Tick-by-tick trades and L2 order-book depth for 10 AI Models series on Kalshi — Year-end top LLM (KXLLM1), top-ranked AI, best coding model, Humanity’s Last Exam, AGI before date, Claude model release, capability spikes, OpenAI/Jony Ive hardware. 1,732 series-days covering March 2026 – September 2026. Sold as day bundles from €1.
Year-end top LLM, best AI coding model, top-ranked model on Chatbot Arena, Humanity’s Last Exam scores, AGI-by-date, model releases and OpenAI hardware.
Every series below is archived at full feed resolution — each contract file carries every trade print (price, size, side) and Level-2 order-book updates in one normalized, zstd-compressed schema. A series-day bundle holds all contracts of the series for one UTC day.
From the live prediction-movers snapshot (contracts of this topic's series only, settled markets filtered). Intraday — not part of the archived dataset.
| Contract | Venue | Price 24h ago → now | Δ | 24h turnover |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXAISPIKE-27B-1520 | Kalshi | 0.40 → 0.92 | +0.52 | $26.7K |
| KXLLM1-26DEC31-OAI | Kalshi | 0.18 → 0.24 | +0.06 | $15.2K |
| KXLLM1-26SEP30-A | Kalshi | 0.91 → 0.84 | -0.07 | $49.3K |
Live contracts ranked by absolute 24-hour price change (contracts quote 0..1; settled or near-settled contracts excluded). Snapshot 2026-09-03 13:24 UTC. Full list in the prediction movers.
Largest archive first. Each series page lists its exact coverage, day count and recent days; day bundles are bought in the shop calendar.
| Series | Venue | Interval | Days | Coverage | Size | Price/day | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year-end top LLM | Kalshi | event | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 590 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Top model | Kalshi | monthly | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 132 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Claude Model Release | Kalshi | event | 167 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 129 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| AI Coding | Kalshi | event | 178 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 90.6 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Will any company achieve AGI before [date]? | Kalshi | event | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 73.5 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Best AI coding model | Kalshi | event | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 53.4 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Top-ranked AI | Kalshi | event | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 47.2 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| Humanity's Last Exam | Kalshi | event | 106 | May 2026 – September 2026 | 43.5 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| AI capability spike | Kalshi | event | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 38.1 MB | €1 | Buy days |
| What hardware will openAI/Jony Ive launch | Kalshi | event | 183 | March 2026 – September 2026 | 21.7 MB | €1 | Buy days |
Yes — year-end top LLM, top-ranked and top-coding-model series (Chatbot Arena based), Humanity’s Last Exam score ladders, AGI-by-date, model-release timing, capability-spike and hardware-launch markets. Polymarket’s "which company has the best AI model" families are archived under their own slugs.
One purchase covers every contract of a series for one UTC day — tick-by-tick trades plus Level-2 order-book updates per contract — typically €1 per series-day.
Coverage runs March 2026 – September 2026 — 1,732 series-days across 10 series on Kalshi. Each series page lists its exact span.
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
Typically €1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that UTC day, with invoice on checkout. Pick days in the shop calendar.