Low-Latency Trading Solutions
CART
Kalshi · Politics · event · KXPRIMARYMOV

Kalshi Primary margins of victory Data

Every Kalshi “Primary margins of victory” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 170 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
170
Coverage
April 2026 – September 2026
Archive size
657 MB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

Primary margins of victory on Kalshi — activity

Per-day trade and turnover statistics exist from July 2026 onward — a limit of the statistics, not of the capture: older days are archived in full (every contract, every message) without a statistics row.

Series ticker
KXPRIMARYMOV
Turnover on settlement day
16 %
Days traded before settling (median)
3
Since 2026-07-08
59.4K trades · $2.6M
Record day
$1.2M · 2026-08-05
Files on latest day
15
Typical files / day
127
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every Primary margins of victory contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 15 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs April 2026 – September 2026 — 170 trading days, 657 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 127 contract files (up to 283 on the busiest day, 39.0 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

Primary margins of victory — development since capture

59,392 trades and $2.6M of USD turnover over 72 captured days since 2026-07-08 — record day 2026-08-05 with $1.2M, biggest single contract KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P4 (PRIMARYMOV · strike · P4 P4) (2026-08-26, $141.3K).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Sep 202617967$26.9K$1.6K84108.3K−98.9 %
Aug 20263152,283$2.4M$77.4K1,2694.7M+1551.2 %
Jul 2026246,142$145.2K$6.1K———

Kalshi Primary margins of victory — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

When it trades

Primary margins of victory — activity by weekday and hour

Contracts listed to settle 00:00–00:59 UTC take 87 % of the turnover of the most traded contracts.

By UTC hour the contract is listed to settle (newest 30 captured days, most traded contracts per day)
Settles (UTC)TurnoverUSDShareTradesContracts
00:00–00:59$419.3K86.8 %8,07078
01:00–01:59$14.6K3.0 %1915
15:00–15:59$16.9K3.5 %71367
16:00–16:59$5.2K1.1 %41
22:00–22:59$26.1K5.4 %97147
23:00–23:59$724.320.1 %139

Kalshi Primary margins of victory — USD turnover and trades of the most traded contracts per day, grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract is listed to settle (the venue's close time), over the newest 30 captured days; from our tick archive.

Daily statistics

Primary margins of victory — last 30 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-09-171548.6 KB33$228.232 %12.8 ¢$7.96449Buy day →
2026-09-161563.1 KB00$0———886Buy day →
2026-09-151561.7 KB00$0———824Buy day →
2026-09-141575.1 KB24$11.860 %——1.2KBuy day →
2026-09-131586.7 KB12$12.670 %4.00 ¢$158.361.6KBuy day →
2026-09-121582.5 KB11$2.550 %——867Buy day →
2026-09-111565.1 KB34$230.181 %——659Buy day →
2026-09-101568.9 KB24$761.6490 %2.65 ¢$391.66993Buy day →
2026-09-0937426 KB993$4.1K51 %9.16 ¢$190.3811.1KBuy day →
2026-09-0837398 KB974$2.5K70 %7.76 ¢$92.919.7KBuy day →
2026-09-0737237 KB616$317.0126 %5.25 ¢$71.463.9KBuy day →
2026-09-0637191 KB57$53.557 %6.93 ¢$78.663.0KBuy day →
2026-09-0537356 KB59$281.199 %8.21 ¢$92.139.9KBuy day →
2026-09-0437172 KB59$97.2633 %2.64 ¢$81.582.7KBuy day →
2026-09-0337403 KB1116$1.8K3 %9.40 ¢$47.7410.3KBuy day →
2026-09-0249649 KB12286$8.6K57 %1.14 ¢$23.6K17.1KBuy day →
2026-09-01491.07 MB10439$7.9K65 %2.97 ¢$243.2233.2KBuy day →
2026-08-31491.40 MB8181$7.9K73 %3.07 ¢$184.249.8KBuy day →
2026-08-3049306 KB820$250.0218 %3.40 ¢$46.125.3KBuy day →
2026-08-2975353 KB1135$592.9397 %4.70 ¢$79.576.1KBuy day →
2026-08-2875654 KB1219$148.9432 %3.81 ¢$35.9311.3KBuy day →
2026-08-271071.04 MB2149$473.515 %6.00 ¢$285.5120.3KBuy day →
2026-08-2614311.2 MB403,451$193.2K48 %1.68 ¢$69.1K355.9KBuy day →
2026-08-2517627.3 MB505,186$144.9K76 %2.63 ¢$365.6950.0KBuy day →
2026-08-241765.97 MB44708$49.3K89 %2.43 ¢$320.2213.6KBuy day →
2026-08-231764.30 MB64704$28.9K78 %4.45 ¢$168.26145.2KBuy day →
2026-08-221762.69 MB56472$6.3K53 %2.45 ¢$104.7381.9KBuy day →
2026-08-211764.01 MB60390$9.3K57 %3.26 ¢$125.46130.5KBuy day →
2026-08-201765.11 MB67929$19.7K78 %2.79 ¢$221.06166.5KBuy day →
2026-08-192037.58 MB831,087$41.7K45 %5.51 ¢$5.4K241.4KBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

Most traded Primary margins of victory contracts by day

The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.

The 3 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-17 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03): 3 trades, $228.23 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 with $158.15 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P70 P702026-09-17 15:150.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Yes1$158.150 %——37buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Yes1$65.090 %——28buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P75 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P75 P752026-09-17 15:150.0100.0100.0100.0100.010No1$4.99100 %12.8 ¢$7.9692buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).

2026-09-14 — 2 contracts, 4 trades, $11.86 turnover

The 2 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-14 — 1 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03): 4 trades, $11.86 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 with $11.84 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9500.9900.9500.9900.990Yes3$11.840 %——63buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P75 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P75 P752026-09-17 15:150.0100.0100.0100.0100.010No1$0.02100 %——304buy file →
2026-09-13 — 1 contract, 2 trades, $12.67 turnover

The 1 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-13 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 2 trades, $12.67 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 with $12.67 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9600.9600.9500.9500.954open2$12.670 %4.00 ¢$158.3681buy file →
2026-09-12 — 1 contract, 1 trades, $2.55 turnover

The 1 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-12 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 1 trades, $2.55 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 with $2.55 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9600.9600.9600.9600.960open1$2.550 %——44buy file →
2026-09-11 — 3 contracts, 4 trades, $230.18 turnover

The 3 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-11 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03): 4 trades, $230.18 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 with $214.62 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P70 P702026-09-17 15:150.9900.9900.9800.9800.980Yes2$214.620 %——80buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Yes1$14.310 %——30buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P75 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P75 P752026-09-17 15:150.0400.0400.0100.0100.010No1$1.25100 %——116buy file →
2026-09-10 — 2 contracts, 4 trades, $761.64 turnover

The 2 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-10 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03): 4 trades, $761.64 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 with $684.9 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P70 P702026-09-17 15:150.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Yes2$684.9100 %2.65 ¢$391.66158buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9700.9900.9700.9900.990Yes2$76.740 %——40buy file →
2026-09-09 — 9 contracts, 93 trades, $4.1K turnover

The 9 most traded Primary margins of victory contracts on 2026-09-09 — 6 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 2 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 93 trades, $4.1K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 with $2.3K turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P70 P702026-09-17 15:150.9000.9900.2300.9900.875Yes61$2.3K54 %14.6 ¢$121.162.7Kbuy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P51 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P51 P512026-09-09 23:050.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Yes2$604.0431 %1.00 ¢$288.851buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-17 15:150.9900.9900.9700.9700.988Yes8$519.8289 %2.35 ¢$432.7576buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P55 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P55 P552026-09-17 15:150.9500.9900.9500.9900.990Yes2$400.950 %2.00 ¢—68buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P60 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P60 P602026-09-17 15:150.9700.9900.9700.9900.990Yes3$159.4100 %1.27 ¢$97.998buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P75 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P75 P752026-09-17 15:150.0900.8900.0100.0400.063open13$42.355 %6.21 ¢$8.055.7Kbuy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P57 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P57 P572026-09-09 23:050.0100.0100.0100.0100.010No2$7.2769 %3.00 ¢$7.3970buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P60 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P60 P602026-09-09 22:500.9900.9900.9900.9900.990Yes1$6.390 %——81buy file →
KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P65 PRIMARYMOV · strike · P65 P652026-09-09 23:050.0100.0100.0100.0100.010No1$1.42100 %——72buy file →
Contract anatomy

How a Primary margins of victory contract trades

Trading window
92 days
Listed ahead
23 min
Tick size
0.01
Contracts measured
3
Quoted in
USD

On Kalshi, a Primary margins of victory contract trades for about 92 days from open to close, is listed roughly 23 min before it opens, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 3 contracts captured on 2026-09-17.

Build a bot

Build a Primary margins of victory model on this data

Every resolved Primary margins of victory contract is a labelled example that trades for weeks or months, not minutes: the label is the race outcome, the margin bucket or the nominee, and the signal in between is mostly the order book — quotes move on news while trades stay sparse. The day bundle holds each contract's full Level-2 book path and every trade of that UTC day, nanosecond-stamped; the statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.

Turnover on settlement day, 66 contracts to 2026-09-17
16 %
Median days traded per contract
3

Split by election cycle and by race, never at random — months of quotes on one contract are one regime, and a random split leaks the result backwards; validate across races and cycles, not within one. The election-markets guide works thin books, book updates as the main signal and calibration over months through.

Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy Kalshi Primary margins of victory data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and free full-day samples from the major venues let you test first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

Kalshi Primary margins of victory data — FAQ

What Kalshi Primary margins of victory data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Primary margins of victory series on Kalshi (15 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

What is the Kalshi series ticker for Primary margins of victory?

KXPRIMARYMOV — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXPRIMARYMOV-* contract listed that UTC day.

How far back does the Primary margins of victory data go?

Coverage runs April 2026 – September 2026 — 170 trading days in total.

What format are the Kalshi files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get Kalshi Primary margins of victory data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does Kalshi Primary margins of victory historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the Primary margins of victory series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the Kalshi Primary margins of victory data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

What was the most traded Primary margins of victory contract on 2026-09-17?

KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATENHR26-JSUN-P70 (PRIMARYMOV · strike · P70 P70) — $158.15 USD turnover over 1 trade on Kalshi. The 3 most traded contracts of the series did 3 trades and $228.23 that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

What was the busiest Primary margins of victory trading day on Kalshi?

2026-08-05, with $1.2M of USD turnover over 21,419 trades across every Primary margins of victory contract of the day; the busiest full month was Aug 2026 at $2.4M. Since our statistics began on 2026-07-08 the series has recorded 59,392 trades and $2.6M over 72 captured days; the single biggest contract was KXPRIMARYMOV-SCRSENS262-DGRA-P4 (PRIMARYMOV · strike · P4 P4) on 2026-08-26 with $141.3K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

When do Primary margins of victory contracts settle?

Contracts listed to settle between 00:00 and 00:59 UTC carried 87 % of the USD turnover of the most traded Primary margins of victory contracts per day over the newest 30 captured days on Kalshi. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.

How much of Primary margins of victory turnover trades on event day?

16 % — across 66 settled Primary margins of victory contracts between 2026-08-09 and 2026-09-17 on Kalshi, 16 % of their USD turnover printed on the UTC day the contract settled and 84 % on the days before, summed from every trade of the most traded contracts per day. The pre-event share is where line-movement features live; the day bundles hold both.

How long do Primary margins of victory contracts trade?

A median of 3 captured trading days per contract (a quarter traded 6 days or more) — across 66 settled Primary margins of victory contracts to 2026-09-17 on Kalshi, counting the UTC days a contract ranked among the series' most traded. Buy those days as a range (/shop/bundles?bundle=kalshi-kxprimarymov&d=<from>..<to>) to get the whole pre-event path of each contract.

Topics

Topic hubs featuring this series