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Kalshi · Politics · event · KXCALIFORNIALEAVE

Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027?

Every Kalshi “Who will leave California before 2027?” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 253 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
253
Coverage
March 2026 – present
Archive size
35.5 MB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

Who will leave California before 2027? on Kalshi — activity

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 30 captured days to 2026-11-11, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.

Series ticker
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE
Avg trades / day
8
Avg turnover / day
$90.76
Captured days
30
Trades (30d)
225
Turnover (30d)
$2.7K
Contracts traded / day
1
Buy share
46 %
Avg spread
9.69 ¢
Top-1 depth
$9.65
L2 updates / day
16.1K
L2 updates / trade
2153.3
30d vs prior 30d
+350.4 %
Since 2026-09-22
255 trades · $3.1K
Record day
$1.2K · 2026-10-22
Files on latest day
7
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every Who will leave California before 2027? contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 7 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 253 trading days, 35.5 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 7 contract files (up to 7 on the busiest day, 2.39 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

Who will leave California before 2027? — development since capture

255 trades and $3.1K of USD turnover over 51 captured days since 2026-09-22 — record day 2026-10-22 with $1.2K, biggest single contract KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-MZUC (CALIFORNIALEAVE · MZUC) (2026-10-22, $1.1K).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Nov 2026 (month to date)11113$950.15$86.3818195.4K—
Oct 202631123$1.9K$60.3227313.2K+474.0 %
Sep 2026919$325.78$36.2819.3K—

Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

When it trades

Who will leave California before 2027? — activity by weekday

Thursdays carry the most turnover, about $479.74 per day.

Weekday (UTC)Avg turnover / dayUSDAvg tradesDays
Monday$20.835.54
Tuesday$6.4525
Wednesday$81.926.85
Thursday$479.7427.54
Friday$295.254
Saturday$22.3634
Sunday$18.344

Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.

Daily statistics

Who will leave California before 2027? — last 30 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-11-117166 KB29$83.3883 %2.97 ¢$2.455.0KBuy day →
2026-11-107861 KB26$9.38100 %2.87 ¢$1.1331.1KBuy day →
2026-11-0972.39 MB221$82.2841 %5.15 ¢$3.5199.1KBuy day →
2026-11-087265 KB210$37.82 %4.61 ¢$20.558.8KBuy day →
2026-11-077321 KB23$31.03100 %5.18 ¢$5.1510.9KBuy day →
2026-11-067314 KB312$79.0526 %6.16 ¢$3.1310.3KBuy day →
2026-11-057223 KB242$618.850 %6.87 ¢$6.46.8KBuy day →
2026-11-047121 KB310$8.3811 %4.30 ¢$34.623.1KBuy day →
2026-11-037160 KB00$0———4.6KBuy day →
2026-11-027348 KB00$0———12.6KBuy day →
2026-11-017118 KB00$0———3.2KBuy day →
2026-10-317185 KB24$24.9597 %3.12 ¢$235.8KBuy day →
2026-10-307283 KB11$0.510 %4.71 ¢$0.479.2KBuy day →
2026-10-297309 KB14$103.620 %4.92 ¢$20.510.0KBuy day →
2026-10-2872.19 MB11$0.30 %5.10 ¢$1.6289.2KBuy day →
2026-10-277669 KB14$22.890 %4.85 ¢$9.3424.9KBuy day →
2026-10-267346 KB00$0———12.3KBuy day →
2026-10-257203 KB12$32.5100 %4.57 ¢$18.296.6KBuy day →
2026-10-247481 KB00$0———17.3KBuy day →
2026-10-237888 KB17$36.278 %3.95 ¢$1.5232.0KBuy day →
2026-10-2271.29 MB264$1.2K55 %12.7 ¢$8.250.4KBuy day →
2026-10-217186 KB214$317.55100 %13.0 ¢$15.395.5KBuy day →
2026-10-207110 KB00$0———2.8KBuy day →
2026-10-197143 KB11$1.04100 %5.91 ¢$60.594.1KBuy day →
2026-10-187117 KB34$2.9100 %4.51 ¢$46.583.1KBuy day →
2026-10-177156 KB25$33.45100 %6.58 ¢$55.854.5KBuy day →
2026-10-167168 KB11$0.16100 %5.30 ¢$9.935.2KBuy day →
2026-10-15791.9 KB00$0———2.3KBuy day →
2026-10-14782.9 KB00$0———1.9KBuy day →
2026-10-13787.9 KB00$0———2.1KBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

Most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts by day

The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.

The 2 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-11 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 9 trades, $83.38 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-JHUA with $69.03 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-JHUA CALIFORNIALEAVE · JHUA—0.0500.0600.0500.0600.060open4$69.03100 %2.89 ¢$2.6225buy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.0730.0730.0360.0360.036open5$14.350 %3.38 ¢$1.72388buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).

2026-11-10 — 2 contracts, 6 trades, $9.38 turnover

The 2 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-10 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 6 trades, $9.38 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG with $4.69 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.0430.0730.0430.0730.072open4$4.69100 %2.97 ¢$0.5416.0Kbuy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-JHUA CALIFORNIALEAVE · JHUA—0.0490.0500.0490.0500.050open2$4.69100 %2.76 ¢$1.72161buy file →
2026-11-09 — 2 contracts, 21 trades, $82.28 turnover

The 2 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-09 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 21 trades, $82.28 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG with $77.58 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.1100.1100.0350.0430.056open18$77.5837 %5.20 ¢$3.4285.7Kbuy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI CALIFORNIALEAVE · PTHI—0.0890.0890.0590.0660.065open3$4.7100 %4.30 ¢$54.2Kbuy file →
2026-11-08 — 2 contracts, 10 trades, $37.8 turnover

The 2 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-08 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 10 trades, $37.8 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG with $36.86 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.1500.1700.1100.1100.118open7$36.860 %4.63 ¢$21.06405buy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-MZUC CALIFORNIALEAVE · MZUC—0.0310.0730.0310.0730.072open3$0.94100 %4.01 ¢$0.631.1Kbuy file →
2026-11-07 — 2 contracts, 3 trades, $31.03 turnover

The 2 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-07 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 3 trades, $31.03 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG with $30.7 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.0990.1500.0990.1500.150open2$30.7100 %5.15 ¢$5.2184buy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI CALIFORNIALEAVE · PTHI—0.0590.0890.0590.0890.089open1$0.33100 %7.81 ¢$0.439.6Kbuy file →
2026-11-06 — 3 contracts, 12 trades, $79.05 turnover

The 3 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-06 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 3 still open at the last print: 12 trades, $79.05 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI with $57.92 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI CALIFORNIALEAVE · PTHI—0.1600.1600.0590.0590.074open9$57.920 %4.55 ¢$3.13.6Kbuy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.0900.0990.0900.0990.099open2$20.78100 %10.7 ¢$3.275.3Kbuy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-MZUC CALIFORNIALEAVE · MZUC—0.0350.0350.0310.0310.031open1$0.350 %4.04 ¢$0.71300buy file →
2026-11-05 — 2 contracts, 42 trades, $618.85 turnover

The 2 most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contracts on 2026-11-05 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 42 trades, $618.85 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI with $491.35 turnover.

ContractSettles (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI CALIFORNIALEAVE · PTHI—0.3900.4200.0920.1600.164open34$491.350 %5.60 ¢$5.944.3Kbuy file →
KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-LPAG CALIFORNIALEAVE · LPAG2026-11-12 22:410.2100.2400.0900.0900.147open8$127.50 %11.7 ¢$8.16752buy file →
Contract anatomy

How a Who will leave California before 2027? contract trades

Trading window
277 days
Listed ahead
36 days
Tick size
0.001
Contracts measured
2
Quoted in
USD

On Kalshi, a Who will leave California before 2027? contract trades for about 277 days from open to close, is listed roughly 36 days before it opens, and quotes in 0.1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 2 contracts captured on 2026-11-11.

Free sample

Try a Who will leave California before 2027? contract file for free

The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.

KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI2026-11-05 (UTC) · 121 KB · 34 trades · $491.35 turnover · 0.390 → 0.160Full tick file: every trade print and Level-2 order-book update of the contract on that day, zstd-compressed JSON lines — no account needed.
Replay
Intraday profile

KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI minute by minute — 2026-11-05

One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.

KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-PTHI traded in 4 of the day’s minutes (02:18–18:55 UTC): 34 trades, $491.35 turnover, opening at 0.390, ranging 0.092–0.420 and closing at 0.160.

0.00.51.002:18 UTC18:55 UTC
Minute (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseTradesTurnoverSpreadTop-1 bid / ask
02:180.3900.4200.3700.3704$6.635.60 ¢$2.06 / $2.15
15:060.3700.3900.0920.09227$398.2213.1 ¢$21.81 / $48.93
15:070.0920.2300.2300.2301$4622.1 ¢$12.68 / $20.95
18:550.2300.1700.1600.1602$40.58.28 ¢$12.38 / $31.48

1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.

Build a bot

Build a Who will leave California before 2027? model on this data

Every resolved Who will leave California before 2027? contract is a labelled example that trades for weeks or months, not minutes: the label is the race outcome, the margin bucket or the nominee, and the signal in between is mostly the order book — quotes move on news while trades stay sparse. The day bundle holds each contract's full Level-2 book path and every trade of that UTC day, nanosecond-stamped; the statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.

Contract-days traded since 2026-09-22
53
L2 updates per trade, 30 days
2153.3

Split by election cycle and by race, never at random — months of quotes on one contract are one regime, and a random split leaks the result backwards; validate across races and cycles, not within one. The election-markets guide works thin books, book updates as the main signal and calibration over months through.

Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and free full-day samples from the major venues let you test first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? data — FAQ

What Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Who will leave California before 2027? series on Kalshi (7 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

What is the Kalshi series ticker for Who will leave California before 2027??

KXCALIFORNIALEAVE — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-* contract listed that UTC day.

How far back does the Who will leave California before 2027? data go?

Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 253 trading days in total.

What format are the Kalshi files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the Who will leave California before 2027? series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

How many Who will leave California before 2027? contracts trade per day on Kalshi?

On average 1 Who will leave California before 2027? contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 30 captured days on Kalshi, with about 16.1K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.

How liquid are Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? contracts?

Over the last 30 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 9.69 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $9.65 per side, 46 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.

What was the most traded Who will leave California before 2027? contract on 2026-11-11?

KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-JHUA (CALIFORNIALEAVE · JHUA) — $69.03 USD turnover over 4 trades on Kalshi. The 2 most traded contracts of the series did 9 trades and $83.38 that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

What was the busiest Who will leave California before 2027? trading day on Kalshi?

2026-10-22, with $1.2K of USD turnover over 64 trades across every Who will leave California before 2027? contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $1.9K. Since our statistics began on 2026-09-22 the series has recorded 255 trades and $3.1K over 51 captured days; the single biggest contract was KXCALIFORNIALEAVE-27-MZUC (CALIFORNIALEAVE · MZUC) on 2026-10-22 with $1.1K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

Which weekday does Kalshi Who will leave California before 2027? trade most?

Thursdays — about $479.74 of USD turnover per Thursday and 70 % of the series' turnover over the 30 captured days to 2026-11-11 on Kalshi, summed from every trade print of the series' contracts. The weekday profile on this page shows all seven days; the day bundles carry the full tape behind them.