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Event-contract market data · Politics · World Elections & Leaders

World Elections & Leaders Prediction Market D

Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 29 World Elections & Leaders series on Kalshi — French presidential election, Brazil presidency and chamber, next UK PM and coalition, Israeli PM and Knesset, Romanian PM, Turkish and Bulgarian presidents, Lebanon and Latvia parliaments, world leaders out, Xi successor. 5,086 series-days covering March 2026 – present; 38.6K trades · $735.0K turnover over the last 30 captured days. Every contract captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps — sold as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Series
29
Venues
Kalshi
Coverage
March 2026 – present
Series-days
5,086
Trades (30d)
38,587
Turnover (30d)
$735.0K
Since 2026-08-09
53.4K trades · $906.6K
About this topic

World Elections & Leaders on Kalshi

French, Brazilian, Turkish, Peruvian, Bulgarian and other presidential races, UK and Israeli prime ministers, parliaments from Latvia to Lebanon, leaders leaving office, mayors.

Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.

Most active

Most traded World Elections & Leaders series (last 30 days)

Ranked by USD turnover from our own daily statistics — the series a market maker or bot builder should start with.

Month by month

World Elections & Leaders — development since capture

53,428 trades and $906.6K of USD turnover across 27 series since 2026-08-09; busiest single series-day 2026-09-21 with $38.1K, biggest contract KXBRPRES-26-LULA (2026-09-21, $28.5K).

MonthSeries activeDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Sep 2026 (month to date)272231,487$646.8K$29.4K1,66010.4M
Aug 2026272321,941$259.7K$11.3K1,49215.8M

World Elections & Leaders series — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

Weekly rhythm

World Elections & Leaders — turnover by weekday

Thursdays are the busiest day at about $27.5K of USD turnover, averaged over the captured days of the last 30.

Weekday (UTC)Avg turnover / dayUSDAvg tradesDays
Monday$26.3K1.1K5
Tuesday$24.5K1.4K5
Wednesday$23.8K1.2K4
Thursday$27.5K1.5K4
Friday$25.6K2.0K4
Saturday$16.8K609.54
Sunday$26.5K1.2K4

World Elections & Leaders series — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.

Rising

Rising World Elections & Leaders series — 30 days vs the 30 before

#SeriesVenueTurnover (30d)Prior 30dGrowth (avg / day)Trades (30d)
1Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceKalshi$11.5K$741.58+677.5 %544
2Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceKalshi$31.5K$2.1K+647.6 %718
3Who will be the head of state of Venezuela on date?Kalshi$127.7K$23.1K+176.3 %2,907
4Brazil PresidencyKalshi$327.9K$60.3K+171.7 %6,696
5Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after their election?Kalshi$36.2K$9.6K+88.4 %1,954

Growth of average USD turnover per captured day, the 30 days to 2026-09-22 against the 30 days before; series need ≥ 10 captured days in both windows and ≥ $10K of turnover in the current one. From our own daily statistics.

Daily activity

World Elections & Leaders prediction markets — trades and turnover per day

Every captured UTC day of the last 30, summed over the 29 World Elections & Leaders series — how much these markets trade day by day, from our own tick capture.

UTC daySeries with statsContracts tradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareL2 updates
2026-09-2227872,389$45.3K64 %1.4M
2026-09-2127701,428$64.9K58 %756.3K
2026-09-2027722,170$60.4K74 %815.9K
2026-09-192775721$32.2K39 %726.9K
2026-09-182773930$27.0K73 %405.4K
2026-09-1727641,002$19.6K47 %304.9K
2026-09-162774979$25.5K62 %236.5K
2026-09-1527851,347$21.4K57 %268.6K
2026-09-142769829$36.7K74 %309.3K
2026-09-132774789$10.3K49 %326.0K
2026-09-122746433$13.2K72 %164.7K
2026-09-1127682,871$32.6K55 %469.8K
2026-09-1027642,125$53.1K36 %303.4K
2026-09-0927571,322$21.5K73 %402.2K
2026-09-0827811,295$29.5K73 %277.4K
2026-09-0727831,512$11.5K67 %462.3K
2026-09-0627941,299$12.2K67 %460.1K
2026-09-052776668$8.7K55 %318.7K
2026-09-0427832,514$32.8K63 %609.7K
2026-09-0327942,117$30.2K82 %518.3K
2026-09-0227971,631$41.6K80 %550.2K
2026-09-0127741,116$16.8K65 %313.8K
2026-08-3127781,268$10.9K56 %579.2K
2026-08-302774604$23.2K34 %363.0K
2026-08-292765616$13.2K62 %878.5K
2026-08-2827691,623$10.1K53 %606.8K
2026-08-272762812$7.1K65 %390.8K
2026-08-262750739$6.6K45 %371.9K
2026-08-252759801$9.6K66 %288.7K
2026-08-242754637$7.5K47 %333.3K

Per UTC day, summed over every World Elections & Leaders series that has statistics for that day, from every trade print of every contract in our tick archive. Trades and USD turnover are exact; contracts traded, buy share and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics — earlier days show —.

Biggest contracts

Most traded World Elections & Leaders contracts on 2026-09-22

The single event contracts with the most USD turnover on the newest captured day — with open and close price and the outcome implied by the last print.

ContractSeriesVenueOpen → CloseImplied outcomeTradesTurnover
KXBRPRES-26-FBOLBrazil PresidencyKalshi0.6000.570open100$14.5Kbuy file →
KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BNETWho will be the Prime Minister of Israel after their election?Kalshi0.2700.270open243$5.9Kbuy file →
KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP25-38.7President RCP approval rating this weekKalshi0.1000.470open475$5.7Kbuy file →
KXBRPRES-26-LULABrazil PresidencyKalshi0.4100.430open51$3.1Kbuy file →
KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-NMADWho will be the head of state of Venezuela on date?Kalshi0.7300.730open66$2.5Kbuy file →
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-FBOLBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceKalshi0.6600.670open20$2.2Kbuy file →
KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-DRODWho will be the head of state of Venezuela on date?Kalshi0.2700.250open68$1.7Kbuy file →
KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP25-38.9President RCP approval rating this weekKalshi0.0900.160open136$1.3Kbuy file →
KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP25-39.5President RCP approval rating this weekKalshi0.2400.180open170$1.2Kbuy file →
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISRWorld leaders out this year?Kalshi0.4800.490open22$1.2Kbuy file →

Single contracts ranked by USD turnover on 2026-09-22 (UTC), from every trade print in our tick archive. Prices quote 0..1; the implied outcome reads the last print of the day (≥ 0.97 Yes/Up, ≤ 0.03 No/Down) — venues publish the official result. Each contract’s day file is sold individually, the whole series day as a bundle.

29 series · 2.71 GB

Kalshi World Elections & Leaders series

Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.

SeriesVenueIntervalDaysCoverageSizePrice/day
President RCP approval rating this weekKalshiweekly203March 2026 – present568 MB€1Buy days
World leaders out this year?Kalshiannual203March 2026 – present364 MB€1Buy days
Who will be the next Romanian PM?Kalshievent141May 2026 – present292 MB€1Buy days
French presidential electionKalshievent203March 2026 – present259 MB€1Buy days
Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?Kalshievent203March 2026 – present237 MB€1Buy days
Brazil PresidencyKalshievent203March 2026 – present182 MB€1Buy days
Who will be the head of state of Venezuela on date?Kalshievent203March 2026 – present114 MB€1Buy days
Peru PresidencyKalshievent122March 2026 – July 202691.6 MB€1Buy days
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceKalshievent153April 2026 – present85.0 MB€1Buy days
Lebanon parliamentKalshievent203March 2026 – present59.1 MB€1Buy days
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a 2028 presidential run?Kalshievent203March 2026 – present55.0 MB€1Buy days
Next UK PMKalshievent139March 2026 – July 202654.6 MB€1Buy days
2028 Presidential matchupKalshievent169April 2026 – present41.0 MB€1Buy days
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after their election?Kalshievent165April 2026 – present32.5 MB€1Buy days
Xi Jinping successorKalshievent203March 2026 – present32.0 MB€1Buy days
2028 Presidential election: exact outcomeKalshievent167April 2026 – present31.4 MB€1Buy days
Next Prime Minister of IsraelKalshievent203March 2026 – present30.1 MB€1Buy days
Republican Presidential ticketKalshievent159April 2026 – present27.1 MB€1Buy days
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceKalshievent153April 2026 – present25.1 MB€1Buy days
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?Kalshievent203March 2026 – present24.2 MB€1Buy days
Saxony-Anhalt state election party vote shareKalshievent33August 2026 – present21.5 MB€1Buy days
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election: Most Seats WonKalshievent153April 2026 – present20.4 MB€1Buy days
Latvia Parliament electionsKalshievent203March 2026 – present20.0 MB€1Buy days
Who will win the Chicago Mayoral Election?Kalshievent203March 2026 – present19.6 MB€1Buy days
Democratic Presidential ticketKalshievent159April 2026 – present19.1 MB€1Buy days
Next UK coalitionKalshievent125May 2026 – present18.8 MB€1Buy days
Next African leader outKalshievent203March 2026 – present17.1 MB€1Buy days
Presidential Medal of FreedomKalshievent203March 2026 – present16.8 MB€1Buy days
Winner of next Turkish presidential electionKalshievent203March 2026 – present14.3 MB€1Buy days
Why CryptoStruct

Why buy World Elections & Leaders prediction-market data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

FAQ

World Elections & Leaders prediction-market data — FAQ

Which non-US elections are covered?

French, Brazilian, Turkish, Peruvian, Argentine, Bulgarian, Moldovan and Ghanaian presidential series; UK next PM, party and coalition; Israeli PM and Knesset; Romanian PM; parliaments in Latvia, Lebanon, New Zealand, Bosnia, Paraguay, Guatemala and Mexico; Saxony-Anhalt vote shares; Venezuela’s head of state; leaders leaving office worldwide; the Xi Jinping successor and Pope-related markets; and city mayoral races (Vancouver, Toronto, London, Chicago).

How is this data sold?

One purchase covers every contract of the series for one UTC day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book per contract, captured co-located with nanosecond timestamps — €1 per series-day, bought as a guest with instant download.

How far back does the World Elections & Leaders data go?

Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 5,086 series-days across 29 series on Kalshi. Each series page lists its exact span.

Can I get World Elections & Leaders prediction-market data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does World Elections & Leaders prediction-market data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day — no subscription, no minimum order. Pick days in the shop calendar, pay as a guest, download immediately.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the World Elections & Leaders series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the World Elections & Leaders data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

What was the busiest World Elections & Leaders trading day?

2026-09-21 — $38.1K of USD turnover over 301 trades in a single series-day. Since our statistics began on 2026-08-09, 27 World Elections & Leaders series recorded 53,428 trades and $906.6K in total; the biggest single contract was KXBRPRES-26-LULA on 2026-09-21 at $28.5K. Thursdays are the busiest weekday at about $27.5K per day.