Kalshi KXBERNIEMENTION — Bernie says Data
Every Kalshi “Bernie says” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 88 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.
Bernie says on Kalshi — activity
Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 20 captured days to 2026-11-01, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.
One purchase, the whole series for a day
A series-day bundle contains every Bernie says contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 15 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.
Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 88 trading days, 1.84 GB compressed in total. A day typically holds 48 contract files (up to 184 on the busiest day, 265 MB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.
Bernie says — development since capture
76,251 trades and $655.3K of USD turnover over 29 captured days since 2026-08-27 — record day 2026-10-19 with $83.4K, biggest single contract KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT18B-ISRA (B · 2026-10-18 · ISRA) (2026-10-19, $16.8K).
| Month | Days | Trades | Turnover (USD) | Avg / day | Contracts traded | L2 updates | vs previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 (month to date) | 1 | 1,725 | $10.8K | $10.8K | 15 | 266.7K | — |
| Oct 2026 | 23 | 71,212 | $585.6K | $25.5K | 1,465 | 57.5M | +35283.6 % |
| Sep 2026 | 2 | 383 | $1.7K | $827.56 | 77 | 1.1M | −97.1 % |
| Aug 2026 | 3 | 2,931 | $57.2K | $19.1K | 52 | 278.0K | — |
Kalshi Bernie says — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.
Bernie says — did the favourite win?
The side the opening price favoured finished in the money 69 % of the time across 106 settled Bernie says contracts that opened away from 50 ¢ among the day's most traded contracts, 2026-08-27 – 2026-11-01. Contracts opening at 70–80 ¢ — 48 of them — closed Yes 84 % of the time.
| Opening price | Contracts | Closed Yes | Closed No | Yes share | Open at last print |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60–70 ¢ | 25 | 15 | 1 | 94 % | 9 |
| 70–80 ¢ | 48 | 26 | 5 | 84 % | 17 |
| 80–90 ¢ | 23 | 14 | 4 | 78 % | 5 |
| other opening prices | 78 | 32 | 9 | 78 % | 37 |
| Total | 174 | 87 | 19 | 82 % | 68 |
Opening price = the contract's first recorded print on the first day it ranked among the day's ten most traded contracts of the series (not its listing price), grouped in 10 ¢ steps (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢). Outcome implied by its last recorded print across the window (≥ 0.97 = Yes, ≤ 0.03 = No; the rest still open at the last print) — venues publish the official result, we record the market. The sample is the daily top-10 by turnover, so it leans towards the closest, most traded contests. Deciles with fewer than 20 contracts are folded into one row.
Bernie says — activity by weekday and hour
Mondays carry the most turnover, about $62.5K per day. Contracts listed to settle 02:00–02:59 UTC take 26 % of the turnover of the most traded contracts.
| Weekday (UTC) | Avg turnover / day | USD | Avg trades | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | $62.5K | 7.5K | 3 | |
| Tuesday | $23.3K | 2.6K | 4 | |
| Wednesday | $1.4K | 250 | 2 | |
| Thursday | $1.5K | 407 | 2 | |
| Friday | $2.4K | 590.67 | 3 | |
| Saturday | $24.0K | 2.9K | 3 | |
| Sunday | $52.4K | 5.6K | 3 |
Kalshi Bernie says — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.
| Settles (UTC) | Turnover | USD | Share | Trades | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00–01:59 | $4.6K | 1.5 % | 420 | 5 | |
| 02:00–02:59 | $79.1K | 26.4 % | 3,606 | 26 | |
| 04:00–04:59 | $33.6K | 11.2 % | 2,094 | 10 | |
| 11:00–11:59 | $24.1K | 8.0 % | 3,193 | 9 | |
| 13:00–13:59 | $10.0K | 3.3 % | 1,666 | 4 | |
| 14:00–14:59 | $2.4K | 0.8 % | 79 | 1 | |
| 15:00–15:59 | $31.5K | 10.5 % | 2,394 | 41 | |
| 17:00–17:59 | $28.5K | 9.5 % | 2,587 | 21 | |
| 18:00–18:59 | $47.7K | 15.9 % | 4,196 | 63 | |
| 20:00–20:59 | $979.3 | 0.3 % | 173 | 2 | |
| 21:00–21:59 | $19.1K | 6.4 % | 2,201 | 17 | |
| 22:00–22:59 | $2.8K | 0.9 % | 419 | 1 | |
| 23:00–23:59 | $15.8K | 5.3 % | 918 | 6 |
Kalshi Bernie says — USD turnover and trades of the most traded contracts per day, grouped by the UTC hour in which the contract is listed to settle (the venue's close time), over the newest 30 captured days; from our tick archive.
Bernie says — last 30 days in the archive
Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.
| UTC day | Files | Size | Traded | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Avg spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 15 | 6.64 MB | 15 | 1,725 | $10.8K | 78 % | 11.1 ¢ | $487.4 | 266.7K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-31 | 15 | 5.72 MB | 15 | 802 | $2.7K | 82 % | 10.1 ¢ | $6.18 | 222.9K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-30 | 15 | 166 KB | 3 | 10 | $22.37 | 89 % | 64.0 ¢ | $9.68 | 5.7K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-27 | 3 | 39.3 KB | 3 | 184 | $623.14 | 100 % | 13.5 ¢ | — | 698 | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-26 | 65 | 44.3 MB | 65 | 7,646 | $58.0K | 61 % | 11.3 ¢ | $662.63 | 1.8M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-25 | 107 | 27.2 MB | 93 | 8,287 | $83.2K | 65 % | 30.5 ¢ | $1.1K | 1.1M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-24 | 42 | 25.4 MB | 40 | 1,689 | $7.0K | 82 % | 6.87 ¢ | $15.07 | 1.0M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | 39.0 MB | 39 | 719 | $2.3K | 86 % | 9.05 ¢ | $9.52 | 1.6M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-22 | 42 | 35.5 MB | 33 | 224 | $681.46 | 91 % | 11.5 ¢ | $6.53 | 1.5M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-21 | 42 | 10.5 MB | 22 | 65 | $412.85 | 98 % | 34.0 ¢ | $10.83 | 449.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-20 | 77 | 72.0 MB | 77 | 7,027 | $55.1K | 66 % | 13.6 ¢ | $479.45 | 3.1M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-19 | 107 | 187 MB | 106 | 10,442 | $83.4K | 50 % | 9.66 ¢ | $1.4K | 7.9M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-18 | 184 | 99.5 MB | 172 | 6,666 | $63.3K | 60 % | 11.6 ¢ | $404.74 | 4.1M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-17 | 184 | 212 MB | 146 | 6,154 | $62.3K | 62 % | 10.2 ¢ | $512.55 | 8.8M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-16 | 184 | 265 MB | 123 | 1,043 | $4.8K | 82 % | 9.11 ¢ | $24.03 | 11.1M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-15 | 184 | 79.5 MB | 118 | 590 | $2.4K | 85 % | 10.6 ¢ | $12.75 | 3.3M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-14 | 184 | 74.9 MB | 71 | 435 | $2.4K | 81 % | 13.1 ¢ | $10.48 | 3.1M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-13 | 107 | 6.00 MB | 36 | 118 | $662.02 | 82 % | 30.2 ¢ | $34.96 | 239.7K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-06 | 22 | 11.2 MB | 22 | 3,230 | $36.9K | 52 % | 10.1 ¢ | $2.1K | 454.3K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-05 | 45 | 25.3 MB | 45 | 4,410 | $46.2K | 64 % | 11.7 ¢ | $2.3K | 1.0M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-04 | 69 | 67.2 MB | 69 | 8,243 | $56.4K | 73 % | 20.5 ¢ | $314.67 | 2.8M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-03 | 69 | 42.3 MB | 62 | 1,999 | $9.9K | 83 % | 6.23 ¢ | $30.15 | 1.7M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-02 | 69 | 38.2 MB | 63 | 1,006 | $5.8K | 76 % | 10.8 ¢ | $18.84 | 1.6M | Buy day → | |
| 2026-10-01 | 69 | 15.7 MB | 42 | 223 | $1.3K | 84 % | 12.0 ¢ | $15.55 | 611.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-09-30 | 69 | 23.9 MB | 52 | 316 | $1.4K | 83 % | 12.5 ¢ | $12.05 | 944.3K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-09-29 | 69 | 3.55 MB | 25 | 67 | $280.31 | 81 % | 32.2 ¢ | $10.39 | 133.0K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-08-29 | 20 | 3.06 MB | 20 | 1,897 | $36.5K | 79 % | 32.0 ¢ | $2.4K | 115.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-08-28 | 17 | 5.06 MB | 17 | 904 | $19.0K | 77 % | 9.73 ¢ | $1.1K | 153.8K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-08-27 | 17 | 546 KB | 15 | 130 | $1.7K | 74 % | 13.8 ¢ | $35.94 | 8.6K | Buy day → | |
| 2026-08-04 | 18 | 3.65 MB | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Buy day → |
Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.
Most traded Bernie says contracts by day
The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.
The 10 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-11-01 — 4 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 6 closed No (≤ 0.03): 1,428 trades, $10.4K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-SOCI with $2.2K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-SOCI BERNIEMENTION · SOCI | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.360 | 0.990 | 0.010 | 0.990 | 0.721 | Yes | 144 | $2.2K | 91 % | 18.4 ¢ | $360.65 | 9.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-ISRA BERNIEMENTION · ISRA | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.480 | 0.990 | 0.410 | 0.990 | 0.754 | Yes | 218 | $2.0K | 69 % | 19.2 ¢ | $1.3K | 100.2K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-ICE BERNIEMENTION · ICE | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.560 | 0.760 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.392 | No | 222 | $1.4K | 94 % | 7.58 ¢ | $32 | 40.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-BILL BERNIEMENTION · BILL | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.910 | 0.990 | 0.820 | 0.990 | 0.967 | Yes | 51 | $1.3K | 73 % | 4.76 ¢ | $951.56 | 1.6K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-HEAL BERNIEMENTION · HEAL | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.910 | 0.990 | 0.860 | 0.990 | 0.980 | Yes | 37 | $1.1K | 42 % | 4.61 ¢ | $555.83 | 868 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-TRUM BERNIEMENTION · TRUM | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.800 | 0.950 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.127 | No | 204 | $749.71 | 75 % | 6.29 ¢ | $18.76 | 40.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-DATA BERNIEMENTION · DATA | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.340 | 0.540 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.163 | No | 198 | $645.5 | 91 % | 6.98 ¢ | $21.85 | 16.8K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-AI BERNIEMENTION · AI | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.710 | 0.900 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.043 | No | 165 | $506.6 | 82 % | 11.1 ¢ | $29.21 | 26.6K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-AFFO BERNIEMENTION · AFFO | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.890 | 0.920 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.018 | No | 113 | $333.38 | 95 % | 6.52 ¢ | $20.38 | 5.8K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-CORR BERNIEMENTION · CORR | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.890 | 0.900 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.073 | No | 76 | $170.46 | 81 % | 3.02 ¢ | $28.12 | 3.2K | buy file → |
Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).
2026-10-31 — 10 contracts, 660 trades, $2.5K turnover
The 10 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-10-31 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 660 trades, $2.5K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-ICE with $544.74 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-ICE BERNIEMENTION · ICE | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.080 | 0.600 | 0.020 | 0.560 | 0.482 | open | 143 | $544.74 | 88 % | 9.92 ¢ | $4.92 | 26.8K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-BILL BERNIEMENTION · BILL | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.840 | 0.910 | 0.360 | 0.910 | 0.693 | open | 67 | $470.61 | 83 % | 5.09 ¢ | $8.62 | 13.1K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-AI BERNIEMENTION · AI | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.600 | 0.870 | 0.270 | 0.710 | 0.691 | open | 66 | $426.21 | 55 % | 11.0 ¢ | $6.03 | 11.9K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-TRUM BERNIEMENTION · TRUM | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.540 | 0.840 | 0.540 | 0.800 | 0.715 | open | 77 | $234.16 | 82 % | 14.2 ¢ | $10.45 | 23.9K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-ENDO BERNIEMENTION · ENDO | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.200 | 0.400 | 0.130 | 0.190 | 0.286 | open | 72 | $173.34 | 77 % | 7.62 ¢ | $3.48 | 18.2K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-SOCI BERNIEMENTION · SOCI | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.410 | 0.540 | 0.280 | 0.360 | 0.439 | open | 64 | $165.43 | 82 % | 14.8 ¢ | $4.81 | 31.1K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-DATA BERNIEMENTION · DATA | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.240 | 0.380 | 0.140 | 0.340 | 0.269 | open | 66 | $162.1 | 96 % | 11.2 ¢ | $3.93 | 20.3K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-ISRA BERNIEMENTION · ISRA | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.640 | 0.750 | 0.480 | 0.480 | 0.657 | open | 48 | $144.32 | 85 % | 14.3 ¢ | $5.26 | 23.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-HEAL BERNIEMENTION · HEAL | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.840 | 0.910 | 0.840 | 0.910 | 0.906 | open | 13 | $118.57 | 100 % | 8.39 ¢ | $9.42 | 846 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-CORR BERNIEMENTION · CORR | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.600 | 0.900 | 0.600 | 0.890 | 0.767 | open | 44 | $98.58 | 91 % | 11.6 ¢ | $5.26 | 16.5K | buy file → |
2026-10-30 — 3 contracts, 10 trades, $22.37 turnover
The 3 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-10-30 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 3 still open at the last print: 10 trades, $22.37 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-HEAL with $10.85 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-HEAL BERNIEMENTION · HEAL | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 0.800 | 0.840 | 0.820 | open | 5 | $10.85 | 100 % | 60.8 ¢ | $9.14 | 396 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-CORR BERNIEMENTION · CORR | 2026-11-01 21:47 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 0.600 | 0.600 | 0.706 | open | 4 | $7.32 | 67 % | 66.9 ¢ | $7.83 | 1.2K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-BILL BERNIEMENTION · BILL | 2026-11-01 18:16 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 0.840 | 0.840 | open | 1 | $4.2 | 100 % | 67.3 ¢ | $14.33 | 270 | buy file → |
2026-10-27 — 3 contracts, 184 trades, $623.14 turnover
The 3 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-10-27 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 3 closed No (≤ 0.03): 184 trades, $623.14 USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-IMMI with $286.53 turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-IMMI B · 2026-10-26 · IMMI | 2026-10-27 01:25 | 0.010 | 0.030 | 0.010 | 0.030 | 0.014 | No | 80 | $286.53 | 100 % | 18.0 ¢ | — | 314 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-STUD B · 2026-10-26 · STUD | 2026-10-27 01:25 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.010 | No | 70 | $238.64 | 100 % | 10.0 ¢ | — | 263 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-TUIT B · 2026-10-26 · TUIT | 2026-10-27 01:25 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 | No | 34 | $97.97 | 100 % | 9.00 ¢ | — | 121 | buy file → |
2026-10-26 — 10 contracts, 1,645 trades, $27.7K turnover
The 10 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-10-26 — 10 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03): 1,645 trades, $27.7K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26-BILL with $4.3K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26-BILL BERNIEMENTION · BILL | 2026-10-26 18:51 | 0.840 | 0.990 | 0.630 | 0.990 | 0.954 | Yes | 139 | $4.3K | 26 % | 8.94 ¢ | $1.5K | 36.3K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-CORR B · 2026-10-26 · CORR | 2026-10-26 23:40 | 0.780 | 0.990 | 0.510 | 0.990 | 0.955 | Yes | 75 | $3.4K | 29 % | 12.5 ¢ | $397.52 | 10.3K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26-DATA BERNIEMENTION · DATA | 2026-10-26 18:51 | 0.700 | 0.990 | 0.490 | 0.990 | 0.791 | Yes | 349 | $2.9K | 80 % | 6.13 ¢ | $1.4K | 21.0K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-BILL B · 2026-10-26 · BILL | 2026-10-26 23:40 | 0.750 | 0.990 | 0.190 | 0.990 | 0.880 | Yes | 217 | $2.9K | 48 % | 12.8 ¢ | $182.77 | 52.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26-TRUM BERNIEMENTION · TRUM | 2026-10-26 18:51 | 0.810 | 0.990 | 0.690 | 0.990 | 0.926 | Yes | 108 | $2.9K | 56 % | 9.97 ¢ | $1.2K | 8.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-TRUM B · 2026-10-26 · TRUM | 2026-10-26 23:40 | 0.590 | 0.990 | 0.400 | 0.990 | 0.913 | Yes | 177 | $2.7K | 47 % | 9.86 ¢ | $454.5 | 14.0K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-MIDT B · 2026-10-26 · MIDT | 2026-10-26 23:40 | 0.730 | 0.990 | 0.620 | 0.990 | 0.914 | Yes | 110 | $2.4K | 58 % | 11.4 ¢ | $437.15 | 22.7K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-HOUS B · 2026-10-26 · HOUS | 2026-10-26 23:40 | 0.610 | 0.990 | 0.540 | 0.990 | 0.915 | Yes | 117 | $2.4K | 40 % | 14.5 ¢ | $338.08 | 17.5K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26B-DATA B · 2026-10-26 · DATA | 2026-10-26 23:40 | 0.780 | 0.990 | 0.400 | 0.990 | 0.729 | Yes | 222 | $2.1K | 76 % | 11.5 ¢ | $366.98 | 45.4K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT26-MIDT BERNIEMENTION · MIDT | 2026-10-26 18:51 | 0.630 | 0.990 | 0.600 | 0.990 | 0.874 | Yes | 131 | $1.9K | 87 % | 10.9 ¢ | $1.2K | 10.9K | buy file → |
2026-10-25 — 10 contracts, 1,845 trades, $35.0K turnover
The 10 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-10-25 — 10 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03): 1,845 trades, $35.0K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25B-BILL with $9.2K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25B-BILL B · 2026-10-25 · BILL | 2026-10-26 02:10 | 0.860 | 0.990 | 0.260 | 0.990 | 0.895 | Yes | 312 | $9.2K | 25 % | 35.6 ¢ | $95.69 | 16.6K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-BILL BERNIEMENTION · BILL | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.700 | 0.990 | 0.080 | 0.990 | 0.936 | Yes | 83 | $5.2K | 63 % | 32.7 ¢ | $2.7K | 5.7K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25-DATA BERNIEMENTION · DATA | 2026-10-25 18:31 | 0.690 | 0.990 | 0.100 | 0.990 | 0.834 | Yes | 301 | $3.8K | 38 % | 18.8 ¢ | $1.2K | 53.3K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25B-MIDT B · 2026-10-25 · MIDT | 2026-10-26 02:10 | 0.280 | 0.990 | 0.280 | 0.990 | 0.790 | Yes | 309 | $3.0K | 93 % | 33.6 ¢ | $511.91 | 12.6K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25-BILL BERNIEMENTION · BILL | 2026-10-25 18:31 | 0.660 | 0.990 | 0.560 | 0.990 | 0.965 | Yes | 101 | $2.7K | 31 % | 11.8 ¢ | $746.6 | 55.9K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25B-TRUM B · 2026-10-25 · TRUM | 2026-10-26 02:10 | 0.650 | 0.990 | 0.280 | 0.990 | 0.923 | Yes | 133 | $2.5K | 66 % | 35.1 ¢ | $603.08 | 6.7K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-TRUM BERNIEMENTION · TRUM | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.680 | 0.990 | 0.740 | 0.990 | 0.971 | Yes | 38 | $2.4K | 34 % | 86.4 ¢ | $2.2K | 304 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25-CHIN BERNIEMENTION · CHIN | 2026-10-25 18:31 | 0.400 | 0.990 | 0.380 | 0.990 | 0.889 | Yes | 101 | $2.1K | 53 % | 14.3 ¢ | $1.1K | 9.0K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25-SSEC BERNIEMENTION · SSEC | 2026-10-25 18:31 | 0.710 | 0.990 | 0.070 | 0.990 | 0.760 | Yes | 221 | $2.0K | 66 % | 19.8 ¢ | $262.74 | 29.0K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25-MIDT BERNIEMENTION · MIDT | 2026-10-25 18:31 | 0.710 | 0.990 | 0.370 | 0.990 | 0.750 | Yes | 246 | $2.0K | 80 % | 18.5 ¢ | $517.28 | 301.5K | buy file → |
2026-10-24 — 10 contracts, 923 trades, $4.8K turnover
The 10 most traded Bernie says contracts on 2026-10-24 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 9 still open at the last print: 923 trades, $4.8K USD turnover. The busiest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-MIDT with $1.1K turnover.
| Contract | Settles (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | VWAP | Implied outcome | Trades | Turnover | Buy share | Spread | Top-1 depth | L2 updates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-MIDT BERNIEMENTION · MIDT | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.750 | 0.820 | 0.510 | 0.690 | 0.681 | open | 133 | $1.1K | 70 % | 7.22 ¢ | $9.95 | 101.5K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-TRIL BERNIEMENTION · TRIL | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.410 | 0.670 | 0.300 | 0.650 | 0.532 | open | 188 | $797.13 | 92 % | 8.16 ¢ | $5.55 | 24.8K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-DATA BERNIEMENTION · DATA | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.660 | 0.730 | 0.500 | 0.510 | 0.590 | open | 159 | $559.66 | 86 % | 9.39 ¢ | $8.04 | 145.0K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-SSEC BERNIEMENTION · SSEC | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.620 | 0.740 | 0.480 | 0.740 | 0.598 | open | 104 | $516.65 | 70 % | 5.05 ¢ | $11.35 | 42.0K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25-DATA BERNIEMENTION · DATA | 2026-10-25 18:31 | 0.680 | 0.860 | 0.540 | 0.690 | 0.751 | open | 47 | $369.33 | 100 % | 6.78 ¢ | $9.89 | 18.6K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-CLIM BERNIEMENTION · CLIM | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.610 | 0.810 | 0.610 | 0.740 | 0.761 | open | 61 | $324.24 | 54 % | 7.21 ¢ | $15.48 | 83.1K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-TRUM BERNIEMENTION · TRUM | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.740 | 0.760 | 0.590 | 0.680 | 0.712 | open | 60 | $301.34 | 96 % | 10.4 ¢ | $9.55 | 6.8K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-AI BERNIEMENTION · AI | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.880 | 0.940 | 0.850 | 0.850 | 0.913 | open | 27 | $298.32 | 28 % | 2.76 ¢ | $106.57 | 482 | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-IRAN BERNIEMENTION · IRAN | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.850 | 0.910 | 0.800 | 0.800 | 0.879 | open | 27 | $296.11 | 92 % | 6.35 ¢ | $18.8 | 7.3K | buy file → |
| KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT24-STUD BERNIEMENTION · STUD | 2026-10-25 18:25 | 0.120 | 0.300 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.129 | No | 117 | $249.21 | 95 % | 5.20 ¢ | $14.39 | 5.8K | buy file → |
How a Bernie says contract trades
On Kalshi, a Bernie says contract trades for about 45 h from open to close, is listed roughly 27 min before it opens, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 10 contracts captured on 2026-11-01.
Try a Bernie says contract file for free
The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.
KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25B-BILL minute by minute — 2026-10-25
One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.
KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT25B-BILL traded in 64 of the day’s minutes (19:34–23:56 UTC): 312 trades, $9.2K turnover, opening at 0.860, ranging 0.260–0.990 and closing at 0.990.
| Minute (UTC) | Open | High | Low | Close | Trades | Turnover | Spread | Top-1 bid / ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:34 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 2 | $0.89 | 20.4 ¢ | $3.61 / $3.49 |
| 19:35 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 1 | $0.86 | 20.0 ¢ | $4.07 / $2.32 |
| 19:57 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 0.860 | 1 | $0.99 | 20.0 ¢ | $5.25 / $0.97 |
| 20:04 | 0.860 | 0.660 | 0.660 | 0.660 | 1 | $1.86 | 20.6 ¢ | $3.88 / $3.06 |
| 21:04 | 0.660 | 0.830 | 0.830 | 0.830 | 1 | $0.83 | 18.0 ¢ | $4.05 / $2.43 |
| 21:18 | 0.830 | 0.650 | 0.650 | 0.650 | 1 | $0.18 | 16.0 ¢ | $4.16 / $2.98 |
| 21:19 | 0.650 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 0.810 | 1 | $0.49 | 16.0 ¢ | $4.23 / $2.53 |
| 21:23 | 0.810 | 0.820 | 0.810 | 0.820 | 2 | $4.93 | 16.0 ¢ | $4.47 / $3.29 |
| 21:31 | 0.820 | 0.880 | 0.820 | 0.880 | 7 | $49.53 | 21.8 ¢ | $6.5 / $1.17 |
| 21:33 | 0.880 | 0.650 | 0.650 | 0.650 | 1 | $0.09 | 22.9 ¢ | $6.5 / $0.79 |
| 21:36 | 0.650 | 0.830 | 0.830 | 0.830 | 1 | $0.11 | 11.1 ¢ | $5.42 / $0.47 |
| 21:45 | 0.830 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 2 | $1.98 | 23.0 ¢ | $6.5 / $12.55 |
| 22:02 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 0.870 | 0.880 | 5 | $4.95 | 19.4 ¢ | $6.8 / $5.59 |
| 22:13 | 0.880 | 0.890 | 0.870 | 0.890 | 11 | $15.83 | 19.7 ¢ | $6.8 / $9.78 |
| 22:15 | 0.890 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 1 | $1.98 | 20.0 ¢ | $6.8 / $28.21 |
| 22:17 | 0.880 | 0.680 | 0.670 | 0.670 | 2 | $9.98 | 20.0 ¢ | $19.81 / $19.47 |
| 22:21 | 0.670 | 0.670 | 0.670 | 0.670 | 1 | $5.82 | 14.1 ¢ | $33.5 / $8.11 |
| 22:24 | 0.670 | 0.720 | 0.670 | 0.670 | 2 | $16.55 | 5.40 ¢ | $29.79 / $14.4 |
| 22:25 | 0.670 | 0.710 | 0.710 | 0.710 | 1 | $1.96 | 5.00 ¢ | $16.5 / $3.79 |
| 22:30 | 0.710 | 0.890 | 0.660 | 0.660 | 4 | $2.85 | 17.9 ¢ | $16.41 / $6.52 |
| 22:32 | 0.660 | 0.750 | 0.750 | 0.750 | 2 | $5.25 | 12.5 ¢ | $14.65 / $5.66 |
| 22:36 | 0.750 | 0.910 | 0.830 | 0.910 | 4 | $27.73 | 17.6 ¢ | $14.35 / $14.28 |
| 22:46 | 0.910 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 1 | $2.67 | 16.8 ¢ | $5.49 / $2.91 |
| 22:48 | 0.890 | 0.910 | 0.880 | 0.910 | 3 | $49.66 | 3.04 ¢ | $2.55 / $4.95 |
| 23:00 | 0.910 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 1 | $1.98 | 14.0 ¢ | $7.6 / $277.99 |
| 23:01 | 0.900 | 0.760 | 0.750 | 0.750 | 2 | $28.89 | 14.0 ¢ | $6.21 / $186.05 |
| 23:04 | 0.750 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 0.880 | 1 | $0.99 | 12.8 ¢ | $3.59 / $8.61 |
| 23:06 | 0.880 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 2 | $3.47 | 13.0 ¢ | $1.85 / $5.59 |
| 23:07 | 0.890 | 0.760 | 0.660 | 0.660 | 5 | $21.58 | 15.0 ¢ | $3.41 / $2.72 |
| 23:08 | 0.660 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 0.890 | 2 | $6.4 | 20.7 ¢ | $3.95 / $5.06 |
| 23:09 | 0.890 | 0.900 | 0.870 | 0.900 | 2 | $4.06 | 7.48 ¢ | $2.76 / $158.85 |
| 23:12 | 0.900 | 0.900 | 0.880 | 0.900 | 4 | $3.67 | 16.8 ¢ | $7.04 / $154.05 |
| 23:14 | 0.900 | 0.890 | 0.330 | 0.330 | 8 | $24.06 | 33.5 ¢ | $3.73 / $22.8 |
| 23:16 | 0.330 | 0.770 | 0.770 | 0.770 | 1 | $0.77 | 18.4 ¢ | $3.34 / $7.88 |
| 23:17 | 0.770 | 0.610 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 7 | $42.96 | 18.9 ¢ | $0.98 / $5.91 |
| 23:18 | 0.400 | 0.600 | 0.600 | 0.600 | 1 | $0.6 | 20.4 ¢ | $0.51 / $5.52 |
| 23:19 | 0.600 | 0.570 | 0.570 | 0.570 | 1 | $0.97 | 19.4 ¢ | $1.03 / $4.05 |
| 23:20 | 0.570 | 0.600 | 0.590 | 0.600 | 8 | $18.75 | 17.5 ¢ | $2.91 / $11.87 |
| 23:21 | 0.600 | 0.600 | 0.600 | 0.600 | 1 | $0.49 | 12.9 ¢ | $4.51 / $15.09 |
| 23:22 | 0.600 | 0.750 | 0.600 | 0.750 | 8 | $29.82 | 18.9 ¢ | $3.97 / $8.57 |
| 23:23 | 0.750 | 0.990 | 0.850 | 0.990 | 21 | $1.3K | 21.5 ¢ | $2.5K / $33.99 |
| 23:24 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 2 | $186.77 | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:25 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 2 | $935.74 | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:27 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 3 | $1.6K | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:28 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 1 | $0.99 | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:29 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.770 | 0.770 | 2 | $1.1K | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:31 | 0.770 | 0.900 | 0.870 | 0.870 | 3 | $853.6 | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:32 | 0.870 | 0.980 | 0.850 | 0.850 | 2 | $516.88 | 22.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:33 | 0.850 | 0.950 | 0.760 | 0.760 | 7 | $598.95 | 18.7 ¢ | $36.96 / $434.38 |
| 23:34 | 0.760 | 0.770 | 0.760 | 0.760 | 2 | $2.1 | 12.2 ¢ | $10.58 / $85.8 |
| 23:35 | 0.760 | 0.750 | 0.730 | 0.730 | 3 | $14.17 | 7.68 ¢ | $8.3 / $50.69 |
| 23:36 | 0.730 | 0.740 | 0.560 | 0.560 | 17 | $65.86 | 11.9 ¢ | $3.17 / $12.54 |
| 23:37 | 0.560 | 0.700 | 0.400 | 0.400 | 21 | $88.3 | 14.5 ¢ | $12.7 / $11.05 |
| 23:38 | 0.400 | 0.590 | 0.260 | 0.310 | 19 | $43.82 | 24.3 ¢ | $9.14 / $10.63 |
| 23:39 | 0.310 | 0.640 | 0.350 | 0.640 | 6 | $29.18 | 14.9 ¢ | $22.7 / $14.18 |
| 23:40 | 0.640 | 0.650 | 0.540 | 0.650 | 9 | $32.46 | 9.67 ¢ | $11.74 / $13.25 |
| 23:41 | 0.650 | 0.640 | 0.500 | 0.510 | 11 | $109.17 | 7.66 ¢ | $8.73 / $15.35 |
| 23:42 | 0.510 | 0.630 | 0.530 | 0.610 | 15 | $77.89 | 9.13 ¢ | $16.73 / $12.21 |
| 23:43 | 0.610 | 0.660 | 0.600 | 0.650 | 5 | $20.11 | 8.99 ¢ | $16.35 / $8.62 |
| 23:44 | 0.650 | 0.990 | 0.610 | 0.990 | 40 | $680.87 | 22.2 ¢ | $144.34 / $13.73 |
| 23:45 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 3 | $191.58 | 41.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:49 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 1 | $9.9 | 41.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:50 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 1 | $3.01 | 41.0 ¢ | — |
| 23:56 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 4 | $287.81 | 41.0 ¢ | — |
1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.
Build a Bernie says model on this data
Every resolved Bernie says contract is a labelled example — a count, a score, a date or a name — and the day bundle holds its full order-book path and trade tape, nanosecond-stamped. The statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.
Split by time, never at random — adjacent contracts share a regime, and a random split leaks it into the test set. The training-data hub covers labels, leakage and walk-forward validation.
Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.
Why buy Kalshi Bernie says data here
Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.
We record everything
The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.
Institutional grade
Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.
€1 per instrument-day
Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.
Self-service for everyone
Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.
Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown
Kalshi Bernie says data — FAQ
What Kalshi Bernie says data can I download?
Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Bernie says series on Kalshi (15 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.
What is the Kalshi series ticker for Bernie says?
KXBERNIEMENTION — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every KXBERNIEMENTION-* contract listed that UTC day.
How far back does the Bernie says data go?
Coverage runs March 2026 – present — 88 trading days in total.
What format are the Kalshi files in?
One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.
Can I get Kalshi Bernie says data as CSV or Parquet?
Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.
How much does Kalshi Bernie says historical data cost?
€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.
Do I need an account or a sales call?
No. Pick the Bernie says series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.
How is the Kalshi Bernie says data captured?
Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.
How many Bernie says contracts trade per day on Kalshi?
On average 62 Bernie says contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 20 captured days on Kalshi, with about 2.6M order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.
How liquid are Kalshi Bernie says contracts?
Over the last 20 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 14.1 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $998.87 per side, 61 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.
What was the most traded Bernie says contract on 2026-11-01?
KXBERNIEMENTION-26NOV01-SOCI (BERNIEMENTION · SOCI) — $2.2K USD turnover over 144 trades on Kalshi. The 10 most traded contracts of the series did 1,428 trades and $10.4K that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.
Did the favourite win in Bernie says contracts?
Of 106 settled Bernie says contracts that opened away from 50 ¢ among the day's most traded contracts between 2026-08-27 and 2026-11-01 on Kalshi, the side the opening price favoured finished in the money 69 % of the time; the largest group, 48 contracts opening at 70–80 ¢, closed Yes 84 % of the time. Outcomes are implied from each contract's last recorded print (≥ 0.97 / ≤ 0.03), not the venue's official settlement, and the opening price is the first print on the first day the contract ranked among the ten most traded of the series; the opening-price table on this page lists every 10 ¢ step, and the tick data behind it is in the day bundles.
What was the busiest Bernie says trading day on Kalshi?
2026-10-19, with $83.4K of USD turnover over 10,442 trades across every Bernie says contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $585.6K. Since our statistics began on 2026-08-27 the series has recorded 76,251 trades and $655.3K over 29 captured days; the single biggest contract was KXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT18B-ISRA (B · 2026-10-18 · ISRA) on 2026-10-19 with $16.8K. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.
When do Bernie says contracts settle?
Contracts listed to settle between 02:00 and 02:59 UTC carried 26 % of the USD turnover of the most traded Bernie says contracts per day over the newest 30 captured days on Kalshi. The hour-by-hour profile on this page shows the whole day; every contract file carries nanosecond exchange timestamps, so any finer profile can be computed from the bundle.
Which weekday does Kalshi Bernie says trade most?
Mondays — about $62.5K of USD turnover per Monday and 36 % of the series' turnover over the 20 captured days to 2026-11-01 on Kalshi, summed from every trade print of the series' contracts. The weekday profile on this page shows all seven days; the day bundles carry the full tape behind them.
How much of Bernie says turnover trades on event day?
88 % — across 106 settled Bernie says contracts between 2026-08-27 and 2026-11-01 on Kalshi, 88 % of their USD turnover printed on the UTC day the contract settled and 12 % on the days before, summed from every trade of the most traded contracts per day. The pre-event share is where line-movement features live; the day bundles hold both.
How long before an event do Bernie says contracts trade?
A median of 1 captured trading day per contract, settlement day included (a quarter traded 2 days or more) — across 106 settled Bernie says contracts to 2026-11-01 on Kalshi, counting the UTC days a contract ranked among the series' most traded. Buy those days as a range (/shop/bundles?bundle=kalshi-kxberniemention&d=<from>..<to>) to get the whole pre-event path of each contract.