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Event-contract market data · Culture · Billboard & Music

Billboard & Music Prediction Data — Kalshi

Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 95 Billboard & Music series on Kalshi — Billboard Hot 100 and Billboard 200 positions, number-one songs and albums, album sales and streams, Spotify and YouTube counts, Coachella and Super Bowl halftime headliners. 16,093 series-days covering February 2026 – present; 147.3K trades · $3.9M turnover over the last 30 captured days. Every contract captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps — sold as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Series
95
Venues
Kalshi
Coverage
February 2026 – present
Series-days
16,093
Trades (30d)
147,268
Turnover (30d)
$3.9M
Since 2026-07-08
430.2K trades · $11.6M
About this topic

Billboard & Music on Kalshi

Billboard Hot 100 and 200 chart positions, album sales and streams, releases, features, festival and halftime headliners.

Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.

Most active

Most traded Billboard & Music series (last 30 days)

Ranked by USD turnover from our own daily statistics — the series a market maker or bot builder should start with.

#SeriesVenueTrades (30d)Turnover (30d)Days
1Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi14,794$1.3M30Buy days
2who will win VMA award Kalshi48,843$447.7K15Buy days
3highest daily views in time periodKalshi4,774$409.1K30Buy days
4How many album equivalent will album sellKalshi14,791$391.4K30Buy days
5how many streams will album haveKalshi3,838$217.1K30Buy days
6how many weeks will album be number 1 Kalshi3,395$178.6K30Buy days
7who will be featured on albumKalshi9,567$136.8K30Buy days
8When will artist release a new album?Kalshi2,903$129.3K30Buy days
9Who will headline super bowl LXKalshi12,018$125.2K30Buy days
10Billboard Hot 100 #1Kalshi1,734$84.1K30Buy days

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series, from the recorded tick data; 30 days to 2026-10-13. Series without statistics in the window are omitted.

Month by month

Billboard & Music — development since capture

430,191 trades and $11.6M of USD turnover across 75 series since 2026-07-08; busiest single series-day 2026-07-19 with $229.8K, biggest contract KXALBUMEQUIV-SIN26AUG27-100K (2026-08-25, $49.9K).

MonthSeries activeDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Oct 2026 (month to date)651346,099$1.5M$118.0K6,74696.7M—
Sep 20266830135,028$4.0M$131.8K18,046210.8M+0.5 %
Aug 20266931114,430$3.9M$126.9K10,69265.5M+84.8 %
Jul 20262524134,634$2.1M$88.7K———

Billboard & Music series — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

Weekly rhythm

Billboard & Music — turnover by weekday

Mondays are the busiest day at about $176.4K of USD turnover, averaged over the captured days of the last 30.

Weekday (UTC)Avg turnover / dayUSDAvg tradesDays
Monday$176.4K6.2K5
Tuesday$109.5K3.9K5
Wednesday$159.4K4.7K4
Thursday$88.7K3.5K4
Friday$146.4K4.5K4
Saturday$107.9K4.0K4
Sunday$123.5K7.5K4

Billboard & Music series — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.

Rising

Rising Billboard & Music series — 30 days vs the 30 before

#SeriesVenueTurnover (30d)Prior 30dGrowth (avg / day)Trades (30d)
1who will win VMA award Kalshi$447.7K$53.0K+1419.0 %48,843
2will person perform at event?Kalshi$10.9K$889.25+1129.0 %293
3Who will headline super bowl LXKalshi$125.2K$11.1K+1026.8 %12,018
4who will be featured on albumKalshi$136.8K$36.6K+273.5 %9,567
5When will artist release a new album?Kalshi$129.3K$34.8K+272.0 %2,903

Growth of average USD turnover per captured day, the 30 days to 2026-10-13 against the 30 days before; series need ≥ 10 captured days in both windows and ≥ $10K of turnover in the current one. From our own daily statistics.

Daily activity

Billboard & Music prediction markets — trades and turnover per day

Every captured UTC day of the last 30, summed over the 95 Billboard & Music series — how much these markets trade day by day, from our own tick capture.

UTC daySeries with statsContracts tradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareL2 updates
2026-10-13655994,058$183.4K78 %11.0M
2026-10-12655193,282$76.4K64 %10.1M
2026-10-11656806,801$79.1K79 %7.3M
2026-10-10654272,656$54.1K77 %7.5M
2026-10-09654543,214$198.6K72 %8.7M
2026-10-08653862,452$47.1K67 %6.5M
2026-10-07645813,669$132.5K85 %6.2M
2026-10-06644323,333$60.6K71 %5.7M
2026-10-05645903,628$209.6K89 %8.6M
2026-10-04645783,450$178.0K89 %6.2M
2026-10-03644842,318$99.4K88 %5.3M
2026-10-02645144,214$132.3K61 %7.5M
2026-10-01645023,024$82.7K63 %6.3M
2026-09-30646444,122$158.4K88 %9.0M
2026-09-29647213,728$84.3K55 %8.5M
2026-09-286579816,112$329.7K67 %9.9M
2026-09-276559014,934$142.6K69 %10.6M
2026-09-26656257,552$208.1K83 %7.2M
2026-09-25666397,908$193.5K67 %11.0M
2026-09-24666246,754$184.0K75 %9.1M
2026-09-23668167,910$194.6K71 %11.1M
2026-09-22656695,735$153.4K65 %7.7M
2026-09-21677895,172$210.5K87 %7.7M
2026-09-20677024,677$94.4K71 %6.3M
2026-09-19675003,501$69.8K76 %5.9M
2026-09-18684662,606$61.4K58 %6.3M
2026-09-17684501,942$41.1K66 %5.2M
2026-09-16686263,149$152.0K82 %9.8M
2026-09-15684992,734$65.6K64 %5.8M
2026-09-14685852,633$55.7K71 %6.8M

Per UTC day, summed over every Billboard & Music series that has statistics for that day, from every trade print of every contract in our tick archive. Trades and USD turnover are exact; contracts traded, buy share and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics — earlier days show —.

Biggest contracts

Most traded Billboard & Music contracts on 2026-10-13

The single event contracts with the most USD turnover on the newest captured day — with open and close price and the outcome implied by the last print.

ContractSeriesVenueOpen → CloseImplied outcomeTradesTurnover
KXYTVIEWSW-TAY26OCT18-13.9MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes7$10.3Kbuy file →
KXSUPERBOWLHEADLINE-27-MILWho will headline super bowl LXKalshi0.410 → 0.570open279$6.1Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-WEE26OCT18-15.0MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes4$5.9Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-POS26OCT18-5.0MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes4$5.9Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-OLI26OCT18-4.5MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes5$4.6Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-TAY26OCT18-13.1MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes7$4.6Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-TAY26OCT18-13.0MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes7$4.4Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-BAD26OCT18-22.0MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes6$4.4Kbuy file →
KXYTVIEWSW-DRA26OCT11-12.0MAriana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshi0.990 → 0.990Yes12$4.0Kbuy file →
KXWEEKSNUM1-26OCT31-CHO-2how many weeks will album be number 1 Kalshi0.550 → 0.320open22$4.0Kbuy file →

Single contracts ranked by USD turnover on 2026-10-13 (UTC), from every trade print in our tick archive. Prices quote 0..1; the implied outcome reads the last print of the day (≥ 0.97 Yes/Up, ≤ 0.03 No/Down) — venues publish the official result. Each contract’s day file is sold individually, the whole series day as a bundle.

95 series · 18.2 GB

Kalshi Billboard & Music series

Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.

SeriesVenueIntervalDaysCoverageSizePrice/day
Artist Yearly StreamsKalshiannual155May 2026 – present2.03 GB€1Buy days
Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count this weekKalshiweekly77July 2026 – present1.56 GB€1Buy days
How many album equivalent will album sellKalshiweekly175April 2026 – present1.50 GB€1Buy days
who will be featured on albumKalshievent166April 2026 – present1.10 GB€1Buy days
highest daily views in time periodKalshimonthly78July 2026 – present1.07 GB€1Buy days
who will win VMA award Kalshievent42August 2026 – September 2026691 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?Kalshievent224March 2026 – present622 MB€1Buy days
how many streams will album haveKalshievent43September 2026 – present583 MB€1Buy days
How many pure album sales will album haveKalshiweekly175April 2026 – present581 MB€1Buy days
WILL ARTIST HAVE A NUMBER ONE SONG ON BILLBOARD HOT 100 THIS YEARKalshiannual224March 2026 – present488 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL RELEASE A NEW ALBUMKalshievent224March 2026 – present420 MB€1Buy days
who will headline eventKalshievent64August 2026 – present380 MB€1Buy days
Who will perform at eventKalshievent82April 2026 – July 2026366 MB€1Buy days
WHICH SONG WILL BE TOP 10 ON THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 CHARTKalshievent224March 2026 – present348 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL HAVE A NUMBER 1 ALBUM ON THE BILLBOARD 200Kalshievent224March 2026 – present333 MB€1Buy days
Who will be featured on Drake albumKalshievent73March 2026 – May 2026331 MB€1Buy days
Who will headline the Super Bowl halftime show?Kalshiannual85July 2026 – present315 MB€1Buy days
WHO WIL HAVE A #1 song on Spotify Kalshimonthly152March 2026 – August 2026300 MB€1Buy days
HOW MANY ALBUM SALES WILL PERSON SELLKalshievent108March 2026 – June 2026285 MB€1Buy days
how many weeks will album be number 1 Kalshievent182April 2026 – present271 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL HAVE A TOP 20 SONG THIS YEAR?Kalshievent224March 2026 – present255 MB€1Buy days
Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?Kalshiweekly224March 2026 – present251 MB€1Buy days
Billboard Hot 100 #1Kalshiweekly224March 2026 – present244 MB€1Buy days
Top Artist on SpotifyKalshiannual224March 2026 – present199 MB€1Buy days
Who will headline super bowl LXKalshievent224March 2026 – present180 MB€1Buy days
what will be the first song sung at the world cup halftimeKalshievent34June 2026 – July 2026159 MB€1Buy days
What songs will be on GTA 6?Kalshiannual224March 2026 – present157 MB€1Buy days
music reportKalshievent117June 2026 – present155 MB€1Buy days
Top Monthly listenersKalshimonthly181March 2026 – August 2026150 MB€1Buy days
Grammy nominees for New Artist of the YearKalshiannual224March 2026 – present144 MB€1Buy days
How many streams will artist have this week?Kalshiweekly103April 2026 – July 2026144 MB€1Buy days
Who will perform the victoria secret fashion show Kalshievent146May 2026 – present131 MB€1Buy days
What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?Kalshiweekly171April 2026 – September 2026115 MB€1Buy days
When will artist release a new album?Kalshievent146May 2026 – present113 MB€1Buy days
Billboard Top 200 #1Kalshiweekly224March 2026 – present109 MB€1Buy days
TOP ARTIST USAKalshievent224March 2026 – present101 MB€1Buy days
What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?Kalshiweekly171April 2026 – September 202699.7 MB€1Buy days
will person perform at event?Kalshievent72August 2026 – present96.9 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL HAVE A #1 SONG ON SPOTIFY GLOBAL THIS MONTH?Kalshievent152March 2026 – August 202696.8 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL ANNOUNCE A TOUR THIS YEAR?Kalshievent224March 2026 – present94.4 MB€1Buy days
Who will release a new song?Kalshievent224March 2026 – present93.8 MB€1Buy days
Top Song on Spotify this yearKalshievent224March 2026 – present91.1 MB€1Buy days
WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE Kalshiweekly224March 2026 – present90.5 MB€1Buy days
WHICH SONG WILL BE NUMBER THIS MONTHKalshimonthly224March 2026 – present77.6 MB€1Buy days
Grammy nominees for Album of the YearKalshiannual224March 2026 – present76.1 MB€1Buy days
Will Album be runner up this week?Kalshiweekly224March 2026 – present74.5 MB€1Buy days
TOP TEN DJ'S ON DJ MAGS TOP 100Kalshievent224March 2026 – present73.6 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BONDKalshievent224March 2026 – present73.4 MB€1Buy days
Top album on Spotify this yearKalshievent224March 2026 – present55.1 MB€1Buy days
TOP ARTIST RUNNER UPKalshievent224March 2026 – present52.1 MB€1Buy days
HOW LONG WILL ALBUM BE Kalshievent171March 2026 – September 202651.4 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL BE FEATURED ON TRIPPIE REDS NEW ALNBIMKalshievent164March 2026 – August 202650.0 MB€1Buy days
WHERE WILL YE PERFORM THIS YEARKalshievent230February 2026 – present47.9 MB€1Buy days
what song will be performed at eventKalshievent11July 202647.0 MB€1Buy days
2nd USA SONGKalshievent224March 2026 – present43.1 MB€1Buy days
Who will perform the next james Bond songKalshievent224March 2026 – present40.2 MB€1Buy days
Will artist have more streams this week?Kalshiweekly102April 2026 – July 202638.7 MB€1Buy days
how many days will artist be #1 on Spotify in periodKalshimonthly60June 2026 – August 202637.5 MB€1Buy days
Daily US Spotify chart Runner-upKalshidaily120March 2026 – July 202637.1 MB€1Buy days
top song on spotify runner up? Kalshievent224March 2026 – present36.4 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL PERFORM AT MSGKalshievent224March 2026 – present32.5 MB€1Buy days
Daily US Spotify chartKalshidaily120March 2026 – July 202632.2 MB€1Buy days
MOST STREAMED ALBUM USAKalshievent224March 2026 – present31.1 MB€1Buy days
IFPI OFFICIAL SELING GLOBAL ARTIST OF THE YEARKalshievent224March 2026 – present31.0 MB€1Buy days
Will this album have more streams this week?Kalshiweekly101April 2026 – July 202630.5 MB€1Buy days
THIRD RANK ARTIST ON SPOTIFY Kalshievent224March 2026 – present29.9 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL BE FEATURED ON TRAVIS ALBUMKalshievent224March 2026 – present29.7 MB€1Buy days
Artist Weekly Streams VersusKalshiweekly43April 2026 – June 202629.6 MB€1Buy days
Who will headline LollapaloozaKalshievent153March 2026 – August 202629.1 MB€1Buy days
Weekly US Spotify chartKalshiweekly118March 2026 – July 202627.3 MB€1Buy days
Next Beyonce album chartKalshievent224March 2026 – present25.9 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL PERFORM AT THE SPHEREKalshievent224March 2026 – present25.8 MB€1Buy days
TOP SONG THIRD USAKalshievent224March 2026 – present25.7 MB€1Buy days
who will perform at Harry Styles msg concertsKalshievent148May 2026 – present21.7 MB€1Buy days
WHERE WILL DRAKE PERFORM THIS YEAR?Kalshievent230February 2026 – present21.2 MB€1Buy days
Who will headline Rolling LoudKalshievent224March 2026 – present20.9 MB€1Buy days
Daily Global Spotify songsKalshidaily120March 2026 – July 202620.8 MB€1Buy days
Daily US Spotify artist chartKalshidaily117March 2026 – July 202620.2 MB€1Buy days
MOST STREAMED Kalshievent224March 2026 – present20.1 MB€1Buy days
Weekly US Spotify artist chartKalshiweekly114March 2026 – July 202618.9 MB€1Buy days
IHEARTKalshievent21March 202618.4 MB€1Buy days
WHO WILL PERFORM AS BRITNEY SPEARS IN BIO PICKalshievent224March 2026 – present18.2 MB€1Buy days
TOP ARTIST RUNNER UP USAKalshievent224March 2026 – present18.2 MB€1Buy days
DJ MAG TOP 5 CLUBSKalshievent177March 2026 – present15.8 MB€1Buy days
3rd place Global album USAKalshievent224March 2026 – present13.3 MB€1Buy days
Album record Justin Bieber Kalshievent224March 2026 – present11.3 MB€1Buy days
THIRD BEST ALBUMKalshievent224March 2026 – present10.2 MB€1Buy days
THIRD BEST ARTISTKalshievent224March 2026 – present10.1 MB€1Buy days
Who will headline Governor’s BallKalshievent97March 2026 – June 202610.0 MB€1Buy days
HOW MANY STREAMS WILL THE TOP SONG ON SPOTIFY GLOBAL HAVE Kalshievent42March 2026 – April 20269.64 MB€1Buy days
Number 2 album on Spotify this yearKalshievent224March 2026 – present8.72 MB€1Buy days
TOP ALBUM RUNNER UP USAKalshievent224March 2026 – present8.43 MB€1Buy days
how many streams will the top song on spotify haveKalshidaily42March 2026 – April 20267.19 MB€1Buy days
Weekly US Spotify album chartKalshiweekly114March 2026 – July 20265.03 MB€1Buy days
When will Spotify release wrapped? Kalshievent224March 2026 – present4.10 MB€1Buy days
Why CryptoStruct

Why buy Billboard & Music prediction-market data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

Billboard & Music prediction-market data — FAQ

Does Kalshi have Billboard markets?

Yes — Hot 100 and Billboard 200 chart positions, number-one and top-10/top-20 songs, number-one albums, album sales and album-equivalent units, weekly and yearly artist streams, Spotify global stream counts, YouTube views, new releases and features, and headliner markets for Coachella, the Super Bowl halftime show and the World Cup final.

How is music prediction-market data sold?

One purchase covers every contract of the series for one UTC day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book per contract, captured co-located with nanosecond timestamps — €1 per series-day, bought as a guest with instant download.

How far back does the Billboard & Music data go?

Coverage runs February 2026 – present — 16,093 series-days across 95 series on Kalshi. Each series page lists its exact span.

Can I get Billboard & Music prediction-market data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does Billboard & Music prediction-market data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day — no subscription, no minimum order. Pick days in the shop calendar, pay as a guest, download immediately.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the Billboard & Music series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the Billboard & Music data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

What was the busiest Billboard & Music trading day?

2026-07-19 — $229.8K of USD turnover over 30,797 trades in a single series-day. Since our statistics began on 2026-07-08, 75 Billboard & Music series recorded 430,191 trades and $11.6M in total; the biggest single contract was KXALBUMEQUIV-SIN26AUG27-100K on 2026-08-25 at $49.9K. Mondays are the busiest weekday at about $176.4K per day.