Fed & Interest Rates Prediction Data — Kalshi
Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 16 Fed & Interest Rates series on Kalshi — Fed funds rate (KXFED), Fed meeting decisions (KXFEDDECISION), Fed funds rate at year end. 3,697 series-days covering February 2026 – present; 101.4K trades · $9.6M turnover over the last 30 captured days. Every contract captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps — sold as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
Fed & Interest Rates on Kalshi
Fed funds rate, FOMC meeting decisions and year-end rate contracts.
Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.
Most traded Fed & Interest Rates series (last 30 days)
Ranked by USD turnover from our own daily statistics — the series a market maker or bot builder should start with.
| # | Series | Venue | Trades (30d) | Turnover (30d) | Days | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fed meeting | Kalshi | 47,239 | $8.5M | 30 | Buy days |
| 2 | Number of rate cuts | Kalshi | 15,158 | $302.6K | 30 | Buy days |
| 3 | Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | 10,355 | $281.0K | 30 | Buy days |
| 4 | Fed funds rate | Kalshi | 4,932 | $178.8K | 30 | Buy days |
| 5 | Who will be charged with a federal crime | Kalshi | 13,485 | $162.3K | 30 | Buy days |
| 6 | Fed funds rate at year end | Kalshi | 5,128 | $43.2K | 30 | Buy days |
| 7 | Bank Of Japan policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | 906 | $29.9K | 30 | Buy days |
| 8 | European Central Bank policy interest rate | Kalshi | 1,060 | $14.1K | 30 | Buy days |
| 9 | Fed Dissent | Kalshi | 406 | $12.3K | 30 | Buy days |
| 10 | Bank Of ENGLAND policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | 464 | $11.1K | 30 | Buy days |
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series, from the recorded tick data; 30 days to 2026-11-01. Series without statistics in the window are omitted.
Fed & Interest Rates — development since capture
346,468 trades and $59.9M of USD turnover across 16 series since 2026-07-08; busiest single series-day 2026-07-29 with $6.9M, biggest contract KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H25 (2026-09-16, $2.1M).
| Month | Series active | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 (month to date) | 16 | 1 | 1,244 | $32.9K | $32.9K | 90 | 1.2M | — |
| Oct 2026 | 16 | 31 | 105,080 | $10.4M | $335.6K | 3,061 | 54.7M | −52.8 % |
| Sep 2026 | 16 | 30 | 130,681 | $22.1M | $735.0K | 3,042 | 52.2M | +200.3 % |
| Aug 2026 | 12 | 31 | 51,136 | $7.3M | $236.9K | 2,376 | 50.0M | −63.4 % |
| Jul 2026 | 3 | 24 | 58,327 | $20.1M | $836.6K | — | — | — |
Fed & Interest Rates series — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
Fed & Interest Rates — turnover by weekday
Wednesdays are the busiest day at about $920.2K of USD turnover, averaged over the captured days of the last 30.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $416.1K | 3.3K | 4 | |
| Tuesday | $270.6K | 3.4K | 4 | |
| Wednesday | $920.2K | 5.6K | 4 | |
| Thursday | $293.1K | 3.8K | 4 | |
| Friday | $253.8K | 4.2K | 4 | |
| Saturday | $87.1K | 1.9K | 5 | |
| Sunday | $104.1K | 2.1K | 5 |
Fed & Interest Rates series — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
Rising Fed & Interest Rates series — 30 days vs the 30 before
| # | Series | Venue | Turnover (30d) | Prior 30d | Growth (avg / day) | Trades (30d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | $281.0K | $33.0K | +752.6 % | 10,355 |
| 2 | Who will be charged with a federal crime | Kalshi | $162.3K | $32.7K | +396.4 % | 13,485 |
| 3 | Russia | Kalshi | $10.1K | $771.06 | +381.0 % | 779 |
| 4 | Bank Of ENGLAND policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | $11.1K | $1.3K | +215.5 % | 464 |
| 5 | Bank Of Japan policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | $29.9K | $5.3K | +107.2 % | 906 |
Growth of average USD turnover per captured day, the 30 days to 2026-11-01 against the 30 days before; series need ≥ 10 captured days in both windows and ≥ $10K of turnover in the current one. From our own daily statistics.
Fed & Interest Rates prediction markets — trades and turnover per day
Every captured UTC day of the last 30, summed over the 16 Fed & Interest Rates series — how much these markets trade day by day, from our own tick capture.
| UTC day | Series with stats | Contracts traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | L2 updates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 16 | 90 | 1,244 | $32.9K | 50 % | 1.2M |
| 2026-10-31 | 16 | 79 | 1,358 | $30.0K | 66 % | 1.2M |
| 2026-10-30 | 16 | 95 | 2,969 | $120.2K | 42 % | 1.4M |
| 2026-10-29 | 16 | 118 | 3,406 | $137.0K | 47 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-28 | 16 | 162 | 7,131 | $2.4M | 71 % | 1.8M |
| 2026-10-27 | 16 | 114 | 5,431 | $570.4K | 84 % | 2.1M |
| 2026-10-26 | 16 | 120 | 4,354 | $1.3M | 78 % | 1.7M |
| 2026-10-25 | 16 | 93 | 5,096 | $370.2K | 59 % | 1.5M |
| 2026-10-24 | 16 | 99 | 3,624 | $180.8K | 81 % | 1.5M |
| 2026-10-23 | 16 | 123 | 5,930 | $422.6K | 40 % | 1.8M |
| 2026-10-22 | 16 | 111 | 4,628 | $573.6K | 77 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-21 | 16 | 89 | 3,849 | $272.8K | 71 % | 2.2M |
| 2026-10-20 | 16 | 147 | 4,389 | $253.7K | 77 % | 1.7M |
| 2026-10-19 | 16 | 87 | 5,840 | $165.2K | 44 % | 1.7M |
| 2026-10-18 | 16 | 100 | 1,877 | $47.2K | 57 % | 1.2M |
| 2026-10-17 | 16 | 97 | 2,084 | $64.6K | 77 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-16 | 16 | 139 | 6,756 | $386.6K | 70 % | 3.1M |
| 2026-10-15 | 16 | 126 | 5,409 | $320.6K | 60 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-14 | 16 | 93 | 8,366 | $855.3K | 46 % | 1.9M |
| 2026-10-13 | 16 | 86 | 2,150 | $113.9K | 67 % | 2.0M |
| 2026-10-12 | 16 | 86 | 1,725 | $108.5K | 51 % | 1.9M |
| 2026-10-11 | 16 | 92 | 1,413 | $27.8K | 50 % | 1.3M |
| 2026-10-10 | 16 | 79 | 1,069 | $48.9K | 83 % | 1.9M |
| 2026-10-09 | 16 | 113 | 1,230 | $85.7K | 82 % | 2.5M |
| 2026-10-08 | 16 | 94 | 1,636 | $141.2K | 33 % | 2.3M |
| 2026-10-07 | 16 | 80 | 2,921 | $189.7K | 27 % | 1.6M |
| 2026-10-06 | 16 | 72 | 1,796 | $144.4K | 85 % | 2.1M |
| 2026-10-05 | 16 | 70 | 1,268 | $128.7K | 55 % | 1.5M |
| 2026-10-04 | 16 | 67 | 1,009 | $42.2K | 76 % | 1.1M |
| 2026-10-03 | 16 | 62 | 1,435 | $111.3K | 92 % | 1.4M |
Per UTC day, summed over every Fed & Interest Rates series that has statistics for that day, from every trade print of every contract in our tick archive. Trades and USD turnover are exact; contracts traded, buy share and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics — earlier days show —.
Most traded Fed & Interest Rates contracts on 2026-11-01
The single event contracts with the most USD turnover on the newest captured day — with open and close price and the outcome implied by the last print.
| Contract | Series | Venue | Open → Close | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H25 | Fed meeting | Kalshi | 0.700 → 0.700 | open | 74 | $15.8K | buy file → |
| KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0 | Number of rate cuts | Kalshi | 0.961 → 0.960 | open | 103 | $7.3K | buy file → |
| KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-IOMA | Who will be charged with a federal crime | Kalshi | 0.450 → 0.430 | open | 193 | $3.9K | buy file → |
| KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H0 | Fed meeting | Kalshi | 0.290 → 0.290 | open | 63 | $1.1K | buy file → |
| KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-C25 | Fed meeting | Kalshi | 0.010 → 0.010 | No | 26 | $652.46 | buy file → |
| KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26DEC-H0 | Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | 0.600 → 0.610 | open | 62 | $443.64 | buy file → |
| KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26DEC-H25 | Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | 0.390 → 0.370 | open | 71 | $414.64 | buy file → |
| KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1 | Number of rate cuts | Kalshi | 0.019 → 0.021 | No | 93 | $355.07 | buy file → |
| KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-DJSUL | Who will be charged with a federal crime | Kalshi | 0.190 → 0.210 | open | 23 | $261.23 | buy file → |
| KXDOTPLOT-26DEC-3.9 | fed dot plot | Kalshi | 0.990 → 0.860 | open | 2 | $227.88 | buy file → |
Single contracts ranked by USD turnover on 2026-11-01 (UTC), from every trade print in our tick archive. Prices quote 0..1; the implied outcome reads the last print of the day (≥ 0.97 Yes/Up, ≤ 0.03 No/Down) — venues publish the official result. Each contract’s day file is sold individually, the whole series day as a bundle.
Kalshi Fed & Interest Rates series
Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.
| Series | Venue | Interval | Days | Coverage | Size | Price/day | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed funds rate | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 3.13 GB | €1 | Buy days |
| Fed funds rate at year end | Kalshi | annual | 96 | July 2026 – present | 1.32 GB | €1 | Buy days |
| Fed meeting | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 1.11 GB | €1 | Buy days |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime | Kalshi | annual | 243 | March 2026 – present | 551 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Bank Of Canada policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 471 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Number of rate cuts | Kalshi | annual | 243 | March 2026 – present | 458 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| European Central Bank policy interest rate | Kalshi | event | 242 | March 2026 – present | 401 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Bank Of Japan policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 262 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Bank Of ENGLAND policy interest rate decision | Kalshi | event | 242 | March 2026 – present | 262 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Bank of Mexico interest rate decision | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 188 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Number of rate changes | Kalshi | annual | 243 | March 2026 – present | 124 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Russia | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 93.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Fed Dissent | Kalshi | event | 249 | February 2026 – present | 61.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Fed governor nominee | Kalshi | event | 243 | March 2026 – present | 50.9 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Fed balance sheet | Kalshi | event | 214 | April 2026 – present | 23.0 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| fed dot plot | Kalshi | event | 224 | March 2026 – present | 20.8 MB | €1 | Buy days |
Fed & Interest Rates — market types across 16 series
1,070 contracts listed as of 2026-11-02, read from each contract's venue identifier — Kalshi lists each type as its own series, Polymarket, predict.fun and OG.com one family per league.
| Market type | Contracts listed (all time) | Listed last 30 days | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| strike ladder | 533 | 11 | 50 % |
| other | 537 | 37 | 50 % |
| Total | 1,070 | 48 | 100 % |
Fed & Interest Rates series— market type read from each contract's venue identifier (ticker suffix on Kalshi, slug suffix on Polymarket, market description on predict.fun and OG.com), counted over every contract listed in the family as of 2026-11-02; “listed last 30 days” counts contracts whose venue settlement time falls in that window. Every one of them is in the day bundle of its day.
Why buy Fed & Interest Rates prediction-market data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
Fed & Interest Rates prediction-market data — FAQ
Does Kalshi have Fed meeting markets?
Yes — Fed funds rate targets (KXFED), per-meeting decision markets (KXFEDDECISION) and year-end rate contracts. The order-book history around each FOMC announcement is in the day bundle of that date.
How is Fed prediction-market data sold?
One purchase covers every contract of the series for one UTC day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book per contract, captured co-located with nanosecond timestamps — €1 per series-day, bought as a guest with instant download.
How far back does the Fed & Interest Rates data go?
Coverage runs February 2026 – present — 3,697 series-days across 16 series on Kalshi. Each series page lists its exact span.
Can I get Fed & Interest Rates prediction-market data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Fed & Interest Rates prediction-market data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day — no subscription, no minimum order. Pick days in the shop calendar, pay as a guest, download immediately.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the Fed & Interest Rates series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Fed & Interest Rates data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
Which market types are in the Fed & Interest Rates data?
As of 2026-11-02 the 16 Fed & Interest Rates series with a market-type snapshot had listed 1,070 contracts: strike ladder 533 · other 537 — counted from every contract file of each family across Kalshi. Kalshi splits these into separate series; Polymarket, predict.fun and OG.com list one family per league. Each series page shows its own mix.
What was the busiest Fed & Interest Rates trading day?
2026-07-29 — $6.9M of USD turnover over 14,722 trades in a single series-day. Since our statistics began on 2026-07-08, 16 Fed & Interest Rates series recorded 346,468 trades and $59.9M in total; the biggest single contract was KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H25 on 2026-09-16 at $2.1M. Wednesdays are the busiest weekday at about $920.2K per day.