Tick-by-tick trades and order-book depth for every Kalshi “Claude Model Release” contract — 180 trading days as downloadable day bundles, €1 per day.
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 30 captured days to 2026-09-15, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.
A series-day bundle contains every Claude Model Release contract that traded on Kalshi on that UTC day — 8 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.
Coverage runs March 2026 – September 2026 — 180 trading days, 130 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 11 contract files (up to 15 on the busiest day, 15.5 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.
Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.
The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.
The 4 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-15 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 3 still open at the last print: 36 trades, $642.07 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 with $535.1 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.070 | 0.080 | 0.082 | open | 22 | $535.1 | 10 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26NOV01 | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 | No | 2 | $74.81 | 0 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.043 | open | 9 | $25.85 | 95 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26NOV01 |
On Kalshi, a Claude Model Release contract trades until its event settles, is listed roughly 2.5 h before it opens, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 4 contracts captured on 2026-09-15.
The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.
One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.
KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26OCT16 traded in 2 of the day’s minutes (16:22–23:05 UTC): 3 trades, $316.51 turnover, opening at 0.050, ranging 0.070–0.080 and closing at 0.080.
| Minute (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | Trades | Turnover | Spread | Top-1 bid / ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:22 | 0.050 | 0.070 | 0.070 | 0.070 | 1 | $21 | 2.28 ¢ | $23.62 / $227.52 |
| 23:05 | 0.070 | 0.080 | 0.070 | 0.080 | 2 | $295.51 | 4.45 ¢ | $20 / $109.42 |
1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.
Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Claude Model Release series on Kalshi (8 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.
KXCLAUDE — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXCLAUDE-* contract that traded that UTC day.
Coverage runs March 2026 – September 2026 — 180 trading days in total.
One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day, with invoice on checkout. Buy it in the Data Shop.
On average 6 Claude Model Release contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 30 captured days on Kalshi, with about 20.3K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.
| Buy day → |
| 2026-09-11 | 8 | 93.1 KB | 3 | 13 | $64.37 | 92 % | 4.04 ¢ | $14.49 | 1.5K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-10 | 8 | 68.5 KB | 1 | 8 | $61.48 | 20 % | 5.15 ¢ | $6.08 | 1.3K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-09 | 8 | 66.4 KB | 1 | 6 | $22.12 | 44 % | 5.19 ¢ | $64.06 | 1.2K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-08 | 8 | 70.3 KB | 6 | 30 | $562.3 | 94 % | 3.25 ¢ | $91.48 | 1.3K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-07 | 8 | 63.7 KB | 3 | 14 | $302.07 | 31 % | 2.30 ¢ | $43.73 | 971 | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-06 | 8 | 47.9 KB | 3 | 16 | $50.18 | 70 % | 2.30 ¢ | $59.94 | 721 | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-05 | 8 | 53.7 KB | 4 | 18 | $139.56 | 66 % | 1.37 ¢ | $82.07 | 915 | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-04 | 8 | 65.0 KB | 3 | 16 | $183.82 | 71 % | 1.41 ¢ | $120.22 | 1.1K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-03 | 8 | 114 KB | 5 | 39 | $194.49 | 81 % | 1.74 ¢ | $150.85 | 2.4K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-02 | 8 | 126 KB | 6 | 45 | $743.04 | 42 % | 3.58 ¢ | $31.87 | 2.8K | Buy day → |
| 2026-09-01 | 13 | 533 KB | 7 | 189 | $9.4K | 94 % | 3.15 ¢ | $262.73 | 17.6K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-31 | 13 | 458 KB | 6 | 51 | $651.23 | 74 % | 11.5 ¢ | $45.77 | 14.3K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-30 | 13 | 616 KB | 11 | 96 | $1.8K | 66 % | 4.76 ¢ | $91.48 | 20.9K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-29 | 13 | 807 KB | 6 | 47 | $639.75 | 89 % | 3.89 ¢ | $40.58 | 27.9K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-28 | 13 | 6.02 MB | 9 | 190 | $5.1K | 87 % | 7.46 ¢ | $104.23 | 162.1K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-27 | 13 | 951 KB | 5 | 52 | $308.64 | 55 % | 6.29 ¢ | $770.58 | 26.7K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-26 | 13 | 442 KB | 6 | 72 | $2.6K | 78 % | 12.1 ¢ | $310.93 | 10.3K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-25 | 13 | 673 KB | 7 | 44 | $1.1K | 10 % | 15.3 ¢ | $59.81 | 23.0K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-24 | 13 | 947 KB | 6 | 20 | $678.59 | 100 % | 14.8 ¢ | $26.37 | 33.9K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-23 | 13 | 460 KB | 9 | 54 | $1.0K | 81 % | 1.23 ¢ | $315.58 | 15.3K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-22 | 13 | 654 KB | 7 | 241 | $647.23 | 69 % | 2.61 ¢ | $101.61 | 21.9K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-21 | 13 | 283 KB | 7 | 71 | $8.9K | 99 % | 2.57 ¢ | $1.0K | 7.8K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-20 | 13 | 140 KB | 6 | 28 | $1.0K | 74 % | 6.35 ¢ | $139.39 | 3.0K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-19 | 13 | 934 KB | 7 | 34 | $900.07 | 99 % | 20.7 ¢ | $72.98 | 33.0K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-18 | 13 | 2.60 MB | 9 | 36 | $1.2K | 97 % | 36.5 ¢ | $61.55 | 107.7K | Buy day → |
| 2026-08-17 | 13 | 1.56 MB | 10 | 20 | $167.27 | 39 % | 4.96 ¢ | $50.72 | 63.4K | Buy day → |
Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.
| 0.090 |
| 0.120 |
| 0.090 |
| 0.120 |
| 0.120 |
| open |
| 3 |
| $6.31 |
| 100 % |
| buy file → |
Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover.
The 6 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-14 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 5 still open at the last print: 21 trades, $204.51 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 with $70.53 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | open | 6 | $70.53 | 100 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26OCT01 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | No | 3 | $67.87 | 100 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.068 | open | 6 | $45.2 | 100 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26NOV01 | 0.010 | 0.040 | 0.010 | 0.040 | 0.039 | open | 4 | $19.26 | 100 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26NOV01 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | open | 1 | $0.99 | 0 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26OCT16 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | open | 1 | $0.66 | 0 % | buy file → |
The 4 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-13 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 2 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 22 trades, $94.3 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 with $79.16 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.080 | 0.130 | 0.108 | open | 9 | $79.16 | 11 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.030 | 0.080 | 0.064 | open | 11 | $13.2 | 85 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26NOV01 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | No | 1 | $1.01 | 0 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26OCT01 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | No | 1 | $0.93 | 100 % | buy file → |
The 3 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-12 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 7 trades, $56.12 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 with $46.05 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | open | 3 | $46.05 | 0 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 | 0.160 | 0.170 | 0.160 | 0.170 | 0.161 | open | 3 | $10.02 | 100 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26OCT01 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | No | 1 | $0.05 | 100 % | buy file → |
The 3 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-11 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 13 trades, $64.37 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 with $50.89 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 | 0.120 | 0.120 | 0.050 | 0.120 | 0.111 | open | 8 | $50.89 | 94 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 | 0.180 | 0.180 | 0.140 | 0.160 | 0.157 | open | 3 | $13 | 88 % | buy file → |
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26NOV01 | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 | No | 2 | $0.48 | 0 % | buy file → |
The 1 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-10 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 8 trades, $61.48 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 with $61.48 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 0.060 | 0.120 | 0.088 | open | 8 | $61.48 | 20 % | buy file → |
The 1 most traded Claude Model Release contracts on 2026-09-09 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 6 trades, $22.12 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 with $22.12 turnover.
| Contract | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 | 0.130 | 0.180 | 0.110 | 0.180 | 0.132 | open | 6 | $22.12 | 44 % | buy file → |
Over the last 30 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 6.36 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $361.77 per side, 84 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.
KXCLAUDE-MYTH-27JAN01 — $535.1 USD turnover over 22 trades on Kalshi. The 4 most traded contracts of the series did 36 trades and $642.07 that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.