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Kalshi · Politics · event · KXMIDTERMMOV

Kalshi Midterm margin of victory Data

Every Kalshi “Midterm margin of victory” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 193 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
193
Coverage
April 2026 – present
Archive size
7.98 GB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

Midterm margin of victory on Kalshi — activity

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 30 captured days to 2026-11-06, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.

Series ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV
Avg trades / day
11,763
Avg turnover / day
$537.1K
Captured days
30
Trades (30d)
352,886
Turnover (30d)
$16.1M
Contracts traded / day
643
Buy share
63 %
Avg spread
5.08 ¢
Top-1 depth
$25.1K
L2 updates / day
4.7M
L2 updates / trade
401.5
Turnover on settlement day
37 %
Days traded before settling (median)
2
30d vs prior 30d
+2689.8 %
Since 2026-07-08
387.6K trades · $17.1M
Record day
$6.8M · 2026-11-04
Files on latest day
5,313
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every Midterm margin of victory contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 5,313 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs April 2026 – present — 193 trading days, 7.98 GB compressed in total. A day typically holds 4,111 contract files (up to 5,454 on the busiest day, 995 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

Midterm margin of victory — development since capture

387,587 trades and $17.1M of USD turnover over 122 captured days since 2026-07-08 — record day 2026-11-04 with $6.8M, biggest single contract KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P9 (MIDTERMMOV · strike · P9 P9) (2026-11-04, $437.5K).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Nov 2026 (month to date)6248,642$13.2M$2.2M8,07584.7M—
Oct 202631111,487$3.1M$101.5K12,86161.9M+720.0 %
Sep 20263014,999$383.8K$12.8K4,75313.8M+50.5 %
Aug 2026318,827$255.1K$8.2K2,74613.9M+128.3 %
Jul 2026243,632$111.7K$4.7K———

Kalshi Midterm margin of victory — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

When it trades

Midterm margin of victory — activity by weekday

Wednesdays carry the most turnover, about $1.8M per day.

Weekday (UTC)Avg turnover / dayUSDAvg tradesDays
Monday$269.3K8.1K4
Tuesday$473.6K15.6K4
Wednesday$1.8M39.3K4
Thursday$771.7K7.6K5
Friday$209.0K5.5K5
Saturday$128.0K4.4K4
Sunday$130.7K4.5K4

Kalshi Midterm margin of victory — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.

Daily statistics

Midterm margin of victory — last 30 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-11-065,313219 MB5645,673$423.6K51 %2.70 ¢$8.9K8.6MBuy day →
2026-11-055,125395 MB1,30217,671$3.3M74 %2.03 ¢$57.0K15.0MBuy day →
2026-11-045,454995 MB2,661142,579$6.8M69 %8.64 ¢$30.8K38.3MBuy day →
2026-11-035,393259 MB1,67450,220$1.6M48 %2.64 ¢$381.079.3MBuy day →
2026-11-025,392221 MB1,10122,054$757.7K52 %2.22 ¢$867.647.8MBuy day →
2026-11-015,375163 MB77310,445$339.1K56 %2.33 ¢$957.495.8MBuy day →
2026-10-315,313169 MB7709,923$298.5K45 %2.15 ¢$547.466.0MBuy day →
2026-10-305,239139 MB78611,789$291.8K54 %2.24 ¢$519.484.7MBuy day →
2026-10-295,239127 MB7799,994$242.3K65 %2.66 ¢$973.744.5MBuy day →
2026-10-285,20791.2 MB6258,151$202.7K53 %2.28 ¢$291.863.0MBuy day →
2026-10-275,207109 MB6686,595$147.0K52 %2.80 ¢$390.763.6MBuy day →
2026-10-265,20788.5 MB6516,136$205.7K48 %2.64 ¢$467.662.8MBuy day →
2026-10-255,19079.2 MB5843,802$107.3K47 %3.48 ¢$227.132.6MBuy day →
2026-10-245,19074.2 MB5074,144$114.6K59 %2.62 ¢$489.552.4MBuy day →
2026-10-235,190112 MB5035,632$195.5K40 %3.13 ¢$418.033.9MBuy day →
2026-10-224,98678.5 MB5376,115$173.9K46 %3.00 ¢$510.432.5MBuy day →
2026-10-214,97278.5 MB4113,600$119.3K60 %3.47 ¢$446.12.5MBuy day →
2026-10-204,96264.2 MB3303,605$116.5K52 %4.04 ¢$264.072.0MBuy day →
2026-10-194,95255.3 MB4712,762$80.4K47 %3.69 ¢$309.481.6MBuy day →
2026-10-184,94445.9 MB3231,808$37.3K57 %3.85 ¢$192.931.3MBuy day →
2026-10-174,94449.4 MB3171,918$56.9K46 %3.59 ¢$416.491.4MBuy day →
2026-10-164,94451.9 MB3522,349$79.5K54 %4.24 ¢$510.761.4MBuy day →
2026-10-154,93449.7 MB3972,353$77.5K57 %3.80 ¢$435.651.4MBuy day →
2026-10-144,92847.7 MB3862,790$90.4K52 %3.13 ¢$110.411.3MBuy day →
2026-10-134,91847.4 MB3072,106$55.7K51 %2.78 ¢$220.051.4MBuy day →
2026-10-124,90248.1 MB2591,444$33.3K40 %5.02 ¢$204.991.4MBuy day →
2026-10-114,83345.8 MB3151,751$39.0K44 %3.99 ¢$123.731.3MBuy day →
2026-10-104,83341.4 MB2881,635$41.8K55 %4.16 ¢$249.631.1MBuy day →
2026-10-094,58648.1 MB3342,180$54.4K54 %3.47 ¢$172.81.3MBuy day →
2026-10-084,58449.2 MB3041,662$51.1K49 %3.59 ¢$157.41.4MBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

Most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts by day

The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-11-06 — 10 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03): 243 trades, $210.4K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P1 with $64.4K turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P10.9990.9990.9950.9950.995Yes16$64.4K0 %0.27 ¢$17.3K362buy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P0.5 MIDTERMMOV · P0.50.9900.9990.9880.9990.999Yes18$33.0K98 %0.56 ¢$3.4K180buy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.9980.9990.9970.9970.997Yes68$19.8K13 %0.18 ¢$13.4K345buy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P9.5 MIDTERMMOV · P9.50.9970.9990.9970.9970.999Yes3$16.0K100 %0.90 ¢$4.9K2.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.9940.9990.9930.9930.993Yes40$15.9K1 %0.46 ¢$6.4K890buy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P10 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P10 P100.9900.9990.9890.9890.999Yes4$15.4K100 %1.01 ¢$3.9K2.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P11 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P11 P110.9900.9990.9900.9990.999Yes1$12.4K100 %1.70 ¢$3.3K9.8Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P15 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P15 P150.9920.9990.9920.9990.999Yes3$11.4K100 %0.70 ¢$5.7K252buy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXGOVD-P6 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P6 P60.9900.9960.9900.9900.990Yes17$11.2K1 %0.73 ¢$7.7K317buy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.9960.9990.9950.9990.998Yes73$10.8K71 %0.16 ¢$21.7K826buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).

2026-11-05 — 10 contracts, 854 trades, $1.1M turnover

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-11-05 — 10 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03): 854 trades, $1.1M USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P4 with $218.5K turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P40.9940.9990.9930.9950.996Yes75$218.5K99 %0.27 ¢$41.6K1.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P8 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P8 P80.9980.9990.9970.9980.998Yes36$160.4K98 %0.10 ¢$76.7K1.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3.5 MIDTERMMOV · P3.50.9940.9990.9940.9970.997Yes46$109.4K99 %0.15 ¢$33.3K1.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.9900.9990.9870.9940.992Yes93$97.5K90 %0.41 ¢$11.4K2.8Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P9 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P9 P90.9970.9990.9960.9980.997Yes75$87.6K94 %0.10 ¢$16.7K1.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.9980.9990.9970.9980.999Yes192$87.2K80 %0.10 ¢$70.7K1.5Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P9.5 MIDTERMMOV · P9.50.9970.9990.9970.9970.998Yes15$86.8K97 %0.59 ¢$100.3K1.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.9980.9990.9970.9980.998Yes158$74.0K89 %0.10 ¢$40.4K1.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P0.5 MIDTERMMOV · P0.50.9820.9990.9810.9900.991Yes121$73.6K44 %1.07 ¢$6.6K9.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.9980.9990.9970.9970.999Yes43$68.5K71 %0.14 ¢$172.0K1.4Kbuy file →
2026-11-04 — 10 contracts, 29,679 trades, $1.7M turnover

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-11-04 — 9 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 29,679 trades, $1.7M USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P9 with $437.5K turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P9 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P9 P90.1600.9990.1200.9970.770Yes3,231$437.5K52 %0.99 ¢$8.6K199.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P12 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P12 P120.8200.9880.0300.9650.580open12,488$234.5K51 %8.06 ¢$110.942.1Mbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P8 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P8 P80.8200.9990.8200.9980.998Yes30$157.2K72 %2.55 ¢$105.9K8.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.4700.9990.3100.9990.860Yes1,306$147.7K67 %0.62 ¢$46.1K73.9Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.6600.9990.5000.9980.939Yes1,402$142.6K43 %0.61 ¢$53.2K60.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P11 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P11 P110.7800.9990.1300.9900.764Yes4,112$136.4K50 %5.48 ¢$1.3K529.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.5000.9970.2500.9900.743Yes3,557$134.7K58 %3.18 ¢$7.0K324.0Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.6800.9990.5900.9980.906Yes1,567$118.8K41 %1.35 ¢$76.7K186.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P8 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P8 P80.2300.9990.1400.9980.716Yes1,568$113.8K45 %1.03 ¢$38.7K99.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXGOVD-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.2200.9990.2100.9980.964Yes418$112.1K92 %4.22 ¢$45.5K44.1Kbuy file →
2026-11-03 — 10 contracts, 7,925 trades, $476.9K turnover

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-11-03 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 7,925 trades, $476.9K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P5 with $82.5K turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.3200.4800.2600.4700.381open908$82.5K38 %1.56 ¢$953.3818.9Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.5800.7500.5400.7400.579open842$63.2K65 %1.83 ¢$540.9923.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P40.4300.5800.3700.5400.429open1,128$60.6K23 %1.60 ¢$622.3229.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.4800.6700.4400.6600.499open1,394$51.0K47 %1.35 ¢$791.9746.9Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P0.5 MIDTERMMOV · P0.50.6600.7600.6200.6600.700open272$46.0K28 %2.79 ¢$719.4411.9Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.6800.7100.5000.6800.609open856$44.5K44 %1.50 ¢$407.1831.8Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.7600.7700.3600.7300.682open515$33.6K44 %2.10 ¢$232.9618.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P10.6100.7300.5500.5600.661open177$32.9K84 %2.42 ¢$1.0K8.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P40.5700.9490.3700.7000.531open920$32.1K59 %2.27 ¢$244.1252.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.4700.6000.3100.5000.462open913$30.5K42 %2.08 ¢$568.4126.3Kbuy file →
2026-11-02 — 10 contracts, 3,483 trades, $264.2K turnover

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-11-02 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 3,483 trades, $264.2K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 with $38.3K turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.4600.7000.4400.6800.594open581$38.3K76 %1.08 ¢$922.7215.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.4700.5900.4600.4800.525open553$37.8K48 %1.11 ¢$772.6518.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P40.3800.5000.3800.4300.444open533$36.5K39 %1.13 ¢$533.0813.8Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.5500.7600.5200.7600.612open241$32.9K89 %1.44 ¢$1.4K9.0Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-OHSEND-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P10.7200.7200.6400.6400.651open64$26.7K91 %1.62 ¢$9.2K1.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.3000.4100.3000.3200.376open316$25.5K41 %1.09 ¢$911.27.5Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P40.3600.5800.3500.5700.531open243$17.8K34 %1.30 ¢$753.869.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.5900.6600.5700.5800.608open329$17.3K31 %1.09 ¢$343.2822.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.3200.5000.3200.4700.439open351$15.7K66 %1.11 ¢$1.3K8.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P6 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P6 P60.2200.3400.2200.2700.304open272$15.7K25 %1.04 ¢$391.8812.5Kbuy file →
2026-11-01 — 10 contracts, 1,827 trades, $121.4K turnover

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-11-01 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 1,827 trades, $121.4K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 with $23.1K turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P3—0.4600.4800.4000.4700.453open284$23.1K49 %1.00 ¢$1.6K11.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P2—0.6500.6600.5200.5500.591open154$19.6K57 %1.31 ¢$5.4K6.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P3—0.4800.5200.4000.4600.466open548$16.4K42 %1.03 ¢$199.2856.7Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P4—0.3900.4100.3700.3800.386open111$12.0K39 %1.00 ¢$1.6K3.2Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXGOVR-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P12026-11-04 06:560.6600.6800.6500.6600.664open26$9.1K70 %2.28 ¢$1.3K1.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXGOVR-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P22026-11-04 06:560.6000.6400.5600.5800.622open51$9.0K79 %1.57 ¢$1.4K9.5Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P2—0.5700.5900.5400.5900.571open193$8.7K68 %1.04 ¢$392.619.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P2.5 MIDTERMMOV · P2.5—0.5200.5800.2500.5000.451open230$8.4K51 %2.10 ¢$265.614.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENR-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P12026-11-04 06:560.2900.3200.2600.2800.294open125$8.0K86 %1.05 ¢$335.513.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P5—0.3200.3300.3000.3000.321open105$7.0K12 %1.00 ¢$2.5K2.1Kbuy file →
2026-10-31 — 10 contracts, 1,911 trades, $104.9K turnover

The 10 most traded Midterm margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-31 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 1,911 trades, $104.9K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P3 with $17.6K turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.4900.5100.4500.4800.505open233$17.6K96 %1.74 ¢$1.4K8.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P5 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P5 P50.2800.3600.2800.3200.321open220$12.3K21 %1.05 ¢$546.595.5Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.5100.5200.4600.4600.499open263$12.0K40 %1.01 ¢$1.8K11.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P10.6400.6600.5400.6400.611open229$11.1K32 %1.24 ¢$280.196.4Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.6000.6200.5400.5700.580open228$11.0K52 %1.36 ¢$235.5710.0Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P1 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P10.9800.9800.9660.9670.979open13$9.5K51 %0.58 ¢$2.0K11.1Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P4 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P4 P40.3800.4400.3700.3900.407open189$8.5K19 %1.01 ¢$764.088.3Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P2 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P2 P20.9350.9570.9330.9400.949open32$8.3K0 %0.63 ¢$295.7810.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P3 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P3 P30.5100.5300.4100.4800.483open409$7.4K27 %1.03 ¢$214.7321.6Kbuy file →
KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSEND-P13 MIDTERMMOV · strike · P13 P130.6000.6900.4500.4500.548open95$7.0K10 %2.43 ¢$739.8823.1Kbuy file →
Contract anatomy

How a Midterm margin of victory contract trades

Listed ahead
7 min
Tick size
0.001
Contracts measured
10
Quoted in
USD

On Kalshi, a Midterm margin of victory contract trades until its event settles, is listed roughly 7 min before it opens, and quotes in 0.1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 10 contracts captured on 2026-11-06.

Free sample

Try a Midterm margin of victory contract file for free

The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.

KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P32026-10-30 (UTC) · 489 KB · 529 trades · $25.0K turnover · 0.470 → 0.510Full tick file: every trade print and Level-2 order-book update of the contract on that day, zstd-compressed JSON lines — no account needed.
Replay
Intraday profile

KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 minute by minute — 2026-10-30

One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.

KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P3 traded in 158 of the day’s minutes (00:10–23:55 UTC): 529 trades, $25.0K turnover, opening at 0.470, ranging 0.430–0.700 and closing at 0.510.

0.00.51.000:10 UTC23:55 UTC
Minute (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseTradesTurnoverSpreadTop-1 bid / ask
00:100.4700.4800.4700.48011$276.891.69 ¢$85.98 / $230.42
00:120.4800.4700.4700.4701$239.71.14 ¢$67.08 / $160.55
00:150.4700.4600.4600.4602$0.461.11 ¢$90.05 / $59.82
00:230.4600.4700.4700.4702$1.931.00 ¢$81.82 / $470.25
00:480.4700.4600.4600.46012$48.591.00 ¢$17.45 / $537.28
01:110.4600.4700.4700.4701$19.291.00 ¢$22.58 / $573.28
01:210.4700.4600.4600.4601$0.461.00 ¢$22.57 / $573.29
01:340.4600.4700.4700.4701$9.41.00 ¢$22.12 / $573.29
01:450.4700.4700.4700.4701$4.821.00 ¢$22.12 / $573.29
01:540.4700.4600.4600.4602$8.261.00 ¢$24.76 / $573.29
01:570.4600.4700.4700.4701$0.971.00 ¢$42.97 / $573.29
02:040.4700.4600.4600.4601$3.41.00 ¢$91.45 / $570.13
02:050.4600.4600.4500.45010$181.911.12 ¢$82.48 / $570.13
02:350.4500.4600.4600.4601$1.651.00 ¢$36.66 / $633.55
02:390.4600.4700.4700.4701$9.41.00 ¢$57.29 / $633.55
02:420.4700.4700.4700.4701$24.111.00 ¢$35.62 / $633.24
02:550.4700.4600.4600.4601$16.511.00 ¢$25.34 / $1.1K
02:560.4600.4600.4500.4502$48.331.00 ¢$33.8 / $1.1K
03:180.4500.4700.4700.4701$20.251.00 ¢$51.58 / $1.1K
03:260.4700.4700.4700.4701$4.71.00 ¢$29.9 / $1.1K
03:370.4700.4700.4700.4708$479.41.00 ¢$67.33 / $849.54
03:440.4700.4700.4700.4701$2.91.00 ¢$94.34 / $554.06
03:460.4700.4700.4700.4701$4.511.00 ¢$94.34 / $551.23
03:490.4700.4600.4600.4601$8.261.00 ¢$113.37 / $548.34
03:540.4600.4700.4700.4703$95.881.00 ¢$86.08 / $487.58
03:570.4700.4600.4600.4601$0.461.00 ¢$122.12 / $466.05
03:580.4600.4700.4700.4701$47.941.00 ¢$123.67 / $461.93
04:020.4700.4700.4700.4701$1.191.00 ¢$110.76 / $418.14
04:030.4700.4600.4600.4601$9.281.00 ¢$106.31 / $417.66
04:090.4600.4700.4700.4701$335.581.00 ¢$114.47 / $364.16
04:110.4700.4800.4700.4809$150.621.00 ¢$1.9K / $151.52
04:140.4800.4900.4900.4902$7.771.00 ¢$4.8K / $254.16
04:210.4900.4900.4900.4901$9.311.00 ¢$4.8K / $142.22
04:300.4900.4800.4800.4801$57.071.00 ¢$4.8K / $142.02
04:370.4800.4800.4800.4806$4.8K1.48 ¢$74.71 / $103.72
04:590.4800.4700.4600.4607$42.621.00 ¢$26.81 / $123.26
05:450.4600.4700.4700.4702$23.971.00 ¢$2.4K / $25.17
06:090.4700.4800.4800.4801$4.81.00 ¢$45.57 / $87.02
06:200.4800.4800.4800.4807$481.00 ¢$71.85 / $139.18
06:220.4800.4900.4800.4908$289.541.00 ¢$117.84 / $47.12
06:230.4900.4800.4600.48012$292.71.22 ¢$89.94 / $48.19
06:240.4800.4900.4900.4901$2.452.00 ¢$66.53 / $200.45
06:540.4900.4700.4600.4607$461.261.01 ¢$65.09 / $54.79
07:020.4600.4800.4800.4803$9.61.00 ¢$49.99 / $88.22
08:110.4800.4700.4700.4702$3.41.00 ¢$32.6 / $46.26
08:300.4700.4800.4800.4801$0.481.00 ¢$33.98 / $46.17
09:470.4800.4700.4700.4705$85.861.00 ¢$1.4K / $31.87
10:280.4700.4900.4800.4907$66.691.04 ¢$556.63 / $198.94
11:150.4900.4800.4800.4802$0.481.00 ¢$61.15 / $211.09
12:000.4800.4800.4800.4801$8.931.00 ¢$126.87 / $139.85
12:080.4800.4900.4900.4903$28.621.00 ¢$128.19 / $115.02
12:420.4900.4800.4800.4801$0.481.00 ¢$137.22 / $135.24
13:150.4800.4800.4800.4808$120.251.00 ¢$1.4K / $537.54
13:200.4800.4700.4700.4701$9.41.00 ¢$1.5K / $597.63
13:380.4700.4800.4800.4801$0.971.00 ¢$1.5K / $78.1
13:450.4800.4700.4700.4701$0.471.00 ¢$1.5K / $78.14
13:460.4700.4700.4700.4701$11.751.00 ¢$1.5K / $78.14
13:480.4700.4700.4700.4708$1.5K1.00 ¢$1.6K / $624.73
13:550.4700.4700.4700.4701$1.881.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.8K
14:150.4700.4700.4700.4701$0.471.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.9K
14:270.4700.4700.4700.4701$70.51.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.8K
15:250.4700.4600.4600.4601$16.511.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.4K
15:280.4600.4700.4700.4701$9.641.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.4K
15:310.4700.4700.4600.4702$20.931.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.4K
15:350.4700.4700.4700.4701$9.41.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.4K
15:470.4700.4700.4700.4701$95.881.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.4K
15:500.4700.4700.4700.4701$9.41.00 ¢$1.9K / $2.3K
15:510.4700.4600.4600.4601$412.641.00 ¢$1.6K / $2.3K
16:050.4600.4700.4700.4701$47.941.00 ¢$1.5K / $2.2K
16:070.4700.4700.4700.4701$95.881.00 ¢$1.5K / $2.2K
16:110.4700.4600.4300.43052$2.0K1.01 ¢$329.55 / $347.5
16:160.4300.4600.4600.4601$11.51.00 ¢$22.34 / $355.77
16:310.4600.4600.4600.4604$143.521.00 ¢$110.71 / $244.44
16:360.4600.4600.4600.4601$47.841.00 ¢$162.36 / $133.25
16:540.4600.4500.4500.4503$7.651.00 ¢$196.03 / $169.57
16:590.4500.4600.4600.4602$1.381.00 ¢$107.15 / $131.78
17:010.4600.4600.4600.4601$3.061.00 ¢$109.78 / $138.11
17:150.4600.4700.4600.47017$2.4K1.01 ¢$309.56 / $40.61
17:180.4700.4600.4600.4602$33.011.00 ¢$413.98 / $15.95
17:210.4600.4600.4600.4604$3451.00 ¢$410.75 / $15.58
17:260.4600.4700.4700.4701$0.011.00 ¢$257.83 / $60.32
17:340.4700.4600.4600.4607$206.321.00 ¢$156.98 / $123.51
17:460.4600.4700.4700.4705$9.41.00 ¢$17.53 / $196.05
18:140.4700.4700.4700.4701$9.41.00 ¢$21.07 / $102.71
18:270.4700.4700.4700.4702$14.11.00 ¢$460.63 / $16.2
18:370.4700.4700.4700.4705$14.041.01 ¢$130.01 / $302.34
18:430.4700.4800.4800.4803$19.31.00 ¢$42.87 / $187.26
18:530.4800.4800.4800.4802$961.00 ¢$77.72 / $90.73
18:550.4800.4700.4700.4701$1.61.00 ¢$53.25 / $81.59
18:560.4700.4800.4800.4809$81.661.00 ¢$59.6 / $18.19
19:060.4800.5000.4700.50027$1.1K1.00 ¢$166.82 / $15.1
19:080.5000.4800.4800.4801$0.131.00 ¢$127.81 / $21.51
19:190.4800.4800.4800.4804$133.961.09 ¢$200.09 / $182.38
19:250.4800.4900.4900.4903$9.81.00 ¢$18.24 / $359
19:410.4900.4800.4800.4801$4.81.00 ¢$15.57 / $242.63
19:420.4800.4800.4800.4803$11.281.00 ¢$64.73 / $242.1
19:440.4800.4700.4700.4701$1.721.00 ¢$159.6 / $98.5
19:450.4700.4800.4800.4801$4.831.00 ¢$148.72 / $93.77
19:550.4800.4700.4700.4702$65.331.00 ¢$32.93 / $662.1
20:180.4700.4700.4700.4702$1.071.00 ¢$19.23 / $176.52
20:190.4700.4700.4600.4605$23.41.03 ¢$30.39 / $179.62
20:200.4600.4800.4800.4802$48.241.00 ¢$16.89 / $174.08
20:210.4800.4800.4800.4801$29.281.00 ¢$16.45 / $154.91
20:230.4800.4800.4800.4801$9.61.00 ¢$16.92 / $110
20:280.4800.4800.4800.4803$481.00 ¢$164.59 / $90.73
20:310.4800.4800.4800.4801$0.241.00 ¢$13.28 / $569.88
20:360.4800.4800.4800.4801$0.481.00 ¢$159.05 / $525.77
20:370.4800.7000.4800.70053$4.9K1.79 ¢$95.78 / $353.18
20:400.7000.5200.5200.5203$5.231.00 ¢$77.6 / $36.74
20:420.5200.5200.5200.5201$5.21.00 ¢$86.17 / $33.92
20:470.5200.5200.5200.5201$2.771.00 ¢$82.67 / $30.39
20:510.5200.5200.5200.5203$1951.00 ¢$248.04 / $379.84
20:520.5200.5200.5200.5201$48.361.32 ¢$79.58 / $601.39
21:010.5200.5200.5200.5201$48.381.00 ¢$104.73 / $126.14
21:150.5200.5200.5200.5203$9.671.00 ¢$407.6 / $70.6
21:160.5200.5200.5200.5201$32.761.01 ¢$208.66 / $448.15
21:180.5200.5200.5200.5201$5.721.00 ¢$37.97 / $777.13
21:200.5200.5200.5200.5201$4.161.00 ¢$33.07 / $782.01
21:210.5200.5200.5200.5201$3.121.00 ¢$26.4 / $804.59
21:230.5200.5200.5200.5201$2.081.00 ¢$20.22 / $819.9

First 120 of 158 active minutes. 1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.

Build a bot

Build a Midterm margin of victory model on this data

Every resolved Midterm margin of victory contract is a labelled example that trades for weeks or months, not minutes: the label is the race outcome, the margin bucket or the nominee, and the signal in between is mostly the order book — quotes move on news while trades stay sparse. The day bundle holds each contract's full Level-2 book path and every trade of that UTC day, nanosecond-stamped; the statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.

Turnover on settlement day, 23 contracts to 2026-11-06
37 %
Median days traded per contract
2
L2 updates per trade, 30 days
401.5

Split by election cycle and by race, never at random — months of quotes on one contract are one regime, and a random split leaks the result backwards; validate across races and cycles, not within one. The election-markets guide works thin books, book updates as the main signal and calibration over months through.

Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy Kalshi Midterm margin of victory data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and free full-day samples from the major venues let you test first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

Kalshi Midterm margin of victory data — FAQ

What Kalshi Midterm margin of victory data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Midterm margin of victory series on Kalshi (5,313 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

What is the Kalshi series ticker for Midterm margin of victory?

KXMIDTERMMOV — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXMIDTERMMOV-* contract listed that UTC day.

How far back does the Midterm margin of victory data go?

Coverage runs April 2026 – present — 193 trading days in total.

What format are the Kalshi files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get Kalshi Midterm margin of victory data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does Kalshi Midterm margin of victory historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the Midterm margin of victory series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the Kalshi Midterm margin of victory data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

How many Midterm margin of victory contracts trade per day on Kalshi?

On average 643 Midterm margin of victory contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 30 captured days on Kalshi, with about 4.7M order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.

How liquid are Kalshi Midterm margin of victory contracts?

Over the last 30 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 5.08 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $25.1K per side, 63 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.

What was the most traded Midterm margin of victory contract on 2026-11-06?

KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P1 (MIDTERMMOV · strike · P1 P1) — $64.4K USD turnover over 16 trades on Kalshi. The 10 most traded contracts of the series did 243 trades and $210.4K that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

What was the busiest Midterm margin of victory trading day on Kalshi?

2026-11-04, with $6.8M of USD turnover over 142,579 trades across every Midterm margin of victory contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $3.1M. Since our statistics began on 2026-07-08 the series has recorded 387,587 trades and $17.1M over 122 captured days; the single biggest contract was KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P9 (MIDTERMMOV · strike · P9 P9) on 2026-11-04 with $437.5K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

Which weekday does Kalshi Midterm margin of victory trade most?

Wednesdays — about $1.8M of USD turnover per Wednesday and 45 % of the series' turnover over the 30 captured days to 2026-11-06 on Kalshi, summed from every trade print of the series' contracts. The weekday profile on this page shows all seven days; the day bundles carry the full tape behind them.

How much of Midterm margin of victory turnover trades on event day?

37 % — across 23 settled Midterm margin of victory contracts between 2026-08-09 and 2026-11-06 on Kalshi, 37 % of their USD turnover printed on the UTC day the contract settled and 63 % on the days before, summed from every trade of the most traded contracts per day. The pre-event share is where line-movement features live; the day bundles hold both.

How long do Midterm margin of victory contracts trade?

A median of 2 captured trading days per contract (a quarter traded 9 days or more) — across 23 settled Midterm margin of victory contracts to 2026-11-06 on Kalshi, counting the UTC days a contract ranked among the series' most traded. Buy those days as a range (/shop/bundles?bundle=kalshi-kxmidtermmov&d=<from>..<to>) to get the whole pre-event path of each contract.

Topics

Topic hubs featuring this series