Jobs, Unemployment & GDP Prediction Market Da
Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 11 Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series on Kalshi — Monthly unemployment (KXUE), unemployment rate monthly, jobs numbers (KXPAYROLLS), nominal GDP and GDP growth. 2,333 series-days covering March 2026 – present; 16.6K trades · $248.4K turnover over the last 30 captured days. Every contract captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps — sold as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP on Kalshi
Unemployment rate, monthly payrolls and nominal GDP contracts.
Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.
Most traded Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series (last 30 days)
Ranked by USD turnover from our own daily statistics — the series a market maker or bot builder should start with.
| # | Series | Venue | Trades (30d) | Turnover (30d) | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unemployment | Kalshi | 5,706 | $81.2K | 30 | Buy days |
| 2 | Jobs numbers | Kalshi | 2,906 | $78.2K | 30 | Buy days |
| 3 | Monthly Unemployment | Kalshi | 3,326 | $41.2K | 30 | Buy days |
| 4 | Weekly initial jobless claims | Kalshi | 2,985 | $31.1K | 30 | Buy days |
| 5 | Nominal GDP | Kalshi | 191 | $4.3K | 30 | Buy days |
| 6 | UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MONTHLY | Kalshi | 809 | $3.8K | 30 | Buy days |
| 7 | ADP employment change | Kalshi | 87 | $2.9K | 30 | Buy days |
| 8 | Monthly housing starts | Kalshi | 179 | $2.7K | 30 | Buy days |
| 9 | Unemployment spike | Kalshi | 351 | $2.1K | 30 | Buy days |
| 10 | Nominal GDP growth in [year] | Kalshi | 21 | $461.46 | 30 | Buy days |
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series, from the recorded tick data; 30 days to 2026-11-01. Series without statistics in the window are omitted.
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP — development since capture
62,256 trades and $1.8M of USD turnover across 11 series since 2026-07-08; busiest single series-day 2026-08-07 with $137.9K, biggest contract KXU3-26SEP-T3.9 (2026-10-01, $42.9K).
| Month | Series active | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 (month to date) | 11 | 1 | 338 | $5.2K | $5.2K | 49 | 292.5K | — |
| Oct 2026 | 11 | 31 | 19,742 | $490.9K | $15.8K | 1,600 | 24.1M | −17.8 % |
| Sep 2026 | 11 | 30 | 20,837 | $597.0K | $19.9K | 1,842 | 13.7M | −3.7 % |
| Aug 2026 | 10 | 31 | 18,752 | $619.8K | $20.0K | 1,424 | 12.4M | +408.3 % |
| Jul 2026 | 4 | 24 | 2,587 | $122.0K | $5.1K | — | — | — |
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP — turnover by weekday
Tuesdays are the busiest day at about $12.2K of USD turnover, averaged over the captured days of the last 30.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $12.0K | 397.25 | 4 | |
| Tuesday | $12.2K | 534 | 4 | |
| Wednesday | $9.5K | 666.5 | 4 | |
| Thursday | $11.3K | 779.5 | 4 | |
| Friday | $5.8K | 616.25 | 4 | |
| Saturday | $4.3K | 459.8 | 5 | |
| Sunday | $4.8K | 462.2 | 5 |
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
Rising Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series — 30 days vs the 30 before
| # | Series | Venue | Turnover (30d) | Prior 30d | Growth (avg / day) | Trades (30d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monthly Unemployment | Kalshi | $41.2K | $23.2K | +77.3 % | 3,326 |
| 2 | Weekly initial jobless claims | Kalshi | $31.1K | $25.0K | +24.7 % | 2,985 |
| 3 | Unemployment | Kalshi | $81.2K | $350.8K | −76.8 % | 5,706 |
| 4 | Jobs numbers | Kalshi | $78.2K | $338.1K | −76.9 % | 2,906 |
Growth of average USD turnover per captured day, the 30 days to 2026-11-01 against the 30 days before; series need ≥ 10 captured days in both windows and ≥ $10K of turnover in the current one. From our own daily statistics.
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP prediction markets — trades and turnover per day
Every captured UTC day of the last 30, summed over the 11 Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series — how much these markets trade day by day, from our own tick capture.
| UTC day | Series with stats | Contracts traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | L2 updates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 11 | 49 | 338 | $5.2K | 64 % | 292.5K |
| 2026-10-31 | 11 | 47 | 570 | $10.4K | 76 % | 398.9K |
| 2026-10-30 | 11 | 55 | 662 | $7.3K | 79 % | 466.5K |
| 2026-10-29 | 11 | 64 | 969 | $7.6K | 72 % | 565.2K |
| 2026-10-28 | 11 | 56 | 1,019 | $9.7K | 88 % | 576.1K |
| 2026-10-27 | 11 | 58 | 949 | $17.7K | 95 % | 1.3M |
| 2026-10-26 | 11 | 61 | 621 | $5.5K | 67 % | 1.2M |
| 2026-10-25 | 11 | 57 | 760 | $7.6K | 87 % | 384.5K |
| 2026-10-24 | 11 | 40 | 407 | $4.0K | 58 % | 577.7K |
| 2026-10-23 | 11 | 47 | 579 | $7.3K | 70 % | 799.1K |
| 2026-10-22 | 11 | 59 | 505 | $9.0K | 36 % | 593.6K |
| 2026-10-21 | 11 | 51 | 493 | $6.3K | 69 % | 551.4K |
| 2026-10-20 | 11 | 58 | 456 | $5.7K | 27 % | 712.1K |
| 2026-10-19 | 11 | 61 | 483 | $8.6K | 52 % | 517.7K |
| 2026-10-18 | 11 | 44 | 320 | $2.3K | 65 % | 277.7K |
| 2026-10-17 | 11 | 52 | 443 | $2.5K | 40 % | 385.3K |
| 2026-10-16 | 11 | 67 | 518 | $5.1K | 33 % | 582.3K |
| 2026-10-15 | 11 | 61 | 496 | $5.5K | 49 % | 720.1K |
| 2026-10-14 | 11 | 45 | 343 | $3.8K | 80 % | 1.1M |
| 2026-10-13 | 11 | 40 | 316 | $3.8K | 39 % | 910.1K |
| 2026-10-12 | 11 | 42 | 242 | $4.7K | 7 % | 1.1M |
| 2026-10-11 | 11 | 27 | 252 | $1.7K | 44 % | 916.6K |
| 2026-10-10 | 11 | 29 | 620 | $2.3K | 53 % | 1.1M |
| 2026-10-09 | 11 | 32 | 706 | $3.6K | 61 % | 1.2M |
| 2026-10-08 | 11 | 55 | 1,148 | $23.0K | 37 % | 943.1K |
| 2026-10-07 | 11 | 54 | 811 | $18.0K | 47 % | 1.5M |
| 2026-10-06 | 11 | 50 | 415 | $21.6K | 93 % | 1.2M |
| 2026-10-05 | 11 | 53 | 243 | $29.3K | 38 % | 720.8K |
| 2026-10-04 | 11 | 46 | 641 | $7.1K | 35 % | 628.7K |
| 2026-10-03 | 11 | 39 | 259 | $2.2K | 57 % | 587.6K |
Per UTC day, summed over every Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series that has statistics for that day, from every trade print of every contract in our tick archive. Trades and USD turnover are exact; contracts traded, buy share and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics — earlier days show —.
Most traded Jobs, Unemployment & GDP contracts on 2026-11-01
The single event contracts with the most USD turnover on the newest captured day — with open and close price and the outcome implied by the last print.
| Contract | Series | Venue | Open → Close | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T30000 | Jobs numbers | Kalshi | 0.720 → 0.720 | open | 6 | $1.8K | buy file → |
| KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T-25000 | Jobs numbers | Kalshi | 0.950 → 0.940 | open | 3 | $485.09 | buy file → |
| KXGDPNOM-US26-32.0 | Nominal GDP | Kalshi | 0.890 → 0.950 | open | 2 | $333 | buy file → |
| KXU3-26OCT-T4.1 | Unemployment | Kalshi | 0.590 → 0.610 | open | 32 | $331.18 | buy file → |
| KXU3MAX-30-9 | Unemployment spike | Kalshi | 0.490 → 0.320 | open | 8 | $301.69 | buy file → |
| KXU3MAX-30-7 | Unemployment spike | Kalshi | 0.900 → 0.260 | open | 13 | $289.9 | buy file → |
| KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T100000 | Jobs numbers | Kalshi | 0.280 → 0.290 | open | 18 | $244.32 | buy file → |
| KXU3-26OCT-T3.7 | Unemployment | Kalshi | 0.990 → 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $164.34 | buy file → |
| KXU3-26OCT-T4.0 | Unemployment | Kalshi | 0.910 → 0.890 | open | 27 | $150.5 | buy file → |
| KXPAYROLLS-26OCT-T80000 | Jobs numbers | Kalshi | 0.340 → 0.360 | open | 36 | $114.74 | buy file → |
Single contracts ranked by USD turnover on 2026-11-01 (UTC), from every trade print in our tick archive. Prices quote 0..1; the implied outcome reads the last print of the day (≥ 0.97 Yes/Up, ≤ 0.03 No/Down) — venues publish the official result. Each contract’s day file is sold individually, the whole series day as a bundle.
Kalshi Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series
Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.
| Series | Venue | Interval | Days | Coverage | Size | Price/day | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment | Kalshi | monthly | 243 | March 2026 – present | 659 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Jobs numbers | Kalshi | monthly | 243 | March 2026 – present | 487 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MONTHLY | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 457 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Monthly Unemployment | Kalshi | monthly | 243 | March 2026 – present | 390 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Nominal GDP | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 366 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Unemployment spike | Kalshi | annual | 243 | March 2026 – present | 302 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Weekly initial jobless claims | Kalshi | weekly | 243 | March 2026 – present | 155 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Nominal GDP growth in [year] | Kalshi | annual | 88 | August 2026 – present | 136 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| ADP employment change | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 85.5 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Monthly housing starts | Kalshi | event | 241 | March 2026 – present | 68.2 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| U.S. unemployment rate at year-end | Kalshi | annual | 60 | September 2026 – present | 40.1 MB | €1 | Buy days |
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP — market types across 11 series
2,269 contracts listed as of 2026-11-02, read from each contract's venue identifier — Kalshi lists each type as its own series, Polymarket, predict.fun and OG.com one family per league.
| Market type | Contracts listed (all time) | Listed last 30 days | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| strike ladder | 959 | 8 | 42 % |
| other | 1,310 | 121 | 58 % |
| Total | 2,269 | 129 | 100 % |
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series— market type read from each contract's venue identifier (ticker suffix on Kalshi, slug suffix on Polymarket, market description on predict.fun and OG.com), counted over every contract listed in the family as of 2026-11-02; “listed last 30 days” counts contracts whose venue settlement time falls in that window. Every one of them is in the day bundle of its day.
Why buy Jobs, Unemployment & GDP prediction-market data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
Jobs, Unemployment & GDP prediction-market data — FAQ
Does Kalshi have unemployment rate markets?
Yes — Monthly Unemployment (KXUE), the unemployment-rate econ-stat series (KXECONSTATU3), jobs numbers/payrolls (KXPAYROLLS), nominal GDP and nominal GDP growth.
How is labour-market prediction data sold?
One purchase covers every contract of the series for one UTC day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book per contract, captured co-located with nanosecond timestamps — €1 per series-day, bought as a guest with instant download.
How far back does the Jobs, Unemployment & GDP data go?
Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 2,333 series-days across 11 series on Kalshi. Each series page lists its exact span.
Can I get Jobs, Unemployment & GDP prediction-market data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Jobs, Unemployment & GDP prediction-market data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day — no subscription, no minimum order. Pick days in the shop calendar, pay as a guest, download immediately.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Jobs, Unemployment & GDP data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
Which market types are in the Jobs, Unemployment & GDP data?
As of 2026-11-02 the 11 Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series with a market-type snapshot had listed 2,269 contracts: strike ladder 959 · other 1,310 — counted from every contract file of each family across Kalshi. Kalshi splits these into separate series; Polymarket, predict.fun and OG.com list one family per league. Each series page shows its own mix.
What was the busiest Jobs, Unemployment & GDP trading day?
2026-08-07 — $137.9K of USD turnover over 1,399 trades in a single series-day. Since our statistics began on 2026-07-08, 11 Jobs, Unemployment & GDP series recorded 62,256 trades and $1.8M in total; the biggest single contract was KXU3-26SEP-T3.9 on 2026-10-01 at $42.9K. Tuesdays are the busiest weekday at about $12.2K per day.