Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate
Every Kalshi “What will the US effective tariff rate be?” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 237 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
What will the US effective tariff rate be? on Kalshi — activity
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 17 captured days to 2026-10-29, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.
One purchase, the whole series for a day
A series-day bundle contains every What will the US effective tariff rate be? contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 11 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.
Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 237 trading days, 31.3 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 7 contract files (up to 16 on the busiest day, 5.16 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.
What will the US effective tariff rate be? — development since capture
225 trades and $5.7K of USD turnover over 38 captured days since 2026-09-22 — record day 2026-10-25 with $2.0K, biggest single contract KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 (EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8) (2026-09-23, $844.31).
| Month | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | 29 | 195 | $3.3K | $114.84 | 37 | 612.3K | +42.7 % |
| Sep 2026 | 9 | 30 | $2.3K | $259.33 | 10 | 39.7K | — |
Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
What will the US effective tariff rate be? — activity by weekday
Sundays carry the most turnover, about $1.0K per day.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $147.56 | 23 | 2 | |
| Tuesday | $241.08 | 9.67 | 3 | |
| Wednesday | $71.42 | 19 | 3 | |
| Thursday | $18.98 | 4 | 3 | |
| Friday | $0.48 | 1.5 | 2 | |
| Saturday | $0.1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Sunday | $1.0K | 17 | 2 |
Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
What will the US effective tariff rate be? — last 30 days in the archive
Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.
| UTC day | Files | Size | Traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Avg spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 11 | 222 KB | 3 | 11 | $45.17 | 98 % | 25.3 ¢ | $28 | 6.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-28 | 11 | 1.90 MB | 6 | 53 | $174.96 | 88 % | 21.3 ¢ | $43.8 | 73.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-27 | 11 | 3.03 MB | 2 | 8 | $46.16 | 0 % | 34.1 ¢ | $3.95 | 122.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-26 | 11 | 5.16 MB | 3 | 46 | $295.11 | 77 % | 24.0 ¢ | $5.22 | 212.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-25 | 11 | 912 KB | 6 | 34 | $2.0K | 94 % | 13.5 ¢ | $77.46 | 35.3K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-24 | 11 | 32.0 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 478 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-23 | 11 | 51.9 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 848 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-22 | 11 | 55.3 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 950 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-21 | 11 | 60.9 KB | 1 | 1 | $0.09 | 100 % | 16.0 ¢ | $2.57 | 1.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-20 | 11 | 50.9 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 904 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-19 | 11 | 55.9 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-18 | 11 | 40.1 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 629 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-17 | 11 | 66.7 KB | 1 | 2 | $0.19 | 0 % | 14.0 ¢ | $0.73 | 1.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-16 | 11 | 1.21 MB | 1 | 3 | $0.95 | 100 % | 13.9 ¢ | $0.59 | 51.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-15 | 11 | 436 KB | 1 | 1 | $11.76 | 100 % | 19.3 ¢ | $75.64 | 17.5K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-14 | 11 | 86.8 KB | 2 | 3 | $39.2 | 19 % | 7.04 ¢ | $3.78 | 1.9K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-13 | 11 | 622 KB | 6 | 21 | $677.09 | 74 % | 9.97 ¢ | $38.22 | 21.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-12 | 11 | 122 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 2.5K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-11 | 11 | 62.3 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-10 | 11 | 73.3 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.4K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-09 | 11 | 138 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 2.9K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-08 | 11 | 93.6 KB | 3 | 9 | $14.4 | 54 % | 9.54 ¢ | $8.66 | 2.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-07 | 11 | 597 KB | 1 | 1 | $9.8 | 100 % | 85.2 ¢ | $61.14 | 22.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-06 | 11 | 414 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 15.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-05 | 11 | 71.1 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.3K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-04 | 11 | 59.6 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-03 | 11 | 104 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 1.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-02 | 11 | 115 KB | 0 | 0 | $0 | — | — | — | 2.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-01 | 11 | 274 KB | 1 | 2 | $2.48 | 100 % | 46.3 ¢ | $3.69 | 8.1K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-09-30 | 11 | 520 KB | 2 | 10 | $69.45 | 7 % | 27.8 ¢ | $43.07 | 17.7K | Buy day → |
Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.
Most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts by day
The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.
The 3 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-29 — 2 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 11 trades, $45.17 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T7 with $40.4 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T7 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 7 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 2 | $40.4 | 100 % | 24.0 ¢ | $25.39 | 91 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.250 | 0.290 | 0.010 | 0.290 | 0.031 | open | 8 | $3.78 | 75 % | 39.1 ¢ | $56.98 | 2.4K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T6 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 6 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.970 | 0.990 | 0.970 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $0.99 | 100 % | 25.0 ¢ | $23.75 | 133 | buy file → |
Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).
2026-10-28 — 6 contracts, 53 trades, $174.96 turnover
The 6 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-28 — 4 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 53 trades, $174.96 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T5 with $39.6 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T5 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 5 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $39.6 | 100 % | 23.1 ¢ | $23.57 | 451 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T4 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 4 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $39.6 | 100 % | 19.5 ¢ | $26.58 | 896 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T3 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 3 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $39.6 | 100 % | 20.3 ¢ | $24.84 | 25.3K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T7 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 7 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.760 | 0.990 | 0.760 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 3 | $30.18 | 100 % | 23.7 ¢ | $148.75 | 163 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.260 | 0.490 | 0.040 | 0.250 | 0.062 | open | 23 | $25.67 | 19 % | 19.9 ¢ | $7.9 | 10.7K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 9 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.020 | 0.400 | 0.010 | 0.310 | 0.241 | open | 24 | $0.31 | 77 % | 36.8 ¢ | $6.13 | 15.3K | buy file → |
2026-10-27 — 2 contracts, 8 trades, $46.16 turnover
The 2 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-27 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 8 trades, $46.16 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 with $43.93 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.350 | 0.480 | 0.260 | 0.260 | 0.291 | open | 6 | $43.93 | 0 % | 34.2 ¢ | $4.07 | 10.5K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 9 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.020 | 0.030 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 | No | 2 | $2.23 | 0 % | 31.4 ¢ | $1.61 | 13.0K | buy file → |
2026-10-26 — 3 contracts, 46 trades, $295.11 turnover
The 3 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-26 — 1 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 46 trades, $295.11 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 with $290.04 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.850 | 0.940 | 0.150 | 0.350 | 0.647 | open | 41 | $290.04 | 77 % | 23.7 ¢ | $5.28 | 22.2K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 9 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.160 | 0.220 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.094 | No | 4 | $3.09 | 83 % | 56.9 ¢ | $1.82 | 20.5K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T3 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 3 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.980 | 0.990 | 0.990 | Yes | 1 | $1.98 | 100 % | 11.0 ¢ | $1.87 | 135.8K | buy file → |
2026-10-25 — 6 contracts, 34 trades, $2.0K turnover
The 6 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-25 — 4 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 34 trades, $2.0K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T3 with $678.79 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T3 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 3 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.980 | 0.980 | 0.860 | 0.980 | 0.926 | Yes | 5 | $678.79 | 100 % | 10.5 ¢ | $56.4 | 24.9K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T4 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 4 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.870 | 0.990 | 0.870 | 0.990 | 0.943 | Yes | 8 | $623.03 | 100 % | 8.54 ¢ | $92.57 | 248 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T5 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 5 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.960 | 0.980 | 0.960 | 0.980 | 0.970 | Yes | 4 | $485.01 | 100 % | 16.1 ¢ | $89.82 | 142 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T6 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 6 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.790 | 0.970 | 0.790 | 0.970 | 0.970 | Yes | 1 | $97 | 100 % | 38.5 ¢ | $135.12 | 456 | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.690 | 0.850 | 0.520 | 0.850 | 0.658 | open | 5 | $69.93 | 7 % | 35.9 ¢ | $42.15 | 2.8K | buy file → |
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 9 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.180 | 0.180 | 0.030 | 0.160 | 0.082 | open | 11 | $59.34 | 1 % | 10.4 ¢ | $6.08 | 1.6K | buy file → |
2026-10-21 — 1 contract, 1 trades, $0.09 turnover
The 1 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-21 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 1 trades, $0.09 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 with $0.09 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 9 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.030 | 0.180 | 0.030 | 0.180 | 0.180 | open | 1 | $0.09 | 100 % | 16.0 ¢ | $2.57 | 157 | buy file → |
2026-10-17 — 1 contract, 2 trades, $0.19 turnover
The 1 most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts on 2026-10-17 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03): 2 trades, $0.19 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 with $0.19 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T9 EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 9 | 2026-10-29 12:32 | 0.190 | 0.190 | 0.030 | 0.030 | 0.034 | No | 2 | $0.19 | 0 % | 14.0 ¢ | $0.73 | 701 | buy file → |
How a What will the US effective tariff rate be? contract trades
On Kalshi, a What will the US effective tariff rate be? contract trades for about 93 days from open to close, is listed roughly 72 min before it opens, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 3 contracts captured on 2026-10-29.
Build a What will the US effective tariff rate be? model on this data
Every resolved What will the US effective tariff rate be? contract is a labelled example that trades for weeks or months, not minutes: the label is the race outcome, the margin bucket or the nominee, and the signal in between is mostly the order book — quotes move on news while trades stay sparse. The day bundle holds each contract's full Level-2 book path and every trade of that UTC day, nanosecond-stamped; the statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.
Split by election cycle and by race, never at random — months of quotes on one contract are one regime, and a random split leaks the result backwards; validate across races and cycles, not within one. The election-markets guide works thin books, book updates as the main signal and calibration over months through.
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Why buy Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
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Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and free full-day samples from the major venues let you test first.
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Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? data — FAQ
What Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? data can I download?
Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the What will the US effective tariff rate be? series on Kalshi (11 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.
What is the Kalshi series ticker for What will the US effective tariff rate be??
KXEFFTARIFF — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXEFFTARIFF-* contract listed that UTC day.
How far back does the What will the US effective tariff rate be? data go?
Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 237 trading days in total.
What format are the Kalshi files in?
One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.
Can I get Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? historical data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the What will the US effective tariff rate be? series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
How many What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts trade per day on Kalshi?
On average 2 What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 17 captured days on Kalshi, with about 32.3K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.
How liquid are Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? contracts?
Over the last 17 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 14.5 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $58.57 per side, 86 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.
What was the most traded What will the US effective tariff rate be? contract on 2026-10-29?
KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T7 (EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 7) — $40.4 USD turnover over 2 trades on Kalshi. The 3 most traded contracts of the series did 11 trades and $45.17 that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.
What was the busiest What will the US effective tariff rate be? trading day on Kalshi?
2026-10-25, with $2.0K of USD turnover over 34 trades across every What will the US effective tariff rate be? contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $3.3K. Since our statistics began on 2026-09-22 the series has recorded 225 trades and $5.7K over 38 captured days; the single biggest contract was KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T8 (EFFTARIFF · 2026-10-29 · strike · ABOVE 8) on 2026-09-23 with $844.31. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.
Which weekday does Kalshi What will the US effective tariff rate be? trade most?
Sundays — about $1.0K of USD turnover per Sunday and 61 % of the series' turnover over the 17 captured days to 2026-10-29 on Kalshi, summed from every trade print of the series' contracts. The weekday profile on this page shows all seven days; the day bundles carry the full tape behind them.