | 39.6 MB | 29 | 28,198 | $323.5K | 46 % | 2.19 ¢ | $225.88 | 3.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-27 | 52 | 42.7 MB | 30 | 26,692 | $313.8K | 44 % | 2.46 ¢ | $216.58 | 3.7M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-26 | 52 | 47.1 MB | 29 | 29,277 | $303.8K | 47 % | 2.93 ¢ | $236.5 | 4.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-25 | 52 | 32.5 MB | 27 | 32,631 | $261.8K | 46 % | 3.01 ¢ | $345.21 | 2.7M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-24 | 52 | 37.2 MB | 28 | 27,768 | $200.1K | 54 % | 3.68 ¢ | $172.21 | 3.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-23 | 52 | 45.7 MB | 27 | 29,360 | $309.5K | 46 % | 3.00 ¢ | $242.57 | 4.0M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-22 | 52 | 45.2 MB | 29 | 28,017 | $213.1K | 47 % | 2.34 ¢ | $165.48 | 4.2M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-21 | 52 | 44.5 MB | 29 | 27,960 | $452.5K | 46 % | 4.50 ¢ | $343.52 | 4.0M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-20 | 52 | 48.1 MB | 14 | 9,710 | $142.2K | 50 % | 2.85 ¢ | $807.94 | 4.4M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-19 | 52 | 35.1 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 3.4M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-18 | 52 | 16.8 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.9M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-17 | 52 | 14.4 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.5M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-16 | 52 | 22.2 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 2.8M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-15 | 52 | 12.4 MB | 16 | 1,174 | $15.5K | 49 % | 2.56 ¢ | $209.18 | 1.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-14 | 52 | 17.9 MB | 27 | 13,052 | $182.9K | 46 % | 2.94 ¢ | $412.66 | 1.9M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-13 | 52 | 19.6 MB | 29 | 15,045 | $278.0K | 51 % | 2.66 ¢ | $526.11 | 2.2M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-12 | 52 | 17.9 MB | 30 | 14,879 | $214.2K | 45 % | 2.56 ¢ | $286.32 | 1.8M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-11 | 52 | 8.51 MB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 574.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-10 | 52 | 12.1 MB | 15 | 7,282 | $72.4K | 51 % | 2.02 ¢ | $303.98 | 937.5K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-09 | 43 | 13.7 MB | 21 | 10,372 | $159.3K | 45 % | 1.77 ¢ | $1.4K | 1.4M | Buy day → |
Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.
BTC Up or Down 1h results by contract — 2026-11-02
Every contract of the newest captured UTC day with open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by its last print; the six previous days fold out below. Contracts quote 0..1.
28 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-11-02 — 7 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 17 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 4 still open at the last print: 20,132 trades, $162.0K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-november-2-2026_4069620 with $22.4K turnover.
Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Up). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Up, ≤ 0.03 as Down, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. 28 of 52 contract files of the day had trades.
2026-11-01 — 24 contracts, 20,439 trades, $116.6K turnover
24 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-11-01 — 10 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 11 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 3 still open at the last print: 20,439 trades, $116.6K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-november-1-2026_4024095 with $23.4K turnover.
2026-10-31 — 28 contracts, 25,197 trades, $159.0K turnover
28 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-10-31 — 15 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 11 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 25,197 trades, $159.0K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-31-2026_3996699 with $40.9K turnover.
2026-10-30 — 27 contracts, 19,882 trades, $137.6K turnover
27 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-10-30 — 12 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 13 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 19,882 trades, $137.6K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-11am-et_bitcoin-up-or_3956500 with $12.0K turnover.
2026-10-29 — 28 contracts, 23,695 trades, $291.7K turnover
28 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-10-29 — 8 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 14 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 6 still open at the last print: 23,695 trades, $291.7K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-29-2026_3920574 with $54.9K turnover.
2026-10-28 — 29 contracts, 28,198 trades, $323.5K turnover
29 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-10-28 — 12 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 14 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 3 still open at the last print: 28,198 trades, $323.5K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-28-2026_3876529 with $66.8K turnover.
2026-10-27 — 30 contracts, 26,692 trades, $313.8K turnover
30 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded on 2026-10-27 — 13 closed Up (≥ 0.97), 10 closed Down (≤ 0.03), 7 still open at the last print: 26,692 trades, $313.8K USD turnover. The busiest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-27-2026_3824443 with $48.7K turnover.
How a BTC Up or Down 1h contract trades
On predict.fun, a BTC Up or Down 1h contract trades for about 25 h from open to close, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 28 contracts captured on 2026-11-02.
Try a BTC Up or Down 1h contract file for free
The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026_3708134 minute by minute — 2026-10-25
One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026_3708134 traded in 474 of the day’s minutes (00:02–16:28 UTC): 894 trades, $66.7K turnover, opening at 0.910, ranging 0.710–0.990 and closing at 0.973.
| Minute (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | Trades | Turnover | Spread | Top-1 bid / ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:02 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 2 | $149.18 | 1.00 ¢ | $322.61 / $663.18 |
| 00:03 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 3 | $29.96 | 1.00 ¢ | $211.89 / $684.45 |
| 00:04 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 5 | $267.81 | 1.00 ¢ | $130.84 / $390.78 |
| 00:08 | 0.900 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 2 | $9.93 | 1.03 ¢ | $116.82 / $128.27 |
| 00:09 | 0.900 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $1 | 1.01 ¢ | $132.33 / $68.07 |
| 00:10 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $134.83 | 1.02 ¢ | $107.03 / $98.01 |
| 00:12 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $44.95 | 1.00 ¢ | $61.24 / $153.09 |
| 00:15 | 0.900 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 2 | $54.84 | 1.00 ¢ | $135.58 / $299.03 |
| 00:16 | 0.900 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $2.7 | 1.00 ¢ | $104.76 / $295.43 |
| 00:17 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $2.67 | 1.00 ¢ | $106.04 / $287.74 |
| 00:18 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $8.99 | 1.00 ¢ | $170.59 / $303.86 |
| 00:19 | 0.900 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $13.73 | 1.00 ¢ | $173.68 / $312.47 |
| 00:20 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $8.99 | 1.00 ¢ | $160.29 / $309.98 |
| 00:21 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $17.98 | 1.00 ¢ | $152.67 / $90.85 |
| 00:22 | 0.900 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $4.96 | 1.00 ¢ | $155.85 / $1.61 |
| 00:24 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 2 | $179.77 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.4K / $1.52 |
| 00:25 | 0.900 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 2 | $69.42 | 1.00 ¢ | $915.17 / $400.02 |
| 00:26 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $142.17 | 1.00 ¢ | $141.29 / $491.88 |
| 00:28 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $11.49 | 1.00 ¢ | $65.35 / $326.58 |
| 00:32 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $5.1 | 1.00 ¢ | $91.2 / $159.21 |
| 00:33 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $1.01 | 1.00 ¢ | $521.42 / $149.73 |
| 00:35 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 2 | $24.8 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.7K / $149.49 |
| 00:36 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 2 | $119.85 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.6K / $149.4 |
| 00:37 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 2 | $34.46 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.5K / $156.1 |
| 00:39 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 2 | $501.74 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.2K / $131.2 |
| 00:41 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $11.49 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.2K / $131.2 |
| 00:42 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $114.85 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.2K / $131.2 |
| 00:45 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $11.95 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.2K / $317.46 |
| 00:47 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $184.92 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $166.84 |
| 00:51 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 2 | $48.8 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.3K / $131.2 |
| 00:54 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $9.63 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.4K / $217.61 |
| 00:55 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $114.85 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.3K / $214.45 |
| 00:57 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $22.97 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.2K / $214.45 |
| 00:58 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $22.97 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.2K / $214.45 |
| 01:00 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $11.49 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.8K / $216.54 |
| 01:05 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $11.49 | 1.00 ¢ | $43.68 / $442.65 |
| 01:08 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $42.17 | 1.00 ¢ | $239.4 / $407.93 |
| 01:10 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $32.32 | 1.00 ¢ | $238.41 / $409.5 |
| 01:11 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $10.1 | 1.00 ¢ | $211.6 / $409.59 |
| 01:12 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 2 | $12.72 | 1.00 ¢ | $199.67 / $409.51 |
| 01:14 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 2 | $40.41 | 1.00 ¢ | $213.88 / $459.11 |
| 01:15 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $10.1 | 1.00 ¢ | $217.43 / $487.92 |
| 01:16 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $21.41 | 1.00 ¢ | $198.78 / $490.59 |
| 01:18 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $19.6 | 1.00 ¢ | $185.21 / $508.1 |
| 01:20 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 2 | $64.86 | 1.00 ¢ | $112.55 / $491.9 |
| 01:21 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $50.5 | 1.00 ¢ | $106.58 / $499.69 |
| 01:33 | 0.910 | 0.920 | 0.908 | 0.920 | 2 | $51.05 | 1.00 ¢ | $98.61 / $439 |
| 01:34 | 0.920 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 2 | $136.88 | 1.00 ¢ | $185.37 / $438.72 |
| 01:36 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1 | $100.99 | 1.00 ¢ | $154.46 / $438.95 |
| 01:39 | 0.910 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 7 | $372.69 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.1K / $312.46 |
| 01:45 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $60.53 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.4K / $219.55 |
| 01:46 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $1 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.3K / $230.54 |
| 01:55 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $11.49 | 1.00 ¢ | $334.15 / $521.49 |
| 01:59 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $114.85 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.4K / $280.75 |
| 02:00 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $114.85 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.3K / $332.05 |
| 02:01 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 5 | $332.05 | 1.00 ¢ | $711 / $1.4K |
| 02:02 | 0.930 | 0.929 | 0.929 | 0.929 | 1 | $130.66 | 1.04 ¢ | $206.91 / $2.7K |
| 02:05 | 0.929 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $1 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.5K / $2.7K |
| 02:07 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.27 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.1K / $2.6K |
| 02:09 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $145.97 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.6K |
| 02:10 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $26.54 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.6K |
| 02:11 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.27 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.8K |
| 02:12 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.27 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.8K |
| 02:13 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $13.14 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.8K |
| 02:15 | 0.940 | 0.928 | 0.928 | 0.928 | 1 | $56.52 | 1.05 ¢ | $108.3 / $3.3K |
| 02:17 | 0.928 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 2 | $80.4 | 1.39 ¢ | $297.68 / $1.5K |
| 02:18 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $1 | 1.00 ¢ | $52.92 / $12.67 |
| 02:20 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 6 | $9.94 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.1K / $8.29 |
| 02:21 | 0.920 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 2 | $13.26 | 1.00 ¢ | $421.23 / $2.9K |
| 02:22 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $5.92 | 1.00 ¢ | $192.84 / $3.3K |
| 02:23 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $26.54 | 1.00 ¢ | $197.76 / $3.4K |
| 02:24 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 3 | $146.63 | 1.00 ¢ | $52.27 / $3.3K |
| 02:26 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $31.57 | 1.00 ¢ | $21.91 / $884.59 |
| 02:29 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 2 | $61.42 | 1.00 ¢ | $21.99 / $624.2 |
| 02:31 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 4 | $359.81 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $596.15 |
| 02:33 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $49.6 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $325.33 |
| 02:34 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $114.86 | 1.01 ¢ | $2.0K / $317.94 |
| 02:36 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $48.01 | 1.01 ¢ | $2.0K / $317.94 |
| 02:37 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 3 | $329.4 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.9K / $359.32 |
| 02:42 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $61.71 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.1K / $2.8K |
| 02:45 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 4 | $511.95 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.1K / $2.8K |
| 02:51 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $114.86 | 1.01 ¢ | $1.9K / $2.6K |
| 02:56 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $5.36 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.7K |
| 03:00 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $110.41 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.6K |
| 03:01 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 4 | $91.2 | 1.01 ¢ | $1.8K / $2.6K |
| 03:02 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $2.66 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.6K |
| 03:03 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.28 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.9K / $2.6K |
| 03:04 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $19.78 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.9K / $2.6K |
| 03:05 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $90.11 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.6K |
| 03:06 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $5 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.9K / $2.6K |
| 03:12 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $25.14 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.0K / $2.6K |
| 03:16 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 2 | $81.76 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.8K / $2.5K |
| 03:17 | 0.940 | 0.950 | 0.940 | 0.950 | 7 | $2.6K | 1.00 ¢ | $2.7K / $1.7K |
| 03:20 | 0.950 | 0.950 | 0.950 | 0.950 | 1 | $499.37 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.8K / $2.0K |
| 03:21 | 0.950 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $15.65 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.8K / $2.1K |
| 03:23 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $134.13 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.6K / $2.1K |
| 03:25 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $5.87 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.5K / $988.35 |
| 03:31 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $66.36 | 1.00 ¢ | $3.3K / $97.4 |
| 03:34 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $66.36 | 1.00 ¢ | $1.6K / $97.4 |
| 03:36 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.28 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.4K / $97.4 |
| 03:38 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $17.26 | 1.00 ¢ | $3.1K / $97.41 |
| 03:41 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $66.36 | 1.00 ¢ | $3.1K / $97.4 |
| 03:45 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $26.55 | 1.00 ¢ | $3.1K / $103.28 |
| 03:46 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 3 | $39.82 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.4K / $150.73 |
| 03:49 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $265.41 | 1.00 ¢ | $891.91 / $389.96 |
| 03:50 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $132.71 | 1.00 ¢ | $640.81 / $386.87 |
| 03:51 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $66.36 | 1.00 ¢ | $571.67 / $389.01 |
| 03:54 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.27 | 1.00 ¢ | $427.3 / $866.15 |
| 03:55 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.28 | 1.00 ¢ | $417.61 / $894.42 |
| 03:57 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 5 | $391.7 | 1.00 ¢ | $81.83 / $1.2K |
| 04:00 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $15.8 | 1.00 ¢ | $74.58 / $1.2K |
| 04:15 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $6.47 | 2.00 ¢ | $530.11 / $1.3K |
| 04:25 | 0.940 | 0.925 | 0.920 | 0.925 | 2 | $412.9 | 1.01 ¢ | $84.71 / $1.3K |
| 04:26 | 0.925 | 0.930 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 7 | $566.83 | 1.01 ¢ | $65.43 / $1.3K |
| 04:27 | 0.920 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 1 | $13.27 | 1.00 ¢ | $10.68 / $1.3K |
| 04:29 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $23.75 | 1.00 ¢ | $10.99 / $1.4K |
| 04:31 | 0.940 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 2 | $19.38 | 1.00 ¢ | $38.85 / $1.2K |
| 04:33 | 0.930 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $6 | 1.00 ¢ | $17.88 / $1.6K |
| 04:37 | 0.940 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 0.920 | 1 | $119.76 | 1.01 ¢ | $1.3K / $1.4K |
| 04:38 | 0.920 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $5 | 1.00 ¢ | $2.1K / $1.3K |
First 120 of 474 active minutes. 1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.
Train a BTC Up or Down 1h bot on this data
Every BTC Up or Down 1h window settles, and the last print of each contract implies the outcome — the label comes with the market. A 1h grid yields 24 settled windows per UTC day; each day bundle holds every contract's full order-book path and trade tape, nanosecond-stamped, as the features for that label.
Split by time, never at random — adjacent windows share a regime, and a random split leaks it into the test set; walk-forward validation keeps the estimate honest. The training-data guide works the label budget and the walk-forward plan through.
Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.
Why buy predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h data — FAQ
What predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h data can I download?
Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the BTC Up or Down 1h series on predict.fun (52 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.
How far back does the BTC Up or Down 1h data go?
Coverage runs October 2026 – present — 25 trading days in total.
What format are the predict.fun files in?
One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.
Can I get predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. predict.fun records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h historical data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the BTC Up or Down 1h series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
How many BTC Up or Down 1h contracts trade per day on predict.fun?
On average 21 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 25 captured days on predict.fun, with about 2.8M order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.
How liquid are predict.fun BTC Up or Down 1h contracts?
Over the last 25 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 3.58 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $336.49 per side, 48 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.
What was the most traded BTC Up or Down 1h contract on 2026-11-02?
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-november-2-2026_4069620 — $22.4K USD turnover over 867 trades on predict.fun. 28 BTC Up or Down 1h contracts traded that UTC day (20,132 trades, $162.0K in total); by their last print 7 closed Up and 17 closed Down, 4 were still open. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.
How often did BTC Up or Down 1h contracts resolve Up vs Down recently?
By their last recorded print, 47 % of 327 resolved BTC Up or Down 1h contracts closed Up and 53 % closed Down over the 14 captured days to 2026-11-02 on predict.fun, with about 926 trades per contract. Outcomes are implied from the market (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the per-day table on this page lists every day.
Did the opening price predict how BTC Up or Down 1h contracts resolved?
Over the 20 captured days 2026-10-09 – 2026-11-02 on predict.fun, 390 settled BTC Up or Down 1h contracts opened away from 50 ¢, and the side the opening price favoured won 48 % of them; the largest group, 347 contracts opening at 50–60 ¢, closed Up 45 % of the time. Outcomes are implied from each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement; the opening-price table on this page lists every 10 ¢ step, and the tick data behind it is in the day bundles.
What was the busiest BTC Up or Down 1h trading day on predict.fun?
2026-10-21, with $452.5K of USD turnover over 27,960 trades across every BTC Up or Down 1h contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $4.0M. Since our statistics began on 2026-10-09 the series has recorded 410,762 trades and $4.3M over 25 captured days; the single biggest contract was bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-13-2026_3197422 on 2026-10-13 with $77.4K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.
What time of day is BTC Up or Down 1h most active?
Contracts whose window ends between 16:00 and 16:59 UTC carried 23 % of the series' USD turnover over the newest 7 captured days on predict.fun. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.