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Kalshi · Politics · event · ECMOV

Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory Da

Every Kalshi “Electoral college margin of victory” contract of the day — every trade print and the complete Level-2 book, captured co-located with nanosecond venue and receive timestamps. 171 trading days as day bundles, €1 per day, bought as a guest with instant download.

Trading days
171
Coverage
May 2026 – present
Archive size
24.2 MB
Price per day
€1
Activity & identifier

Electoral college margin of victory on Kalshi — activity

Trades and USD turnover summed over every contract of the series across 30 captured days to 2026-11-01, from the recorded tick data — the per-day averages divide by the captured days. Buy share, quoted spread (in contract price cents, 0..1 = 100 ¢), best-bid/ask depth and Level-2 update counts are turnover-weighted over the same window.

Series ticker
ECMOV
Avg trades / day
3
Avg turnover / day
$41.82
Captured days
30
Trades (30d)
80
Turnover (30d)
$1.3K
Contracts traded / day
1
Buy share
5 %
Avg spread
2.25 ¢
Top-1 depth
$225.9
L2 updates / day
7.2K
L2 updates / trade
2714.3
30d vs prior 30d
+6386.6 %
Since 2026-08-09
97 trades · $1.3K
Record day
$1.2K · 2026-10-14
Files on latest day
14
What's in a bundle

One purchase, the whole series for a day

A series-day bundle contains every Electoral college margin of victory contract that was listed on Kalshi on that UTC day — traded or not — 14 contract files on the latest covered day. Each file carries the full raw feed: every trade print with price, size and side, plus Level-2 order-book updates, in the same zstd-compressed schema as our crypto venues. Event contracts quote 0..1; turnover is USD-normalized.

Coverage runs May 2026 – present — 171 trading days, 24.2 MB compressed in total. A day typically holds 14 contract files (up to 14 on the busiest day, 719 KB). Pick individual days in the shop calendar for €1 each; delivery is an instant per-file download or one archive for the whole day.

Month by month

Electoral college margin of victory — development since capture

97 trades and $1.3K of USD turnover over 85 captured days since 2026-08-09 — record day 2026-10-14 with $1.2K, biggest single contract ECMOV-28NOV07-REP91T130 (2026-10-14, $150.08).

MonthDaysTradesTurnover (USD)Avg / dayContracts tradedL2 updatesvs previous month
Nov 2026 (month to date)10$0$005.3K—
Oct 20263182$1.3K$41.0728221.5K+5198.7 %
Sep 20263015$24.03$0.81473.2K—
Aug 2026230$0$0072.1K—

Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory — trades and USD turnover summed per calendar month (UTC) over every contract, from our own daily statistics of the recorded tick data. Days = captured UTC days; a partial month shows no month-over-month change. Contracts traded and L2 (order-book) updates exist for days captured with the extended statistics.

When it trades

Electoral college margin of victory — activity by weekday

Wednesdays carry the most turnover, about $308.09 per day.

Weekday (UTC)Avg turnover / dayUSDAvg tradesDays
Monday$0.791.254
Tuesday$0.0414
Wednesday$308.0917.54
Thursday$4.710.254
Friday$004
Saturday$005
Sunday$005

Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory — average USD turnover and trades per weekday over the captured days of the last 30, from our own daily statistics; weekdays without a captured day show —.

Daily statistics

Electoral college margin of victory — last 30 days in the archive

Files, size, contracts traded, trades, USD turnover, buy share, quoted spread, top-of-book depth and order-book updates per UTC day, from the recorded tick data.

UTC dayFilesSizeTradedTradesTurnoverBuy shareAvg spreadTop-1 depthL2 updatesNotes
2026-11-0114228 KB00$0———5.3KBuy day →
2026-10-3114232 KB00$0———5.2KBuy day →
2026-10-3014272 KB00$0———6.1KBuy day →
2026-10-2914417 KB00$0———9.9KBuy day →
2026-10-2814254 KB00$0———6.4KBuy day →
2026-10-2714399 KB44$0.17100 %1.00 ¢$1.0K9.1KBuy day →
2026-10-2614382 KB44$0.17100 %1.00 ¢$1.1K8.6KBuy day →
2026-10-2514361 KB00$0———7.9KBuy day →
2026-10-2414393 KB00$0———8.7KBuy day →
2026-10-2314492 KB00$0———11.5KBuy day →
2026-10-2214425 KB00$0———9.8KBuy day →
2026-10-2114551 KB26$59.4698 %1.09 ¢$653.9214.0KBuy day →
2026-10-2014490 KB00$0———12.7KBuy day →
2026-10-1914473 KB11$2.99100 %1.00 ¢$735.8211.9KBuy day →
2026-10-1814445 KB00$0———10.6KBuy day →
2026-10-1714399 KB00$0———9.1KBuy day →
2026-10-1614396 KB00$0———9.2KBuy day →
2026-10-1514502 KB11$18.830 %1.00 ¢$438.3913.0KBuy day →
2026-10-1414719 KB1464$1.2K0 %2.33 ¢$199.2520.8KBuy day →
2026-10-1314111 KB00$0———2.2KBuy day →
2026-10-1214127 KB00$0———2.6KBuy day →
2026-10-111498.8 KB00$0———1.9KBuy day →
2026-10-1014105 KB00$0———2.1KBuy day →
2026-10-0914121 KB00$0———2.5KBuy day →
2026-10-0814126 KB00$0———2.6KBuy day →
2026-10-0714127 KB00$0———2.5KBuy day →
2026-10-0614146 KB00$0———3.2KBuy day →
2026-10-0514135 KB00$0———2.9KBuy day →
2026-10-0414120 KB00$0———2.5KBuy day →
2026-10-0314130 KB00$0———2.5KBuy day →

Traded = contracts with at least one trade that day. Buy share = taker-buy side of USD turnover. Avg spread = quoted bid-ask spread in contract price cents (0..1 = 100 ¢), weighted by turnover across the day’s contracts. Top-1 depth = mean of the best bid and best ask notional in USD, weighted by turnover. L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded across all contracts of the day. Days captured before the extended statistics show —.

Contracts

Most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts by day

The ten contracts with the most USD turnover per UTC day — open, high, low, close, VWAP and the outcome implied by the last print; the six previous days fold out below.

The 4 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-27 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 4 still open at the last print: 4 trades, $0.17 USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10 with $0.05 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T100.0500.0500.0500.0500.050open1$0.05100 %1.00 ¢$1.2K345buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP211T5380.0400.0400.0400.0400.040open1$0.04100 %1.00 ¢$686.56782buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T100.0400.0400.0400.0400.040open1$0.04100 %1.00 ¢$966.08383buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP131T2100.0400.0400.0400.0400.040open1$0.04100 %1.00 ¢$1.1K669buy file →

Prices quote 0..1 (probability of Yes). Open/high/low/close/VWAP are that UTC day’s trade prints per contract; the implied outcome reads the last print — ≥ 0.97 as Yes, ≤ 0.03 as No, anything between as still open — venues publish the official result. Buy share = taker-buy side of turnover; spread = the contract's turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread in cents, top-1 depth = mean best-bid/ask notional per side, L2 updates = order-book level updates recorded for the contract that day. “Settles” is the venue-listed close time of the contract where the venue publishes one (UTC).

2026-10-26 — 4 contracts, 4 trades, $0.17 turnover

The 4 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-26 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 4 still open at the last print: 4 trades, $0.17 USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10 with $0.05 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T100.0700.0700.0500.0500.050open1$0.05100 %1.00 ¢$1.2K308buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP211T5380.0400.0400.0400.0400.040open1$0.04100 %1.00 ¢$828.03701buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T100.0300.0400.0300.0400.040open1$0.04100 %1.00 ¢$1.1K386buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP131T2100.0300.0400.0300.0400.040open1$0.04100 %1.00 ¢$1.2K691buy file →
2026-10-21 — 2 contracts, 6 trades, $59.46 turnover

The 2 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-21 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 1 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 6 trades, $59.46 USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T10 with $58.92 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP1T100.0400.0400.0300.0300.030No5$58.9299 %1.09 ¢$653.28680buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM11T300.0700.0700.0600.0600.060open1$0.540 %1.14 ¢$724.44882buy file →
2026-10-19 — 1 contract, 1 trades, $2.99 turnover

The 1 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-19 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 1 trades, $2.99 USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM91T130 with $2.99 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM91T1300.1200.1300.1200.1300.130open1$2.99100 %1.00 ¢$735.82796buy file →
2026-10-15 — 1 contract, 1 trades, $18.83 turnover

The 1 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-15 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 1 still open at the last print: 1 trades, $18.83 USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM131T210 with $18.83 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM131T2100.0800.0800.0700.0700.070open1$18.830 %1.00 ¢$438.39810buy file →
2026-10-14 — 10 contracts, 52 trades, $1.0K turnover

The 10 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-14 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 10 still open at the last print: 52 trades, $1.0K USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-REP91T130 with $150.08 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP91T1300.0800.0800.0800.0800.080open5$150.080 %3.16 ¢$231.691.3Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP61T900.0800.0800.0800.0800.080open5$150.080 %3.19 ¢$230.111.8Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM11T300.1000.1000.0700.0700.087open8$145.110 %2.31 ¢$131.171.9Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T100.0700.0700.0700.0700.070open5$120.890 %2.64 ¢$215.421.4Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM131T2100.0800.0800.0800.0800.080open4$112.560 %1.71 ¢$237.841.4Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM91T1300.1300.1300.1200.1200.126open5$101.530 %1.55 ¢$243.391.9Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM61T900.1200.1200.1000.1000.113open7$83.330 %1.76 ¢$162.392.1Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM211T5380.0500.0500.0500.0500.050open4$70.350 %1.33 ¢$207.891.9Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM31T600.1100.1100.0800.0800.106open5$57.190 %2.09 ¢$133.781.9Kbuy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP11T300.0500.0600.0500.0500.055open4$52.221 %1.00 ¢$198.851.2Kbuy file →
2026-10-01 — 2 contracts, 2 trades, $18.78 turnover

The 2 most traded Electoral college margin of victory contracts on 2026-10-01 — 0 closed Yes (≥ 0.97), 0 closed No (≤ 0.03), 2 still open at the last print: 2 trades, $18.78 USD turnover. The busiest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10 with $9.41 turnover.

ContractOpenHighLowCloseVWAPImplied outcomeTradesTurnoverBuy shareSpreadTop-1 depthL2 updates
ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T100.1100.1100.1100.1100.110open1$9.41100 %11.9 ¢$17.38704buy file →
ECMOV-28NOV07-REP11T300.0500.0500.0500.0500.050open1$9.37100 %1.00 ¢$18.2541buy file →
Contract anatomy

How a Electoral college margin of victory contract trades

Listed ahead
20 h
Tick size
0.01
Contracts measured
4
Quoted in
USD

On Kalshi, a Electoral college margin of victory contract trades until its event settles, is listed roughly 20 h before it opens, and quotes in 1 ¢ price steps (0..1). Measured on the 4 contracts captured on 2026-10-27.

Free sample

Try a Electoral college margin of victory contract file for free

The busiest contract of a settled day, byte-identical to the files in the paid bundle — download the native tick file, a CSV/Parquet export, or replay its order book in the browser.

ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T102026-10-26 (UTC) · 15.2 KB · 1 trade · $0.05 turnover · 0.070 → 0.050Full tick file: every trade print and Level-2 order-book update of the contract on that day, zstd-compressed JSON lines — no account needed.
Replay
Intraday profile

ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10 minute by minute — 2026-10-26

One-minute open/high/low/close, trades, USD turnover, quoted spread and top-of-book depth of the sample contract — the same 1-minute statistics every instrument’s analytics page offers.

ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10 traded in 1 of the day’s minutes (23:22–23:22 UTC): 1 trades, $0.05 turnover, opening at 0.070, ranging 0.050–0.050 and closing at 0.050.

Minute (UTC)OpenHighLowCloseTradesTurnoverSpreadTop-1 bid / ask
23:220.0700.0500.0500.0501$0.051.00 ¢$1.5K / $201.39

1-minute statistics computed from the recorded ticks; minutes without a trade are omitted. Spread in contract price cents; top-1 depth = resting notional at the best bid / best ask. Every minute of every day is in the free analytics; the raw ticks are in the sample file above.

Build a bot

Build a Electoral college margin of victory model on this data

Every resolved Electoral college margin of victory contract is a labelled example that trades for weeks or months, not minutes: the label is the race outcome, the margin bucket or the nominee, and the signal in between is mostly the order book — quotes move on news while trades stay sparse. The day bundle holds each contract's full Level-2 book path and every trade of that UTC day, nanosecond-stamped; the statistics on this page cover the most traded contracts per day; the bundle holds every contract listed on Kalshi that day.

Contract-days traded since 2026-08-09
42
L2 updates per trade, 30 days
2714.3

Split by election cycle and by race, never at random — months of quotes on one contract are one regime, and a random split leaks the result backwards; validate across races and cycles, not within one. The election-markets guide works thin books, book updates as the main signal and calibration over months through.

Purchased data is for your own use — backtesting, research, analytics and training your own models, in-house or in your own products; the trained models and derived data you build from it are yours. The raw files and tick streams themselves may not be redistributed, resold or published. The full terms are on the data license page.

Why CryptoStruct

Why buy Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory data here

Four things every page on this site is built on — and the reason the numbers above exist at all.

We record everything

The complete public feed of each venue as it was published: every Level-2 snapshot and update at the venue's full book depth, every trade with its aggressor side, every quote, funding, mark-price and liquidation event — for every instrument the venue lists, every UTC day since we added the venue. Nothing sampled, no top-N cut, no on-demand capture.

Institutional grade

Captured co-located at the venue with the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain that makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues — the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine and enterprise feeds run on.

€1 per instrument-day

Any instrument-day is €1, series-day bundles start at €1 — no subscription, no minimum order, no tiers to unlock. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire, and every venue has free full-day samples to test against first.

Self-service for everyone

Pick the days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no sales call, no enterprise contract, no KYC. Coding agents buy the same files through the MCP server, and the free Agent Skill teaches them the format.

Agents: /llms.txt · MCP server /mcp · every page as markdown via Accept: text/markdown

FAQ

Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory data — FAQ

What Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory data can I download?

Tick-by-tick trades and Level-2 order-book depth for every contract of the Electoral college margin of victory series on Kalshi (14 contract files on the latest day). One bundle = one UTC day of the whole series.

What is the Kalshi series ticker for Electoral college margin of victory?

ECMOV — every contract of the series carries this prefix in its ticker (followed by the event date and strike). Files in a day bundle are named by the full contract ticker, so a bundle holds every ECMOV-* contract listed that UTC day.

How far back does the Electoral college margin of victory data go?

Coverage runs May 2026 – present — 171 trading days in total.

What format are the Kalshi files in?

One zstd-compressed text file per contract per UTC day, in the same normalized schema as our crypto venues — see the market-data specification; free samples on the downloads page.

Can I get Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory data as CSV or Parquet?

Yes — trades export as gzipped CSV or Parquet at no extra cost, with integer microsecond UTC timestamps that load straight into pandas, polars or DuckDB. Kalshi records full order-book depth without a separate BBO stream, so book data ships in the native tick file — the free reader script converts it locally. See the formats overview.

How much does Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory historical data cost?

€1 per series-day bundle — every contract of the series for that day — no subscription, no minimum order; buy as a guest in the Data Shop and download immediately. Credit packs lower the effective price and never expire.

Do I need an account or a sales call?

No. Pick the Electoral college margin of victory series-days in the Data Shop, pay by card as a guest and download immediately — no subscription, no minimum order, no KYC, no enterprise contract, no sales call. Coding agents buy the same bundles through the MCP server.

How is the Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory data captured?

Co-located at the venue, message by message: every Level-2 update and every trade print carries the exchange timestamp and our receive timestamp in integer nanoseconds, an event-id chain makes any gap visible, and one normalized schema across 35+ venues means a parser written for Binance reads these files unchanged. It is the same capture our own high-frequency trading engine runs on — nothing sampled, no top-N cut.

How many Electoral college margin of victory contracts trade per day on Kalshi?

On average 1 Electoral college margin of victory contracts had at least one trade per UTC day over the last 30 captured days on Kalshi, with about 7.2K order-book level updates recorded per day. A day bundle contains every contract file of the series for that day.

How liquid are Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory contracts?

Over the last 30 captured days, the turnover-weighted quoted bid-ask spread was 2.25 ¢ (contracts quote 0..1 = 100 ¢), the mean best-bid/best-ask notional was about $225.9 per side, 5 % of USD turnover was taker-buy. These figures are computed from the recorded Level-2 order books and trade prints — the same data in the day bundles.

What was the most traded Electoral college margin of victory contract on 2026-10-27?

ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10 — $0.05 USD turnover over 1 trade on Kalshi. The 4 most traded contracts of the series did 4 trades and $0.17 that UTC day. Open, high, low, close and VWAP per contract are listed on this page; the tick-level data is in the day bundle.

What was the busiest Electoral college margin of victory trading day on Kalshi?

2026-10-14, with $1.2K of USD turnover over 64 trades across every Electoral college margin of victory contract of the day; the busiest full month was Oct 2026 at $1.3K. Since our statistics began on 2026-08-09 the series has recorded 97 trades and $1.3K over 85 captured days; the single biggest contract was ECMOV-28NOV07-REP91T130 on 2026-10-14 with $150.08. Any of these days is a downloadable bundle.

Which weekday does Kalshi Electoral college margin of victory trade most?

Wednesdays — about $308.09 of USD turnover per Wednesday and 98 % of the series' turnover over the 30 captured days to 2026-11-01 on Kalshi, summed from every trade print of the series' contracts. The weekday profile on this page shows all seven days; the day bundles carry the full tape behind them.

Topics

Topic hubs featuring this series