Kalshi KXTRUMPSAY — What will trump say Data
Every Kalshi “What will trump say” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 250 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
What will trump say on Kalshi — activity
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 30 captured days to 2026-11-02, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.
One purchase, the whole series for a day
A series-day bundle contains every What will trump say contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 58 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.
Coverage runs February 2026 – present — 250 trading days, 2.23 GB compressed in total. A day typically holds 30 contract files (up to 68 on the busiest day, 73.9 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.
What will trump say — development since capture
246,867 trades and $7.0M of USD turnover over 86 captured days since 2026-08-09 — record day 2026-08-09 with $496.0K, biggest single contract KXTRUMPSAY-26SEP07-MOON (TRUMPSAY · MOON) (2026-09-07, $348.5K).
| Month | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 (month to date) | 2 | 6,168 | $58.9K | $29.4K | 69 | 486.5K | — |
| Oct 2026 | 31 | 73,852 | $1.5M | $47.2K | 976 | 16.0M | −37.4 % |
| Sep 2026 | 30 | 82,550 | $2.3M | $78.0K | 1,021 | 14.2M | −25.5 % |
| Aug 2026 | 23 | 84,297 | $3.1M | $136.5K | 835 | 7.1M | — |
Kalshi What will trump say — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
What will trump say — did the favourite win?
The side the opening price favoured finished in the money 80 % of the time across 248 settled What will trump say contracts that opened away from 50 ¢ among the day's most traded contracts, 2026-08-09 – 2026-11-02. Contracts opening at 90–100 ¢ — 61 of them — closed Yes 100 % of the time.
| Opening price | Contracts | Closed Yes | Closed No | Yes share | Open at last print |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–10 ¢ | 24 | 7 | 13 | 35 % | 4 |
| 10–20 ¢ | 26 | 6 | 12 | 33 % | 8 |
| 50–60 ¢ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 82 % | 7 |
| 60–70 ¢ | 28 | 17 | 3 | 85 % | 8 |
| 70–80 ¢ | 43 | 34 | 2 | 94 % | 7 |
| 80–90 ¢ | 47 | 43 | 1 | 98 % | 3 |
| 90–100 ¢ | 61 | 60 | 0 | 100 % | 1 |
| other opening prices | 45 | 29 | 8 | 78 % | 8 |
| Total | 298 | 210 | 42 | 83 % | 46 |
Opening price = the contract's first recorded print on the first day it ranked among the day's ten most traded contracts of the series (not its listing price), grouped in 10 ¢ steps (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢). Outcome implied by its last recorded print across the window (≥ 0.97 = Yes, ≤ 0.03 = No; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official result, we record the market. The sample is the daily top-10 by turnover, so it leans towards the closest, most traded contests. Deciles with fewer than 20 contracts are folded into one row.
What will trump say — activity by weekday and hour
Sundays carry the most turnover, about $96.2K per day. Contracts listed to settle 14:00–14:59 UTC take 27 % of the turnover of the most traded contracts.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $74.3K | 3.9K | 5 | |
| Tuesday | $28.7K | 1.3K | 4 | |
| Wednesday | $22.7K | 1.1K | 4 | |
| Thursday | $11.0K | 850.75 | 4 | |
| Friday | $27.7K | 1.2K | 4 | |
| Saturday | $49.2K | 1.9K | 4 | |
| Sunday | $96.2K | 6.3K | 5 |
Kalshi What will trump say — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
| Settles (UTC) | Turnover | USD | Share | Trades | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00–00:59 | $15.1K | 1.2 % | 96 | 1 | |
| 01:00–01:59 | $2.5K | 0.2 % | 26 | 1 | |
| 02:00–02:59 | $112.5K | 8.7 % | 1,885 | 26 | |
| 11:00–11:59 | $28.5K | 2.2 % | 2,197 | 6 | |
| 12:00–12:59 | $11.6K | 0.9 % | 243 | 4 | |
| 13:00–13:59 | $288.4K | 22.3 % | 10,612 | 47 | |
| 14:00–14:59 | $351.6K | 27.1 % | 19,826 | 86 | |
| 15:00–15:59 | $139.4K | 10.8 % | 8,233 | 85 | |
| 17:00–17:59 | $321.5K | 24.8 % | 1,405 | 34 | |
| 19:00–19:59 | $8.3K | 0.6 % | 113 | 3 | |
| 21:00–21:59 | $14.3K | 1.1 % | 176 | 6 | |
| 22:00–22:59 | $1.3K | 0.1 % | 34 | 1 |
Kalshi What will trump say — USD turnover and trades of the most traded contracts per day, grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract is listed to settle (the venue's close time), over the newest 30 captured days; from our tick archive.
What will trump say — last 30 days in the archive
Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.
| UTC day | Files | Size | Traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Avg spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | 58 | 4.61 MB | 49 | 2,924 | $31.6K | 15 % | 12.7 ¢ | $89.09 | 162.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-11-01 | 20 | 8.41 MB | 20 | 3,244 | $27.2K | 19 % | 4.34 ¢ | $9.11 | 324.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-31 | 20 | 6.70 MB | 20 | 1,455 | $15.5K | 20 % | 46.1 ¢ | $14.0K | 254.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-30 | 21 | 8.44 MB | 21 | 807 | $24.2K | 6 % | 5.84 ¢ | $7.45 | 344.5K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-29 | 22 | 6.75 MB | 22 | 512 | $8.4K | 6 % | 46.8 ¢ | $8.15 | 273.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-28 | 26 | 5.22 MB | 26 | 497 | $7.5K | 62 % | 4.95 ¢ | $4.0K | 201.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-27 | 33 | 12.0 MB | 33 | 853 | $24.5K | 45 % | 16.2 ¢ | $10.1K | 466.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-26 | 53 | 31.4 MB | 53 | 2,838 | $28.6K | 41 % | 7.56 ¢ | $356.62 | 1.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-25 | 23 | 20.4 MB | 23 | 6,063 | $80.5K | 20 % | 4.98 ¢ | $11.3K | 797.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-24 | 23 | 8.93 MB | 23 | 1,327 | $19.9K | 31 % | 7.09 ¢ | $1.4K | 334.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-23 | 24 | 12.6 MB | 24 | 1,205 | $26.9K | 22 % | 14.2 ¢ | $15.0K | 501.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-22 | 27 | 9.06 MB | 27 | 829 | $8.3K | 29 % | 25.0 ¢ | $14.3K | 350.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-21 | 28 | 13.9 MB | 28 | 1,400 | $27.8K | 33 % | 33.3 ¢ | $461.63 | 539.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-20 | 36 | 22.2 MB | 35 | 1,177 | $19.6K | 57 % | 18.8 ¢ | $23.3K | 887.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-19 | 59 | 9.49 MB | 59 | 4,505 | $27.3K | 68 % | 8.74 ¢ | $1.9K | 364.3K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-18 | 22 | 14.3 MB | 22 | 6,343 | $19.1K | 81 % | 3.19 ¢ | $4.0K | 547.7K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-17 | 24 | 11.5 MB | 24 | 1,506 | $4.6K | 43 % | 19.1 ¢ | $12.55 | 442.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-16 | 24 | 14.0 MB | 24 | 1,372 | $7.9K | 65 % | 8.34 ¢ | $1.7K | 553.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-15 | 25 | 10.2 MB | 25 | 901 | $2.6K | 52 % | 6.36 ¢ | $9.76 | 397.2K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-14 | 27 | 18.4 MB | 27 | 1,247 | $11.6K | 48 % | 10.7 ¢ | $11.3K | 731.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-13 | 41 | 24.2 MB | 41 | 1,376 | $15.1K | 34 % | 4.30 ¢ | $15.5K | 990.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-12 | 61 | 7.15 MB | 61 | 4,095 | $126.1K | 33 % | 7.95 ¢ | $3.1K | 272.9K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-11 | 22 | 8.31 MB | 22 | 8,985 | $207.7K | 14 % | 20.8 ¢ | $21.7K | 300.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-10 | 27 | 8.57 MB | 27 | 3,459 | $156.6K | 4 % | 54.2 ¢ | $14.89 | 326.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-09 | 29 | 7.38 MB | 29 | 1,605 | $51.7K | 22 % | 10.1 ¢ | $2.7K | 280.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-08 | 29 | 17.5 MB | 29 | 1,161 | $24.6K | 14 % | 12.3 ¢ | $8.8K | 703.7K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-07 | 30 | 20.2 MB | 30 | 1,376 | $43.7K | 14 % | 23.2 ¢ | $302.83 | 804.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-06 | 39 | 23.8 MB | 38 | 1,624 | $55.4K | 16 % | 17.1 ¢ | $26.6K | 946.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-05 | 59 | 26.8 MB | 59 | 5,056 | $157.9K | 16 % | 6.88 ¢ | $1.3K | 1.1M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-04 | 30 | 7.31 MB | 30 | 6,699 | $146.5K | 9 % | 2.18 ¢ | $2.9K | 265.3K | Buy day → |
Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.
Most traded What will trump say contracts by day
The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-11-02 — 1 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 9 closed No (≤ 0.03): 1,923 trades, $29.6K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS with $25.7K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 52 | $25.7K | 0 % | — | — | 314 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-REFI TRUMPSAY · REFI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.150 | 0.540 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.082 | No | 549 | $1.2K | 72 % | 1.86 ¢ | $101.89 | 27.6K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA TRUMPSAY · ETHA | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.110 | 0.250 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.045 | No | 375 | $628.72 | 84 % | 1.49 ¢ | $73.54 | 7.5K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-THIR TRUMPSAY · THIR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.050 | 0.190 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.025 | No | 198 | $545.56 | 92 % | 1.41 ¢ | $114.41 | 2.3K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CYBE TRUMPSAY · CYBE | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.020 | 0.090 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.017 | No | 155 | $401.18 | 92 % | 1.17 ¢ | $129.82 | 2.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ANTI TRUMPSAY · ANTI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.030 | 0.050 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.011 | No | 132 | $276.23 | 95 % | 1.01 ¢ | $185.74 | 1.1K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ZOHR TRUMPSAY · ZOHR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.017 | No | 147 | $262.68 | 83 % | 1.14 ¢ | $128.62 | 2.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-RANK TRUMPSAY · RANK | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.170 | 0.220 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.028 | No | 122 | $201.88 | 79 % | 1.77 ¢ | $119.52 | 2.8K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CRYP TRUMPSAY · CRYP | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.015 | No | 75 | $187.75 | 93 % | 1.00 ¢ | $136.07 | 616 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-HOUT TRUMPSAY · HOUT | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.040 | 0.220 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.026 | No | 118 | $176.39 | 80 % | 1.35 ¢ | $112.63 | 4.9K | buy file → |
Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).
2026-11-01 — 10 contracts, 2,584 trades, $26.5K turnover
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-11-01 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 3 closed No (≤ 0.03), 5 still open at the last print: 2,584 trades, $26.5K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS with $15.5K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 46 | $15.5K | 0 % | — | — | 370 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA TRUMPSAY · ETHA | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.720 | 0.850 | 0.040 | 0.110 | 0.598 | open | 954 | $5.3K | 44 % | 4.70 ¢ | $10.39 | 84.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MORT TRUMPSAY · MORT | 2026-11-01 14:37 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 9 | $2.7K | 0 % | — | — | 1.5K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-REFI TRUMPSAY · REFI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.320 | 0.630 | 0.040 | 0.150 | 0.283 | open | 588 | $1.4K | 67 % | 5.25 ¢ | $4.54 | 66.9K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ZOHR TRUMPSAY · ZOHR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.070 | 0.270 | 0.040 | 0.050 | 0.098 | open | 275 | $511.8 | 75 % | 3.04 ¢ | $7.47 | 16.1K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-RANK TRUMPSAY · RANK | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.190 | 0.350 | 0.060 | 0.170 | 0.183 | open | 199 | $305.26 | 86 % | 6.43 ¢ | $2.24 | 35.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-THIR TRUMPSAY · THIR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.160 | 0.210 | 0.040 | 0.050 | 0.110 | open | 192 | $264.63 | 81 % | 2.94 ¢ | $5.85 | 5.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CYBE TRUMPSAY · CYBE | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.080 | 0.140 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.069 | No | 98 | $214.25 | 93 % | 2.79 ¢ | $5.23 | 5.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CRYP TRUMPSAY · CRYP | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.060 | 0.110 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.049 | No | 115 | $212.32 | 78 % | 1.92 ¢ | $8.01 | 3.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-PEAC TRUMPSAY · PEAC | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.030 | 0.140 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.027 | No | 108 | $150.79 | 80 % | 2.81 ¢ | $23.38 | 1.8K | buy file → |
2026-10-31 — 10 contracts, 1,181 trades, $15.2K turnover
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-10-31 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 7 still open at the last print: 1,181 trades, $15.2K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS with $7.7K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 23 | $7.7K | 0 % | — | — | 199 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MORT TRUMPSAY · MORT | 2026-11-01 14:37 | 0.140 | 0.990 | 0.130 | 0.990 | 0.962 | Yes | 54 | $4.3K | 27 % | 78.2 ¢ | $25.3K | 4.1K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA TRUMPSAY · ETHA | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.760 | 0.860 | 0.130 | 0.720 | 0.638 | open | 325 | $2.0K | 46 % | 7.52 ¢ | $6.55 | 104.4K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-REFI TRUMPSAY · REFI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.410 | 0.460 | 0.190 | 0.320 | 0.367 | open | 242 | $390.5 | 73 % | 6.60 ¢ | $4.72 | 15.9K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CYBE TRUMPSAY · CYBE | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.460 | 0.460 | 0.040 | 0.080 | 0.226 | open | 183 | $326.48 | 53 % | 5.89 ¢ | $1.78 | 27.5K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ZOHR TRUMPSAY · ZOHR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.040 | 0.070 | 0.094 | open | 88 | $153.62 | 79 % | 2.75 ¢ | $7.96 | 2.7K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CRYP TRUMPSAY · CRYP | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.087 | open | 68 | $112.06 | 57 % | 1.13 ¢ | $16.47 | 2.7K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-AUTO TRUMPSAY · AUTO | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.270 | 0.360 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.220 | open | 48 | $78.82 | 84 % | 5.47 ¢ | $1.49 | 11.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ANTI TRUMPSAY · ANTI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.070 | 0.370 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.117 | No | 57 | $77.14 | 58 % | 3.07 ¢ | $3.78 | 6.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-THIR TRUMPSAY · THIR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.240 | 0.240 | 0.050 | 0.160 | 0.153 | open | 93 | $68.3 | 80 % | 5.27 ¢ | $0.85 | 20.4K | buy file → |
2026-10-30 — 10 contracts, 538 trades, $23.9K turnover
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-10-30 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 7 still open at the last print: 538 trades, $23.9K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS with $19.7K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 25 | $19.7K | 0 % | — | — | 214 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-EPST TRUMPSAY · EPST | 2026-10-30 15:06 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 14 | $2.6K | 0 % | — | — | 93 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA TRUMPSAY · ETHA | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.670 | 0.790 | 0.260 | 0.760 | 0.521 | open | 161 | $725.34 | 67 % | 7.37 ¢ | $5.64 | 112.9K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-REFI TRUMPSAY · REFI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.470 | 0.470 | 0.210 | 0.410 | 0.382 | open | 75 | $196.33 | 87 % | 4.86 ¢ | $12.09 | 7.5K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CRYP TRUMPSAY · CRYP | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.080 | 0.560 | 0.080 | 0.190 | 0.160 | open | 59 | $180.01 | 99 % | 4.30 ¢ | $5.37 | 5.5K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-AUTO TRUMPSAY · AUTO | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.360 | 0.430 | 0.170 | 0.270 | 0.325 | open | 40 | $150.07 | 77 % | 7.88 ¢ | $3.84 | 22.9K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CYBE TRUMPSAY · CYBE | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.120 | 0.460 | 0.100 | 0.460 | 0.268 | open | 50 | $110.09 | 99 % | 7.33 ¢ | $4.61 | 22.1K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-RANK TRUMPSAY · RANK | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.490 | 0.490 | 0.080 | 0.270 | 0.244 | open | 36 | $81.72 | 79 % | 4.43 ¢ | $9.86 | 9.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MAKE TRUMPSAY · MAKE | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.021 | No | 23 | $80.41 | 97 % | 1.03 ¢ | $28.9 | 353 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ZOHR TRUMPSAY · ZOHR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.110 | 0.250 | 0.110 | 0.220 | 0.203 | open | 55 | $66.18 | 91 % | 4.51 ¢ | $3.73 | 5.2K | buy file → |
2026-10-29 — 10 contracts, 259 trades, $8.1K turnover
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-10-29 — 3 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 7 still open at the last print: 259 trades, $8.1K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-EPST with $5.7K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-EPST TRUMPSAY · EPST | 2026-10-30 15:06 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 22 | $5.7K | 0 % | 58.0 ¢ | — | 194 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 4 | $1.1K | 0 % | — | — | 109 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-VIVE TRUMPSAY · VIVE | 2026-10-29 13:52 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $462.92 | 0 % | 1.00 ¢ | — | 64 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA TRUMPSAY · ETHA | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.650 | 0.730 | 0.570 | 0.670 | 0.680 | open | 23 | $231.53 | 23 % | 13.3 ¢ | $8.31 | 39.8K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-RANK TRUMPSAY · RANK | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.530 | 0.760 | 0.420 | 0.490 | 0.563 | open | 41 | $209.05 | 58 % | 12.2 ¢ | $3.64 | 26.1K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-REFI TRUMPSAY · REFI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.750 | 0.750 | 0.440 | 0.470 | 0.481 | open | 25 | $170.26 | 17 % | 9.06 ¢ | $21.88 | 15.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MARI TRUMPSAY · MARI | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.140 | 0.580 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.174 | open | 34 | $92.26 | 56 % | 1.92 ¢ | $5.76 | 1.6K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-THIR TRUMPSAY · THIR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.430 | 0.450 | 0.160 | 0.160 | 0.317 | open | 51 | $78.94 | 64 % | 8.02 ¢ | $3.13 | 12.3K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-AUTO TRUMPSAY · AUTO | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.520 | 0.520 | 0.360 | 0.360 | 0.415 | open | 28 | $54.31 | 35 % | 6.69 ¢ | $6.83 | 5.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MORT TRUMPSAY · MORT | 2026-11-01 14:37 | 0.410 | 0.520 | 0.170 | 0.230 | 0.321 | open | 30 | $54.15 | 70 % | 9.87 ¢ | $2.81 | 19.8K | buy file → |
2026-10-28 — 10 contracts, 233 trades, $7.1K turnover
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-10-28 — 5 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 5 still open at the last print: 233 trades, $7.1K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-VIVE with $3.6K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-VIVE TRUMPSAY · VIVE | 2026-10-29 13:52 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 6 | $3.6K | 96 % | 1.09 ¢ | $2.7K | 181 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 6 | $1.3K | 0 % | — | — | 76 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MELA TRUMPSAY · MELA | 2026-10-28 13:51 | 0.800 | 0.990 | 0.800 | 0.990 | 0.985 | Yes | 12 | $959.17 | 10 % | 15.0 ¢ | $14.3K | 222 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-EPST TRUMPSAY · EPST | 2026-10-30 15:06 | 0.210 | 0.990 | 0.150 | 0.990 | 0.448 | Yes | 50 | $393.6 | 99 % | 4.02 ¢ | $780.11 | 8.3K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-ETHA TRUMPSAY · ETHA | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.740 | 0.960 | 0.610 | 0.650 | 0.818 | open | 21 | $222.67 | 65 % | 10.4 ¢ | $6.22 | 14.3K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-RANK TRUMPSAY · RANK | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.610 | 0.610 | 0.120 | 0.530 | 0.447 | open | 32 | $131.49 | 54 % | 10.7 ¢ | $3.8 | 16.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-URAN TRUMPSAY · URAN | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.130 | 0.140 | 0.080 | 0.110 | 0.106 | open | 33 | $118.43 | 79 % | 2.18 ¢ | $9.05 | 2.2K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-THIR TRUMPSAY · THIR | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.500 | 0.610 | 0.250 | 0.430 | 0.453 | open | 33 | $112.05 | 41 % | 11.6 ¢ | $4.56 | 36.0K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-PEAC TRUMPSAY · PEAC | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.110 | 0.110 | 0.050 | 0.060 | 0.094 | open | 33 | $98.45 | 95 % | 1.88 ¢ | $3.76 | 1.3K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-BIBI TRUMPSAY · BIBI | 2026-10-28 13:51 | 0.900 | 0.990 | 0.860 | 0.990 | 0.939 | Yes | 7 | $90.17 | 62 % | 6.62 ¢ | $8.8K | 655 | buy file → |
2026-10-27 — 10 contracts, 179 trades, $22.3K turnover
The 10 most traded What will trump say contracts on 2026-10-27 — 9 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 179 trades, $22.3K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CUBA with $12.5K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CUBA TRUMPSAY · CUBA | 2026-10-28 02:52 | 0.710 | 0.990 | 0.570 | 0.990 | 0.988 | Yes | 35 | $12.5K | 41 % | 12.9 ¢ | $8.5K | 23.9K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-DIES TRUMPSAY · DIES | 2026-10-27 17:16 | 0.850 | 0.990 | 0.850 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 7 | $3.7K | 90 % | 15.9 ¢ | $20.2K | 1.5K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-MOON TRUMPSAY · MOON | 2026-10-27 17:16 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 7 | $1.8K | 0 % | 31.0 ¢ | — | 92 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-SOLE TRUMPSAY · SOLE | 2026-10-27 17:16 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 7 | $888.8 | 0 % | 85.0 ¢ | — | 72 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CANA TRUMPSAY · CANA | 2026-10-27 15:15 | 0.890 | 0.990 | 0.890 | 0.990 | 0.987 | Yes | 6 | $838.86 | 56 % | 4.99 ¢ | $21.3K | 153 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-NOBE TRUMPSAY · NOBE | 2026-10-28 02:52 | 0.850 | 0.990 | 0.630 | 0.990 | 0.911 | Yes | 39 | $657.24 | 54 % | 10.3 ¢ | $5.3K | 15.7K | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS TRUMPSAY · CEAS | 2026-11-02 14:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 8 | $603.21 | 0 % | 18.0 ¢ | — | 225 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-BLOC TRUMPSAY · BLOC | 2026-10-27 17:16 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 4 | $492.46 | 0 % | 16.0 ¢ | — | 60 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-DIVI TRUMPSAY · DIVI | 2026-10-27 17:16 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 4 | $462.9 | 0 % | 1.00 ¢ | — | 160 | buy file → |
| KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-PEAC TRUMPSAY · PEAC | 2026-11-02 15:02 | 0.130 | 0.140 | 0.040 | 0.110 | 0.092 | open | 62 | $321.77 | 95 % | 2.95 ¢ | $2.53 | 3.9K | buy file → |
How a What will trump say contract trades
On Kalshi, a What will trump say contract trades for about 7.5 days from open to close, is listed roughly 3.2 h before it opens, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 10 contracts captured on 2026-11-02.
Try a What will trump say contract file for free
The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.
KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-CYBE minute by minute — 2026-10-25
One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.
KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT26-CYBE traded in 13 of the day’s minutes (01:48–02:36 UTC): 86 trades, $44.4K turnover, opening at 0.990, ranging 0.800–0.990 and closing at 0.970.
| Minute (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | Trades | Turnover | Spread | Top-1 bid / ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:48 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 5 | $18.5K | — | — |
| 02:05 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.800 | 0.800 | 12 | $17.2K | 10.8 ¢ | $8.5K / $12.23 |
| 02:08 | 0.800 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 1 | $0.94 | 8.93 ¢ | $5.79 / $7.57 |
| 02:10 | 0.940 | 0.870 | 0.870 | 0.870 | 2 | $13.92 | 7.72 ¢ | $332.91 / $13.92 |
| 02:11 | 0.870 | 0.960 | 0.940 | 0.960 | 5 | $99.69 | 9.29 ¢ | $34.4 / $120.88 |
| 02:12 | 0.960 | 0.860 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 4 | $90.74 | 10.7 ¢ | $13.01 / $113.29 |
| 02:21 | 0.810 | 0.960 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 5 | $452.51 | 5.35 ¢ | $264.9 / $23.89 |
| 02:22 | 0.890 | 0.960 | 0.960 | 0.960 | 4 | $14.8 | 2.50 ¢ | $120.01 / $12.61 |
| 02:23 | 0.960 | 0.970 | 0.940 | 0.940 | 19 | $894.25 | 2.28 ¢ | $52.41 / $45.49 |
| 02:24 | 0.940 | 0.980 | 0.950 | 0.980 | 17 | $122.12 | 2.36 ¢ | $17.06 / $18.24 |
| 02:25 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 3 | $134.64 | 2.85 ¢ | $153.71 / $92.14 |
| 02:26 | 0.990 | 0.960 | 0.960 | 0.960 | 1 | $0.96 | 2.95 ¢ | $1.2K / $11.42 |
| 02:36 | 0.960 | 0.990 | 0.970 | 0.970 | 8 | $6.9K | 3.00 ¢ | — |
1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.
Build a What will trump say model on this data
Every resolved What will trump say contract is a labelled example — a count, a score, a date or a name — and the day bundle holds its full order-book path and trade tape, nanosecond-stamped. The statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.
Split by time, never at random — adjacent contracts share a regime, and a random split leaks it into the test set. The training-data hub covers labels, leakage and walk-forward validation.
Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.
Why buy Kalshi What will trump say data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
Kalshi What will trump say data — FAQ
What Kalshi What will trump say data can I download?
Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the What will trump say series on Kalshi (58 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.
What is the Kalshi series ticker for What will trump say?
KXTRUMPSAY — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXTRUMPSAY-* contract listed that UTC day.
How far back does the What will trump say data go?
Coverage runs February 2026 – present — 250 trading days in total.
What format are the Kalshi files in?
One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.
Can I get Kalshi What will trump say data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Kalshi What will trump say historical data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the What will trump say series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Kalshi What will trump say data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
How many What will trump say contracts trade per day on Kalshi?
On average 32 What will trump say contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 30 captured days on Kalshi, with about 523.3K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.
How liquid are Kalshi What will trump say contracts?
Over the last 30 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 16.7 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $7.3K per side, 21 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.
What was the most traded What will trump say contract on 2026-11-02?
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV02-CEAS (TRUMPSAY · CEAS) — $25.7K USD turnover over 52 trades on Kalshi. The 10 most traded contracts of the series did 1,923 trades and $29.6K that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.
Did the favourite win in What will trump say contracts?
Of 248 settled What will trump say contracts that opened away from 50 ¢ among the day's most traded contracts between 2026-08-09 and 2026-11-02 on Kalshi, the side the opening price favoured finished in the money 80 % of the time; the largest group, 61 contracts opening at 90–100 ¢, closed Yes 100 % of the time. Outcomes are implied from each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement, and the opening price is the first print on the first day the contract ranked among the ten most traded of the series; the opening-price table on this page lists every 10 ¢ step, and the tick data behind it is in the day bundles.
What was the busiest What will trump say trading day on Kalshi?
2026-08-09, with $496.0K of USD turnover over 12,029 trades across every What will trump say contract of the day; the busiest full month was Aug 2026 at $3.1M. Since our statistics began on 2026-08-09 the series has recorded 246,867 trades and $7.0M over 86 captured days; the single biggest contract was KXTRUMPSAY-26SEP07-MOON (TRUMPSAY · MOON) on 2026-09-07 with $348.5K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.
When do What will trump say contracts settle?
Contracts listed to settle between 14:00 and 14:59 UTC carried 27 % of the USD turnover of the most traded What will trump say contracts per day over the newest 30 captured days on Kalshi. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.
Which weekday does Kalshi What will trump say trade most?
Sundays — about $96.2K of USD turnover per Sunday and 34 % of the series' turnover over the 30 captured days to 2026-11-02 on Kalshi, summed from every trade print of the series' contracts. The weekday profile on this page shows all seven days; the day bundles carry the full tape behind them.
How much of What will trump say turnover trades on event day?
39 % — across 252 settled What will trump say contracts between 2026-08-09 and 2026-11-02 on Kalshi, 39 % of their USD turnover printed on the UTC day the contract settled and 61 % on the days before, summed from every trade of the most traded contracts per day. The pre-event share is where line-movement features live; the day bundles hold both.
How long before an event do What will trump say contracts trade?
A median of 2 captured trading days per contract, settlement day included (a quarter traded 4 days or more) — across 252 settled What will trump say contracts to 2026-11-02 on Kalshi, counting the UTC days a contract ranked among the series' most traded. Buy those days as a range (/shop/bundles?bundle=kalshi-kxtrumpsay&d=<from>..<to>) to get the whole pre-event path of each contract.